Picks Using Play By Play Analysis - 2015 Season Long Thread

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Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
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So far so good with the Play By Play Analysis (Picking Every Game)
(9-5-1) - Week 4
(9-3-1) - Week 5
(18-8-2)...

The line when I ran the stats was SD -3, so at 3.5 we see a VERY slight lean to the Steelers.

Matchup
Power RatingSpread ValuePredicted Pass Success RatePredicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
SD
83.84 0.82
53.88
17.41
2.88
3.5
PIT
83.07 51.88 19.57
2.84
Differentials
0.77 2.00 -2.16
0.04
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: PITWorth A Bet?


Best of luck!
 

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This thread was a great read. I wrote my own model as well. I went back and checked out your picks vrs mine or the last two weeks. So far only 3 plays matched up results are 2-1. Most importantly, none of our plays were against each other. I will keep my eye on your posts and see if this trend continues. Might increase my bets if our #'s match up. BOL
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
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Week 6 Play By Play Analysis Picks...

Hi Everyone,

From this point on, we will track the following Play By Play Systems to see which one(s) perform the best. All this is new, so I am trying to see what works
best for us, please bear with me. I am hoping the Combination Picks are what we ultimately use, but only time will tell.

Systems Week 5 RECAP:

System Name
Week 5
YTD
System Description
Play By Play (Worth A Bet?)
(4-3-1)
(7-5-1)
Highest Rated Play By Play Picks, Teams performing best at the most
Important stats for winning NFL games.
Play By Play (All Games)
(10-2-1)
(19-7-2)
Play By Play Picks For All Games, Teams performing best at the most
Important stats for winning NFL games.
Play By Play QBR Underdog
(3-1-1)
(3-1-1)
Underdogs with predicted as good or better QB performance
As the Favorite
Play By Play Line Of Scrimmage Underdog
(3-2-1)
(3-2-1)
Underdogs Who Will Compete Well In The Trenches
Combination Picks
(2-2-1)
(2-2-1)
Picks from all three Play By Play Systems Agree

Overall, a nice week for the Play By Play System that looks at how well a team is in the most important stats for winning an NFL game. (10-2-1) overall,
and now (19-7-1) last two weeks.

*********************
Play By Play QBR Underdog
*********************
We went (3-1-1) in our new Play By Play Underdog QBR System, Washington and Chicago proved great value getting all those points.
The system correctly predicted 4 out of 5 underdogs that wound up having as good or better yards per pass attempt. New Orlean’s Drew Brees not
being 100% healthy may have had some affect, not to mention unfortunately, Philly played their best game of the year.

Here Was Our Underdog QB Rating Suggestions and the results:

New Orleans
Yards: 292/333
YPP: 6.0/7.0
Result: LOSS

Tennessee
Yards: 179/82
YPP: 5.1/3.7
Result: WON (+2.5)


Chicago
Yards: 241/170
YPP: 5.1/5.1
Result: WON (+9.5)

Seattle
Yards: 197/310
YPP: 7.0/6.3
Result: PUSH: PUSH (+3)

Washington
Yards: 219/242
YPP: 6.3/5.2
Result: WON (+7.5)


********************************
Play By Play Line Of Scrimmage Underdog
********************************
Our Underdog Line Of Scrimmage Analysis, had the following underdogs that looked to compete well in the trenches, and for the most part they all did a decent job with
two actually out gaining the favorite, and the bigger underdogs were definitely competitive. The PUSH on Seattle hurt, as they outgained CINCY pretty nicely.

Yards/Play
NO 5.4/6.4
Result: LOST

TEN 4.38/4.18
Result: WON

SEA 6.84/5.24
Result: PUSH

JAX 5.7/6.0
Result: LOST

WAS 4.6/5.3
Result: WON

SF 5.9/6.9
Result: WON

And of course this one REALLY HURTS… I said last week….

“Arizona -2.5 looks to be the sucker play off the week. This line is begging you to take Arizona, and based on my numbers there is no reason for this line to be so low unless Vegas is setting a trap. I have Arizona as having the most overall dominate line (offensive and defensive combined) and Detroit’s line simply do not match up at all here. I smell a trap!...”

Uhhh….Moving on…J




On to WEEK 6….

I have taken the Play By Play System that analyzes how well/poor teams are doing in the key statistics that win/lose NFL games and
created a chart to show us where any of the Week 6 plays fall outside the “tight” spread range and provide value/betting opportunities.

