Orl Only -2 @ GS ???

[zeeman23]

It does look a little trapish. As bad an as injured the Warriors have looked, I can't play the Warriors. looks like a game to stay away from.

Here is a little system that comes up favoring the Warriors.

Play against a team on the final game of a 3+ game road trip (opposing conferences), who has covered 4+ straight.

30-17 ATS since 1995. If the road team was favored they have lost 9 straight ATS.

 

[yanni_gogolak]

yanni, that's why the line is 2...

Howard is doubtful and that's figured into the line...If he plays, that line will move 3 or 3.5 points...

Like I have said a million times before, doesn't mean ORL won't cover here, but you couldn't pay me to play ORL here is this spot...

I love how folks talk about the "trap" lines that looked so easy and covered but they leave out all the ones that didn't cover...

im not as worried about howard out. im looking at ORL who just beat UT w/o him and GS who just got killed by two big strong teams in DEN and HOU. ORL is still big w/o howard.

 

[yanni_gogolak]

Play against a team on the final game of a 3+ game road trip (opposing conferences), who has covered 4+ straight.

30-17 ATS since 1995. If the road team was favored they have lost 9 straight ATS.

thats a good one

 

[brewers7]

im not as worried about howard out. im looking at ORL who just beat UT w/o him and GS who just got killed by two big strong teams in DEN and HOU. ORL is still big w/o howard.

Well, with GS, there is a LOT to be worried about...No Turiaf hurts them a LOT on the inside on the defensive end...A team won't feel the effects of an injury to a major player for a couple of games in Howard's case...A good team generally rises up without a marquee player for a game or 2...

But all I am saying is, and I have seen this over a thousand times over the years in the NBA and NFL:

If it looks too good to be true, then usually, it is...

Vegas and all of these sportsbooks and casinos across the globe weren't built to give away free money...

 

[yanni_gogolak]

i didnt watch the game but from the boxscore it looks like ORL dominated them the whole game. This was just as much a fade of GS for how poor they have been lately.