Hey Brothers...
I had some time today to post up some thoughts here. A lot of you have messaged me about bashing and or even come to the thread to voice some displeasure with some other cappers coming in and spamming or in one's mind spamming.
I just wanted to share some thoughts here...
1) I don't cap against other cappers. I cap against the
man, not another capper. The goal here is not ONE game either....or one Capper. The goal is to win over the entire year. So, if I would have lost last night and this other capper would have won.... so what? Its not about that... at least to the point of why I play. I play to beat the MAN. PERIOD.
2) I listen. You will learn more. Let other cappers come in and voice their opinion. Yes, it is very iffy when a capper comes and says things like " Be careful" Or " Watch out" with zero insight. Now, I don't provide a ton of insight on why I pick a game in my own threads. I actually do the opposite where i attempt to make some fun of it. But otherwise you would get a 4 page thread on why I like a game... But what I would do is if I went into another capper's thread I would share WHY. Not just say " Better not do that"
3) Take last nights game for example. My opinion there was not one reason to take the BRAVES there last night. NOT A ONE. HAHAHA I would have loved to have heard a reason why I should be careful or why I shouldnt play it. I am not saying I will listen but I am always interested to hear others and their respective thoughts.
4) Little secret to Capping. Its called OPPORTUNITY. To me its everything... It why I pick a game versus another game. OPPORTUNITY and what one does with it when they get it. Everyone gets opportunity in life or in a game. HOW DO YOU ADDRESS IT when it comes.....Do you take advantage of it..... that is the key to capping and most don't even look at it....
Let's CAP last nights game.
1) You start with the obvious. Records. 45-30 vs 26-50. ADVANTAGE - INDIANS
2) Home Field - 11-30 Home Record for the Braves. Winning AWAY Record for the Indians ADVANTAGE - INDIANS
3) Pitchers - BAUER vs GANT BAUER - 3 ERA - Gave up 4 or More Runs...ONCE. Only pitched less than 6 innings ONCE. Versus a SPOT PITCHER who hasnt pitched this many innings in years. ??????????????????? GO figure he gets hurt...... ADVANTAGE - INDIANS
4) Line ups - Indians. 6 Legitimate Hitters. Braves - 1 Legitimate Hitter. I mean someone that can change a game. ADVANTAGE - INDIANS
5) Record of Capping with the selected Teams. Yes. We had our share of loses ...4 with the Braves but if it takes a Bad Decision by MATTY to lose....so be it. If it takes a 123lb Peterson to go deep on me to win it...So be it. If it takes serious JET LAG for the Giants to win a day game after traveling the night before to lose to the BRAVES...so be it... Keuschal of the Astros tanking after a CY YOUNG YEAR versus them at HOME...to win it... You can have it. Look at how we lost those games and not just the record...
6) OPPORTUNITY !!! What do these teams do in a given situation where opportunity is provided. Can they string hits together. Do they have enough players in a row to hurt you. The Braves have ONE GUY. Seriously. ONE GUY. People are going to probably argue that but it is what it is... ONE GUY. You cant string multiple hits together if you only have one guy that can change it. Indians have like 5 or 6..... ADVANTAGE - INDIANS. Oh remember the RAYS that year they went out and hired CANSECO and CASTILLA and some other big hitters. They couldnt score. No one got on base...haha Every homerun was a solo shot...
7) RUN THE GAME. You have to run the game. Play the game through. BAUER. He walks a lot of people which if we learn anything in MONEY BALL they COUNT !!!! But can the Braves take advantage of them. The answer is FLAT NO. So Bauer, as he was yesterday, can be average and still close this game up. DeSclafini on Sunday with the Padres. Same concept. GANT WALKS ANYONE or WHO EVER ON THE BRAVES DOES, YOU have 5 or 6 guys that can sting you big time..
So basically after capping that game. The Braves would have to play flawless to win it. FLAWLESS. And then common gaming practices is if you take or bet your money on the WORST TEAM in BASEBALL please for the love of god, get +200 or +300.... Not...+125 or what ever it was...it wasnt +200. Its simply not worth it.
So, anyway. Those are some of the progressions that one goes through when looking at any game. There is more depth but too much to type. Oh take a look at my game on Saturday where I lost. OVER 8 or 8.5 with the YANKS and TWINS. I thought I could neutralize the complete lack of opportunity these two teams take advantage of because the hurlers were just so bad....but it pitched me. OPPORTUNITY and what teams do with it is key to the game.... Its actually everything
Hope that helps!
So, let folks come in. Hopefully they share why they think I am wrong or any other capper is wrong. I will listen. If they win. Congrats but my day is not spent beating another capper or caring if I lost to one...Its to beat the man...cause he is the only one you will owe...
PEACE
PENNYWISE