Favorite Spread Ratio – This is how strong the favorite is in the matchup from the covering the spread perspective. A NEGATIVE value means there is a good upset possibility.
A value of between 0 and 2 is considered a tight line and could go either way so stay away.


Week 6 Play By Play Analysis

Pick
Favorite
Favorite Spread Ratio
Spread
Rating
ARZ -3
ARZ
5.82
0
5.82
TEN -2.5
TEN
5.5
0
5.5
BAL -2.5
BAL
2.8
0
2.8

NE
1.9
0
1.9

SEA
1.9
0
1.9

ATL
1.4
0
1.4

DEN
1.4
0
1.4

NYJ
1
0
1

PHI
0.7
0
0.7

GB
0.68
0
0.68

MIN
0.04
0
0.04
JAX (+1.5)
HOU
-3.64
-1.5
-5.14
BUF (+3.5)
CIN
-1.9
-3.5
-5.4
CHI (+3)
DET
-2.95
-3
-5.95


So what the chart is telling us, is Arizona and Tennessee are the strongest favorites to back, Baltimore may be worth a look, and
Jacksonville, Buffalo and Chicago are VERY live underdogs. All the rest of the lines are TIGHT and could go either way.

I will post the other two systems (QBR Underdogs and Line Of Scrimmage Underdogs) later in the week.

Best of luck to all!
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
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QBR Underdog Plays Week 6

**************************************** ******************************
Week 6 Play By Play QBR Underdog System (Underdogs with potential QBR advantage)
**************************************** ******************************

Here are the QBR Predictions for each game, for you FANTASY guys, this could maybe help you out in determining which QB’s to play.

In summary, the below charts are saying:


  1. New England is going to have a BIG day throwing against the Colts (no big surprise)
  2. Baltimore’s Flacco looks to be on his way as well versus the 49ers
  3. Notable underdogs that may have a passing advantage
    1. New Orleans
    2. Cleveland
    3. Chicago
    4. Washington
    5. Kansas City
    6. San Diego
    7. NY Giants
  4. The Jets/Redskins QB’s are both likely to struggle
  5. The Philly/Giant game may have some passing fireworks
  6. Some hidden gems, Titans although a small favorite are

predicted to have a sizeable passing advantage. Seattle also will
own the sky versus a Carolina team that has faced nobody.

So picks for this system this week are:


  1. New Orleans +3
  2. Cleveland +4
  3. Chicago +3
  4. Washington +6
  5. Kansas City +4
  6. San Diego +10
  7. NY Giants +4




The QBR Ratings….

ATL107.5
NO118.9
Advantage NO-11.4




DEN90.6
CLE96.2
Advantage CLE-5.6


HOU104.6
JAX86.9
Advantage HOU17.7


DET86.2
CHI95.9
Advantage CHI-9.7


TEN91.625
MIA75.375
Advantage TEN16.25


NYJ78
WAS78.975
Advantage WAS-0.975



ARZ99.3
PIT85.7
Advantage ARZ13.6



CIN112.5
BUF105
Advantage CIN7.5


MIN85.175
KC90.25
Advantage KC-5.075



SEA99.8
CAR80.2
Advantage SEA19.6



BAL109.1
SF82.1
Advantage BAL27


GB80.4
SD93.8
Advantage SD-13.4



NE124.1
IND90.3
Advantage NE33.8


PHI109.1
NYG112.1
Advantage NYG-3



Best of luck to all!
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
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Messages
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Week 6 Play By Play System's Picks

Hi Guys, here are all the plays from all three Play By Play Systems...

Week 6 Play By Play Analysis - The Chart Explained
Power Rating
How well a team is at the most crucial aspects of winning an NFL game (As determined by my own big data research)
Favorite Spread Ratio
Reflects how much value we see in backing the FAVORITE versus the spread, after comparing the Favorite Play By Play Power Rating versus the Underdogs. (Essentially how confident we are in the Favorite covering) Currently I have set a 3.0 or more threshold for betting the Favorite, and any negative value we back the underdog.
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicts what percent of the plays in the passing game will be successful (based on down and distance)
Predicted Big Play Success Rate
Predicts what percent of the plays will go for runs > 10 and passes > 19
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
Predicts how many points per red zone play the team will obtain.
Differentials
How much better the favorite is than the underdog (negative values favor the underdog)

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
ATL
82.36
1.42
55.10
21.65
2.55
3.0
NO
78.11
54.60
19.35
2.21
Differentials
4.25
0.50
2.30
0.34
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: ATL
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
DEN
85.76
1.40
48.40
16.48
2.41
4.0
CLE
80.16
47.20
15.20
1.36
Differentials
5.60
1.20
1.28
1.05
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: DEN
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
HOU
73.06
-3.64
52.90
10.97
1.79
1.5
JAX
78.51
48.00
22.04
1.89
Differentials
-5.46
4.90
-11.07
-0.10
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: JAX
Worth A Bet?
Yes!

