pay to win moneyline dog of the year

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given the choice of taking a team +41 which you expect to loose by 30-35 or a team -13 that you expect to win by 30-35,isn't lsu in the teaser the better play?
 

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lsu pete. its OK buddy. thanks for your opinions and feel free to comment any one of my plays ! gl to you.

clayborg. no! for several reasons.in my first writeup i said that lsu should win by 3-4 td's, and thats 21-28 pts (the line is just in the middle at 26).in my last reply i said that the 20-30 pts win is possible and thats what the bookmakers expect. and thats what lsu can do on any given night against lat. i said that the line would be -30 to -35 if the bookies expected lsu to crush lsu on saturday. but obviously they dont. i will rather go with a +41 underdog that has a nice chance to cover that number (in my opinion) than with a -12 fav in a POSSIBLE let down spot. gl to you.
 

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