1/30 1-0 (win by 22)
Jan 14-7
Ytd 36-24
(btw I averaged the 'win by' and 'lose by' in this forum - this systems average win is 10.41 pts and average loss is 8.2 pts - this is close to what it is for our much larger sample, so im going to discontinue posting that stat here - should have satisfied that earlier posters question - if we were hitting 60% but the average loss was higher than average win we'd be getting lucky, if we hitting 60% AND all the winners are beating spread by 2+ pts more than the losers are losing by, that is robust)
Jan 14-7
Ytd 36-24
(btw I averaged the 'win by' and 'lose by' in this forum - this systems average win is 10.41 pts and average loss is 8.2 pts - this is close to what it is for our much larger sample, so im going to discontinue posting that stat here - should have satisfied that earlier posters question - if we were hitting 60% but the average loss was higher than average win we'd be getting lucky, if we hitting 60% AND all the winners are beating spread by 2+ pts more than the losers are losing by, that is robust)
you used to be able to contact me but someone in admin on rxforum here cut off the PM function (unless i did something wrong). I would hope they turn it on again. BTW am applying same methodology to college halftime totals and last week was 50-28. Only playing very small for a few friends to make sure bug free but I like college in sense there are 8-10X more games. Might set up separate thread here if I have time.
As an aside Ive had fewer nba plays last 2 weeks -not sure why. 80% likely is just variance. 20% possible vegas has made tighter lines. Tighter lines dont mean I lose, but mean I have less 'setups' that give me the edge Im looking for. Hope theres 3-4 plays tonight!
As an aside Ive had fewer nba plays last 2 weeks -not sure why. 80% likely is just variance. 20% possible vegas has made tighter lines. Tighter lines dont mean I lose, but mean I have less 'setups' that give me the edge Im looking for. Hope theres 3-4 plays tonight!