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
DET
72.66
-0.98
53.50
15.53
2.15
3.0
CHI
75.61
52.20
20.40
1.77
Differentials
-2.95
1.30
-4.86
0.38
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: CHI
Worth A Bet?
Yes!

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
TEN
89.38
5.50
52.88
22.54
1.95
2.5
MIA
75.63
46.00
20.70
1.82
Differentials
13.75
6.88
1.84
0.13
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: TEN
Worth A Bet?
Yes!

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
NYJ
86.27
1.04
50.40
20.65
1.86
6.0
WAS
80.05
48.58
19.32
1.05
Differentials
6.22
1.83
1.33
0.81
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: NYJ
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
ARZ
97.59
5.82
54.80
22.34
2.61
3.0
PIT
80.13
48.10
19.23
1.24
Differentials
17.46
6.70
3.11
1.37
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: ARZ
Worth A Bet?
Yes!

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
CIN
85.29
-1.91
53.20
19.79
1.67
3.5
BUF
91.97
55.50
20.59
2.63
Differentials
-6.67
-2.30
-0.81
-0.97
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: BUF
Worth A Bet?
Yes!

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
MIN
75.98
0.04
50.50
18.66
2.29
4.0
KC
75.80
50.67
18.43
2.20
Differentials
0.18
-0.17
0.23
0.09
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: KC
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
SEA
89.18
1.88
53.65
20.43
1.73
7.0
CAR
75.99
47.78
17.68
1.60
Differentials
13.19
5.88
2.75
0.13
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: SEA
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
BAL
80.56
2.82
51.30
17.75
1.90
2.5
SF
73.51
48.20
16.55
1.63
Differentials
7.05
3.10
1.20
0.26
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: BAL
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
GB
92.30
0.68
51.30
18.62
2.87
10.0
SD
85.46
47.40
18.22
2.88
Differentials
6.84
3.90
0.39
-0.01
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: SD
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
NE
89.76
1.90
57.53
19.99
2.30
7.5
IND
75.52
49.88
19.79
1.57
Differentials
14.24
7.65
0.20
0.72
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: NE
Worth A Bet?

Matchup
Power Rating
Favorite Spread Ratio
Predicted Pass Success Rate
Predicted Big Play Rate
Predicted Red Zone Pts/Play
PHI
83.53
0.66
54.00
15.90
1.81
4.0
NYG
80.88
52.70
16.17
1.39
Differentials
2.65
1.30
-0.27
0.42
PREDICTION:
Spread Favors: NYG
Worth A Bet?




Week 6 Play By Play Line Of Scrimmage Ratings - Chart Explained
This chart will show a teams overall Line Of Scrimmage rating. It is a combined offensive and defensive statistic of how well teams perform in the trenches. In theory it should give us a better idea of what team may win the line of scrimmage battle.
It is used to see which Underdogs may be stronger in the trenches (See green highlighted).

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
ATL
210
NO
203
Advantage: ATL with a rating of 7.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
DEN
203
CLE
196
Advantage: DEN with a rating of 7.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
HOU
202
JAX
197
Advantage: HOU with a rating of 5.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
DET
191
CHI
188
Advantage: DET with a rating of 3.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
TEN
204
MIA
195
Advantage: TEN with a rating of 9.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
NYJ
200
WAS
201
Advantage: **WAS with a rating of 1.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
ARZ
209
PIT
188
Advantage: ARZ with a rating of 21.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
CIN
203
BUF
204
Advantage: **BUF with a rating of 1.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
MIN
188
KC
201
Advantage: **KC with a rating of 13.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
SEA
208
CAR
191
Advantage: SEA with a rating of 17.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
BAL
196
SF
198
Advantage: **SF with a rating of 2.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
GB
209
SD
199
Advantage: GB with a rating of 10.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
NE
206
IND
191
Advantage: NE with a rating of 15.0

Team
Line Of Scrimmage Rating
PHI
189
NYG
198
Advantage: **NYG with a rating of 9.0





Week 6 QBR Rating System - Chart Explained
The QBR Rating is how well we think the QB will perform in this matchup. A rating of 100 or more is considered very good, below 90 they are likely to struggle.
We will look for Underdogs where their QB rating may be better than the favorites.

