On The Hop's 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball

[OnTheHop]

YTD 55-59-2 -6.99

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4 (-108), 1 unit: Getting a break here since the Yellow Jackets took the Irish to OT in South Bend. The talent gap here is huge and I expect a frustrated ND team to take it out on GT tonight.
Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers -4 (-103), 1 unit: Tough to back an awful team giving points. Check the strength of schedule discrepancy and you'll see why I'm on this one.
Baylor Bears -2 (-105), 1 unit: Sandwich spot for the Cyclones against an experienced Bears squad.
San Diego State Aztecs +1.5 (-105), 1 unit: First one to 50 wins. In a battle like this I'll take the tougher, more experienced team that has played a much harder schedule thus far.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits -9.5 (-107), 1 unit: Going back to the well.....again. Don't think the oddsmakers have adjusted for Marshall being eligible for this team. Difference maker.

 

[OnTheHop]

YTD 58-61-2 -6.12

Cincinnati Bearcats +1 (-105), 1 unit
Colorado Buffaloes +16 (-105), 1 unit
Long Beach State 49ers -5.5 (-108), 1 unit
Washington State Cougars +4 (-109), 1 unit
BYU Cougars -9 (-105), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

YTD 61-63-2 -5.25

Utah Utes +6 (-105), 1 unit
Duke Blue Devils +3 (-108), 1 unit
LSU Tigers -5 (-105), 1 unit
Penn State Nittany Lions -1 (-105), 1 unit
Georgia Bulldogs +2 (-105), 1 unit
Michigan State Spartans +2.5 (-108), 1 unit
Alabama Crimson Tide +10 (-105), 1 unit
Iowa State Cyclones -4 (-105), 1 unit
Long Beach State 49ers -3 (-108), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Adding:

ML Parlay: Oklahoma Sooners/Michigan Wolverines/Arkansas Razorbacks/Wofford Terriers (+161)

 

[OnTheHop]

YTD 65-69-2 -7.53

ML Parlay: St. John's Red Storm/Washington Huskies (+100), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

YTD: 65-70-2 -8.53

TCU Horned Frogs +2.5 (-105), 1 unit: Season defining game for the Horned Frogs who are getting no respect. Tough spot for Longhorns after beating WVU with Kansas up next.
Kansas Jayhawks -5 (-107), 1 unit: Expect an incredibly focused Jayhawks squad coming off a loss. I'm not a huge Bill Self fan but they seem to deliver their best performances after losses.
Villanova Wildcats -4 (-105), 1 unit: Guard play tends to control games like this and I think there is a huge advantage here for the Wildcats. They will get out and run to neutralize Smith and while road favorites are not a huge recipe for success this number is too small to ignore.

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight my friend!!!

 

[OnTheHop]

Thanks XS. Need to turn it around.

YTD: 66-71-2, -9.63

Davidson Wildcats -3 (-108), 1 unit
Nebraska Cornhuskers -3 (-105), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Bizzare end of game scenario in Nebraska. Strange to push that one.

YTD: 67-71-1, -8.63

Tulsa Golden Hurricane -4.5 (-108), 1 unit
ML Parlay: Texas A&M Aggies/St. John's Red Storm/Auburn Tigers (+113), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Would never have picked Auburn to be the parlay destroyer
YTD 68-72-1, -8.63

Alabama Crimson Tide +7 (-102), 1 unit
Indiana Hoosiers -1.5 (-105), 1 unit
Oregon State Beavers +2 (-105), 1 unit
Colorado Buffaloes -1.5 (-109), 1 unit
St. Mary's Gaels +15 (-107), 1 unit
Seton Hall Pirates -10 (-102), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Back after a break. Let's see if it helps.

YTD: 71-75-1, -8.91

Boise State Broncos -2 (-109), 1 unit
Oklahoma State Cowboys -3.5 (-105), 1 unit
ML Parlay: Georgia Bulldogs/Georgetown Hoyas/Buffalo Bulls (+183), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Let's play "Who will f--k up the parlay"?

YTD 73-76-1 -7.91

LSU Tigers -5 (-103), 1 unit
Minnesota Golden Gophers -1 (-105), 1 unit
Marquette Golden Eagles -3.5 (-107), 1 unit
​Arizona State Sun Devils/Miami Hurricanes/North Carolina State Wolfpack (-103), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Lucky to go 1-3 last night. Not seeing it well. Night off.

