I don't play "To Win" but "To Risk", playing always the same amount of money no matter what the price.
Either the price is -250 or +150, for me it doesn't make a difference.
If I play a game it means I see the value there.
Before I check the market/prices, I make my own lines and there I find out where to put my money.
In my opinion to play "To Win", like most of the people do, it is pure gambling and the intention of the bank to drive you to bankruptcy as soon as possible.
To gamble $667 on a +150 play and at the same time $2,000 on a -200 play, it means that you are risking three times more, to win exactly the same amount of money, and basically the value(difference between your line to the market line) of the two plays could be similar.
To play "To Win" could give you faster money, but in the long term I doubt that your odds are going to be huge.
The only way it could make sense to play "To Win", is if you are only betting on the underdogs, but that's not my case and I don't see the reason why you should avoid betting on a favorite, as the edge and the value could be exactly the same on a +150 and on a -200 price.
Obviously, that's only my personal point of view. I don't wanna teach anything, but I think that if you are playing money you should have a clear idea of what is worth doing, and what is not.
Cheers
Pierre
To Risk $1 per bet.
1-0 Brewers -120 $0.83
2-0 Dodgers -185 $0.54
3-0 Indians -156 $0.64
4-0 Athletics -133 $0.75
5-0 Tigers -104 $0.96
5-1 Athletics +103 -$1.00
6-1 Dodgers -147 $0.68
7-1 Giants -105 $0.95
7-2 Orioles +105 -$1.00
8-2 Blue Jays -101 $0.99
9-2 Dodgers -250 $0.40
10-2 Rays -135 $0.74
11-2 Blue Jays -128 $0.78
11-3 Rays +115 -$1.00
12-3 Mariners +105 $1.05
12-4 Indians -109 -$1.00
13-4 Diamondbacks +108 $1.08
14-4 Rays +101 $1.01
14-5 Mariners -167 -$1.00
15-5 Indians -156 $0.64
15-6 Mariners -164 -$1.00
16-6 Blue Jays -263 $0.38
17-6 Dodgers -167 $0.60
Profit $7.02
1-0 Brewers -120 $0.83
2-0 Dodgers -185 $0.54
3-0 Indians -156 $0.64
4-0 Athletics -133 $0.75
5-0 Tigers -104 $0.96
5-1 Athletics +103 -$1.00
6-1 Dodgers -147 $0.68
7-1 Giants -105 $0.95
7-2 Orioles +105 -$1.00
8-2 Blue Jays -101 $0.99
9-2 Dodgers -250 $0.40
10-2 Rays -135 $0.74
11-2 Blue Jays -128 $0.78
11-3 Rays +115 -$1.00
12-3 Mariners +105 $1.05
12-4 Indians -109 -$1.00
13-4 Diamondbacks +108 $1.08
14-4 Rays +101 $1.01
14-5 Mariners -167 -$1.00
15-5 Indians -156 $0.64
15-6 Mariners -164 -$1.00
16-6 Blue Jays -263 $0.38
17-6 Dodgers -167 $0.60
Profit $7.02