ATL
107.5
NO
118.9
Advantage: **NO with a rating of 11.4

DEN
90.6
CLE
96.2
Advantage: **CLE with a rating of 5.6

HOU
104.6
JAX
86.9
Advantage: HOU with a rating of 17.7

DET
86.2
CHI
95.9
Advantage: **CHI with a rating of 9.7

TEN
91.625
MIA
75.375
Advantage: TEN with a rating of 16.3

NYJ
78
WAS
78.975
Advantage: **WAS with a rating of 1.0

ARZ
99.3
PIT
85.7
Advantage: ARZ with a rating of 13.6

CIN
112.5
BUF
105
Advantage: CIN with a rating of 7.5

MIN
85.175
KC
90.25
Advantage: **KC with a rating of 5.1

SEA
99.8
CAR
80.2
Advantage: SEA with a rating of 19.6

BAL
109.1
SF
82.1
Advantage: BAL with a rating of 27.0

GB
80.4
SD
93.8
Advantage: **SD with a rating of 13.4

NE
124.1
IND
90.3
Advantage: NE with a rating of 33.8

PHI
109.1
NYG
112.1
Advantage: **NYG with a rating of 3.0


Best Of Luck to all!
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
Joined
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Messages
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Here is a summary of the Play By Play Picks From Each System..
(7-5-1)
(5-1)
(3-1-1)
(3-2-1)
Play By Play (Important Stats For Winning)QBR All 20+ RatingQBR UnderdogsLine Of Scrimmage Underdogs
JAXNO
an_clap.gif

NO
an_clap.gif

WAS
CHIHOUCLEBUF
TENTENCHIKC
ARZARZWASSF
BUFSEAKCNYG
BALSD
SDNYG
NE

Best of luck!
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
Joined
Mar 9, 2015
Messages
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Week 7 Play By Play System's Picks

Week 7 Plays - Please see attached

I created an excel spreadsheet for easier viewing....

TAB: PBP - Play By Play For Statistics Important For Winning an NFL game
TAB: QB - Play By Play Underdog's With Projected Better QB Performance
TAB: LOS - Play By Play Underdog's With Projected Better Line Of Scrimmage

(Note: Tennessee is off the board as a play without Marriota)

View attachment Week7Plays.xlsx

New This Week... I have created a new big data analytic that will try and determine which QB is likely to underperform. I based this
on evaluating how teams have performed in passing situations. I tested it in week 6 and it did well so fingers crossed.

Chart Explained:
Offense Pass Prot. Failure - The percent of time a team fails to protect the QB in passing situations
Defense Pressure Successs - The percent of time a team is successful pressuring the QB
Combined Overall Rating - The combined Offense and Defense rating
QB's Chance Of Underperforming - The probability that a QB will be under duress and underperform

View attachment Week7QBUnderperf.xlsx
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
Joined
Mar 9, 2015
Messages
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Week 8 Play By Play Analysis And System's Picks

Week 8 Plays - Please see attached

I created an excel spreadsheet for easier viewing....

TAB: StatSheet - Overall important stats for handicapping a game
TAB: PBP - Play By Play Picks For Statistics Important For Winning an NFL game
TAB: QB - Play By Play Picks Underdog's With Projected Better QB Performance
TAB: LOS - Play By Play Picks Underdog's With Projected Better Line Of Scrimmage

View attachment Week8Analysis.xlsx
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
Joined
Mar 9, 2015
Messages
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What The Play By Play Data Is Telling Us…

Miami/New England

  1. Miami may be able to run the ball effectively
  2. Tannehill may be in for a sub par performance

Kansas City/Detroit

  1. Both teams have some issues protecting the QB but KC has a distinct advantage in applying pass rush pressure.
  2. There is a high likelihood that Stafford may be in for a tough game.

Baltimore/San Diego


  1. Baltimore will have a good day running the ball
  2. Rivers will likely outperform Flacco
  3. Tough one to call, good one to pass on.

