Kansas State +111 (wrong team favored)
North Carolina -4 (tremendous line value)
North Carolina -200
o138 Purdue-North Carolina -105
North Carolina -2 1st H -115
North Carolina -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Mississippi State +7
o123.5 Mississippi State-Ohio State -105
Mississippi State +265
Mississippi State +3.5 1st H
Mississippi State +2 1st 10mins 1st H
Florida State +3.5 -101 (should be laying 3-5 here)
Florida State +156
Florida State +2 1st H -115
Florida State +1 1st 10mins 1st H
California -7.5 -107
California -330
California -4.5 1st H
California -2.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105
Auburn +100 (Should be laying -5-7 at Rutgers)
Stanford -14.5 -105 (rout from start to finish, could double this)
Stanford -8.5 1st H
Stanford -5 1st 10mins 1st H -115
Gonzaga +7 -105
Gonzaga +255
Gonzaga +4 1st H
Gonzaga +2 1st 10mins 1st H -115
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I have some stuff to get to but I will quickly touch on a couple of the games.
I think the world of Purdue as they are one of the handful of teams I feel would have a great chance of beating UConn. However this is a bad matchup for them as they do not have the talent from 1-5 to matchup with North Carolina & the type of game they want to play.
The Tar Heels have underachieved at times this year as they have not played to the best of their abilities. This was quite evident in their 1st round game in which they played around with UCF in what was in a reality a 10-12 game & not the 5 point final margin.
This performance has created exceptional line value here as a Tar Heel team performing the way they should have has this line at worst double what it is now. Purdue will give them a game but in the end I think the Tar Heels win by 10-15 points.
Florida State is a team in which I have favored in my ratings. I respect the job Charli Turner Thorne does with the Sun Devils year in & year out. When you play a C.T.T. coached team, you can expect a hard fought battle especially on the defensive side of the ball.
However there is one recipe to beating them & that is athleticism. Over the years, they have always had trouble with teams who were more athletic especially on the perimeter. Florida State has the athletes to give the Sun Devils trouble. However this is not the only concern for them.
While they still have arguably the best defender in the West Coast in G Brianna January & is second on the team in scoring, I still feel the loss of their leading scorer Dymond Simon will hurt them. Even with the two of them playing, Arizona State was not known for their offensive prowess.
They play a defensive oriented system & are good for 1-2 scoring droughts in a typical game. They are able to survive because their defense is usually top notch. However I don't think they can get away with that against a Seminoles squad featuring 3 double digit scorers (a 4th is just .3 away from averaging double digits) who are all ACC & helped lead them to a tie for the conference championship.
I just think Florida State is too much for Arizona State as they have better athletes, play just as good of defense, & are quite superior offensively. The pick your poison will be in full effect as the Seminoles pull away to a 8-12 point outright win.
Stanford: Complete mismatch here even playing at San Diego State. The precision of Stanford's offense along with their star Jane Appel will be too much for the Aztecs. Look for Appel to go off for 30pts & 10-15 boards tonight. They should be able to double up that #.
I am not a parlay person but I know some of you are If you want throw in Stanford on those goofy ML parlays as you are not losing. If you want to add value to it throw in Florida State as well.
Auburn should be laying almost double digits in this spot. I love Rutgers but they are a 2 woman team in Prince & Vaughn. They are another team like Arizona State who focuses more on defense than offense. If they had a legitimate scoring offense, they would have won multiple WNCAA titles by now as their defense when on is that good.
Auburn's will win this game by double digits as they will have too much offensive firepower for a very young Rutgers team to handle. The only chance Rutgers has if Prince & Vaughn both have monster games as 1 out of 2 won't get it done.