One Play a Day The Offshore Edition - Monday July 27

[Michelangelo]

Balty -1' +134 (vs Atl)

 

[ML Dog]

Could it be an over reactions to the Red Sox scoring 11 runs last night? Opened -130 at 5dimes and now -173 at 5dimes.

If so this has gotta be among the most ridiculous and intense over-reactions we've seen this Season in baseball.

This will be very very interesting. Maybe Cadillac Frank has some Dirt on Danks and he's gonna Do a Dive.

 

[Greenbacks]

That was my thought too.

Either way, I don't see how you can talk yourself into a play on the Red Sox just cause of the steam. That side of the line has lost any semblance of value now.

Free money never loses VALUE.

 

[ML Dog]

There is valuable potential in a thread like this "outing" possibly dangerous plays like this. Immense Value in avoiding Losing Plays. To Preach to The Choir lol. I personally enjoy staying off a Losing Play often as much as being on a Winner. If only I'd accomplished that with The ReggaeBoys last night. "Mexico don't lose Finals" hno:

 

[ML Dog]

That was my thought too.

Either way, I don't see how you can talk yourself into a play on the Red Sox just cause of the steam. That side of the line has lost any semblance of value now.

BoSox -173??!!?? I can't even recall when we've SEEN that recently. Freaky. -166 right now at 5D CHIW +156.

Is Abreu out? "Over the last 30 games, Abreu is slashing .301/.344/.431"...I'd really like to understand this Movement.

 

[Enfuego]

I'm on Seattle/Arizona Under 7.5 tonight.

The game has gone under in 11 of the last 16 matchups.
The under has hit in 6 of Arizona's last 8.

Love the lefty Montgomery at home.

 

[okie77]

Royals -1.05 Listed pitchers

 

[HarryCaray]

Free money never loses VALUE.

If you think that laying -163 with the Red Sox (or any team) is "free money", I don't even know what to say.

And if you think there is value in chasing steam 30 full cents AFTER the line move settles, you are misguided.

 

[Enfuego]

Also really like CWS/Boston U 9.

 

[ML Dog]

I'm on Seattle/Arizona Under 7.5 tonight.

The game has gone under in 11 of the last 16 matchups.
The under has hit in 6 of Arizona's last 8.

Love the lefty Montgomery at home.

I did consider this play pretty strongly as well. Ray for The DBacks had his most challenging outing yet last out, cost me but I expect him to return to form tonight. Lefty on Lefty matchup, SEATTLE who I've done well with on Unders this year....stuff fits just I got Ray in Observation Mode atm cuz he let me down last out. GL :toast:

 

[ML Dog]

If you think that laying -163 with the Red Sox (or any team) is "free money", I don't even know what to say.

And if you think there is value in chasing steam 30 full cents AFTER the line move settles, you are misguided.

Quite Well Said. And Utter Gospel.

Like I said....will be very very interesting....this one tonight.

 

[HarryCaray]

Quite Well Said. And Utter Gospel.

Like I said....will be very very interesting....this one tonight.

I ended up taking the White Sox just out of principal. Hahahaha

Small play

 

[FearTheRaven]

Atl-O's Over 7.5

 

[ML Dog]

I ended up taking the White Sox just out of principal. Hahahaha

Small play

Good. Linesmakers just tryin' to DEEK YA anywayz.

Now it'll be even more interesting.

 

[JoeFalls]

chisox open the game w/back-to-back triples.

 

[JoeFalls]

then a double.......

 

[RenoChazz]

White Sox off to a 4-0 lead, KC off to a 3-0 lead. Glad I bet it early before anyone could talk me out of it, though I missed out on a way better line.

 

[ML Dog]

White Sox off to a 4-0 lead, KC off to a 3-0 lead. Glad I bet it early before anyone could talk me out of it, though I missed out on a way better line.

Joe Kelly is who you guys thought he was.

 

[Bourn]

White Sox off to a 4-0 lead, KC off to a 3-0 lead. Glad I bet it early before anyone could talk me out of it, though I missed out on a way better line.

Yeah, I should have stuck to my guns. Line movements can really mess you up. I think you have to be confident in what you know and stick to your guns. (Which I didn't do in this instance)

 

[HarryCaray]

White Sox off to a 4-0 lead, KC off to a 3-0 lead. Glad I bet it early before anyone could talk me out of it, though I missed out on a way better line.

Great starts.