Cincinnati/Pittsburgh


  1. With Ben coming back all the stats are kind of meaningless

Minnesota/Chicago


  1. Bears have a slight effective running advantage
  2. The Vikings will be the team that creates and handles the pressure passing situations better
  3. The QB performances appear to be very close

Tampa Bay/ Atlanta


  1. Although we know Atlanta is the better team, the Buc’s appear to have an interesting advantage in creating pressure that may cause Ryan to throw a few picks.
  2. DeVante Freeman should have a HUGE day for the Falcons
  3. Atlanta has a weak pass rush, so Winston may make some plays.
  4. All in all this one may be closer than people think

Arizona/Cleveland


  1. Classic trap spot for Arizona. Traveling, off the MNF game against an inferior opponent.
  2. Arizona has a huge advantage in pass pressures which could lead to a very bad day for Josh.


New Orleans/NY Giants

  1. Don’t look now but the Saints are on a roll. They have a very big advantage in applying/handling pass rush pressure in this game. Eli has been great at handling the pressure, but eventually it will wind up costing the Giants.
  2. The Giants hold a slight effective running advantage
  3. Overall looks like Brees will have the better numbers

St. Louis/San Francisco

  1. San Francisco’s running game give them a punchers chance of hanging in this one.
  2. St. Louis looks like they will be all over Collin K. so look for a sub par performance from him.

Ny Jets/Oakland

  1. Very tough spot here for the Jets. Coming off the huge effort against the Patriots and now traveling East to West against a very tough Raider squad. Yikes, this one has let down written all over it.
  2. Both QB’s may enjoy some time to throw, and Oakland has a predicted slightly better performance for Carr over Fitz.
  3. Upset here would not be a surprise

Seattle/Dallas

  1. The Cowboys absolutely outplayed the Giants last week, if not for a 100 yard kickoff return the Giants lose that game.
  2. Dallas continues to impress me without Romo and Dez and I think this club is going to be very good once they are healthy.
  3. Seattle is playing better but not the dominate force they were. I think this line is inflated a bit and there is value with Dallas at home.
  4. Dallas’s pass rush versus that bad protecting O-line of Seattle makes me think that the Cowboys can hang here.

Green Bay/Denver

  1. 3-0 may win this…
  2. Both defenses playing extremely well but Denver is the cream of the crop right now.
  3. Look for Green Bay to have the advantage on the ground.
  4. Denver has a big advantage in applying pressure, so Aaron may be in for a tough game, and may turn it over more than he is accustomed too.
  5. I think getting 3 here at home is a nice play

Carolina/Indianapolis

  1. Luck isn’t right, we can all see that. The question is, how healthy is he? And what game might his health return? For that reason alone I would stay away from any Colt games.
  2. Carolina’s defense has been playing extremely well and playing at home against a beat up Colt team you would assume they would stay in control.
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
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Messages
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Ok, I have been pouring over all the data since week 6 to try and find some things that look promising and here is the best one I have found:

When the Combined Overall Rating (calculated from “Offense Pass Protection Failure” and “Defense Pressure Successs”) is at 15% or more, the team with the 15% or more predicted advantage has a 13-6-3 record against the spread.

Included in the 6 losses are these two:

  1. The backdoor cover by the Jets over the Patriots
  2. The Giants with the 110 yard kickoff return that buried Dallas (Dallas dominated statistically)

So even these two “losses” were pretty solid plays.

Tonight the Panthers fall just short to qualify, they are at 13.28%.... So it wouldn’t be a play, but it looks like decent pressure will be on Luck tonight.

Best of luck!
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
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Messages
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Ok, I have been pouring over all the data since week 6 to try and find some things that look promising and here is the best one I have found:

When the Combined Overall Rating (calculated from “Offense Pass Protection Failure” and “Defense Pressure Successs”) is at 15% or more, the team with the 15% or more predicted advantage has a 13-6-3 record against the spread.

Included in the 6 losses are these two:

  1. The backdoor cover by the Jets over the Patriots
  2. The Giants with the 110 yard kickoff return that buried Dallas (Dallas dominated statistically)

So even these two “losses” were pretty solid plays.

Tonight the Panthers fall just short to qualify, they are at 13.28%.... So it wouldn’t be a play, but it looks like decent pressure will be on Luck tonight.

Best of luck!
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
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Week 9 Play By Play Analysis And System's Picks

Week 9 Analysis, suggested plays are at the bottom of the spreadsheet, CIN wound up a play for the 13-6-3 Pressure/Turnover plays so this analytic keeps on rolling....

View attachment Week9Analysis.xlsx

Best of luck.
 

Twiiter @NBA_COMPUTERMAN
Joined
Mar 9, 2015
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CINCINNATI +5 over Arizona
Washington +7.5 over CAROLINA
Oakland -2 over DETROIT
Indianapolis +6 over ATLANTA

Best of luck.
 

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