YTD: 74-79-1 -10.06

 

[OnTheHop]

Took a few days off. Big card today.

74-79-1, -10.06

Seton Hall Pirates +2 (-105), 1 unit: Home Musketeers good. Road Musketeers bad. Pirates showed me a lot with a convincing win at Marquette just when they looked like they were done.
St. John's Red Storm -3 (-101), 1 unit: This Red Storm team frustrates the hell out of me. For some reason I continue to back them. Every year they get on a run about this time. Hopefully that starts tonight.
Davidson Wildcats -3 (-101), 2 units: This is the best team in the country that no one is talking about. They are brutally tough to guard and do a fantastic job taking care of the ball. This young Hawks squad isn't ready to win this one, even at home.
TCU Horned Frogs +10 (-108), 1 unit: Sandwich spot for the Cyclones between Texas and Kansas. Shot for the Horned Frogs to stay close.
Butler Bulldogs -2.5 (-108), 1 unit: Golden Eagles have hit a wall. Their short rotation is killing them and they aren't physically ready to battle a tough Bulldogs squad that shoots the 3 well enough to bust the Marquette zone.
Northern Iowa Panthers +2.5 (-105), 1 unit: This one comes down to home court for me. I expect the crowd to be the difference between two very evenly matched teams.
Alabama Crimson Tide +19 (-105), 1 unit: Wildcats are fantastic and they're going to win this one. Crimson Tide are big enough and tough enough to stay within the number.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits -8 (-102), 1 unit: No one in the country hotter than the Jackrabbits since Marshall gained eligibility. Pioneers brutal away from home.
ML Parlay: Florida Gators/South Carolina Gamecocks (+120), 1 unit
ML Parlay: Baylor Bears/Virginia Cavaliers (+144), 1 unit
Ties Win Teaser: Creighton Blue Jays +7/Long Beach State 49ers -4 (+101), 1 unit
Ties Win Teaser: Pittsburgh Panthers +8/Illinois Fighting Illini -1 (+101), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Finally a decent day. Some good breaks....Butler and some bad ones....Virginia. Only game I missed badly on was Creighton. Nothing jumping out at me today so no reason to force.

82-83-1, -6.95

 

[OnTheHop]

Let's see how it goes after two days away.

82-83-1, -6.95

Florida Gators -2 (-105), 1 unit
ML Parlay: Butler Bulldogs/Arkansas Razorbacks/Oklahoma Sooners (+154)

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight my friend!!!

 

[OnTheHop]

Thanks XS, to you as well. Few days off, let's see if I can get this thing going again.

83-84-1, -6.41

Notre Dame Fighting Irish +9.5 (-110), 1 unit
Arizona State Sun Devils +8.5 (-110), 1 unit
Louisville Cardinals +7 (-110), 1 unit
UCLA Bruins -3.5 (-110), 1 unit
SMU Mustangs +1 (-110), 1 unit
Long Beach State 49ers -4.5 (-110), 1 unit
Florida Gators +8 (-110), 1 unit
South Dakota State Jackrabbits -5 (-110), 1 unit
ML Parlay: Xavier Musketeers/West Virginia Mountaineers/Michigan State Spartans (+135), 1 unit

 

[OnTheHop]

Actually lost 2/3 of a ML parlay. That is hard to do. Somehow still had a winning day.

88-88-1, -5.71

Oregon State Beavers -4 (-105), 1 unit: Really impressed with what Tinkle has done with the Beavers. Two teams moving in different directions. OSU has enough to contain Williams-Goss which should get them the win at home.
Boise State Broncos +1.5 (-109), 1 unit: This one is about name recognition. Most people remember the Aztecs and their nice run last year. However, this team has been mediocre on the road and while their defense is still excellent their offense is even more limited than before. The Broncos are playing good basketball and have a nice go to option with Marks against this tough D.
ML Parlay: Indiana Hoosiers/Iowa Hawkeyes, 1 unit to win .73

 

[OnTheHop]

Brutal card today. Pass.

​91-88-1, -2.98