On The 2009 NCAAW Tournament Hardwood

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Thanks egd took gt +6 for the game and +5.5 for the second half. Liberty came through and took Baylor for the game but came back with utsa second half +12.5. Also took tenn -15.5 half for the game but ball state +8.5 second half. Just lost the juice on tenn and Baylor but killed them on that gt, i got lucky with liberty. Thanks egd. I also caught a break with that mizz game, suprised the ref called that. Gotta get lucky sometimes. Good to you guys with the rest of the womens tourney.
 
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Kansas State +111 (wrong team favored)

North Carolina -4 (tremendous line value)
North Carolina -200
o138 Purdue-North Carolina -105
North Carolina -2 1st H -115
North Carolina -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Mississippi State +7
o123.5 Mississippi State-Ohio State -105
Mississippi State +265
Mississippi State +3.5 1st H
Mississippi State +2 1st 10mins 1st H

Florida State +3.5 -101 (should be laying 3-5 here)
Florida State +156
Florida State +2 1st H -115
Florida State +1 1st 10mins 1st H

California -7.5 -107
California -330
California -4.5 1st H
California -2.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Auburn +100 (Should be laying -5-7 at Rutgers)

Stanford -14.5 -105 (rout from start to finish, could double this)
Stanford -8.5 1st H
Stanford -5 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Gonzaga +7 -105
Gonzaga +255
Gonzaga +4 1st H
Gonzaga +2 1st 10mins 1st H -115

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I have some stuff to get to but I will quickly touch on a couple of the games.

I think the world of Purdue as they are one of the handful of teams I feel would have a great chance of beating UConn. However this is a bad matchup for them as they do not have the talent from 1-5 to matchup with North Carolina & the type of game they want to play.

The Tar Heels have underachieved at times this year as they have not played to the best of their abilities. This was quite evident in their 1st round game in which they played around with UCF in what was in a reality a 10-12 game & not the 5 point final margin.

This performance has created exceptional line value here as a Tar Heel team performing the way they should have has this line at worst double what it is now. Purdue will give them a game but in the end I think the Tar Heels win by 10-15 points.

Florida State is a team in which I have favored in my ratings. I respect the job Charli Turner Thorne does with the Sun Devils year in & year out. When you play a C.T.T. coached team, you can expect a hard fought battle especially on the defensive side of the ball.

However there is one recipe to beating them & that is athleticism. Over the years, they have always had trouble with teams who were more athletic especially on the perimeter. Florida State has the athletes to give the Sun Devils trouble. However this is not the only concern for them.

While they still have arguably the best defender in the West Coast in G Brianna January & is second on the team in scoring, I still feel the loss of their leading scorer Dymond Simon will hurt them. Even with the two of them playing, Arizona State was not known for their offensive prowess.

They play a defensive oriented system & are good for 1-2 scoring droughts in a typical game. They are able to survive because their defense is usually top notch. However I don't think they can get away with that against a Seminoles squad featuring 3 double digit scorers (a 4th is just .3 away from averaging double digits) who are all ACC & helped lead them to a tie for the conference championship.

I just think Florida State is too much for Arizona State as they have better athletes, play just as good of defense, & are quite superior offensively. The pick your poison will be in full effect as the Seminoles pull away to a 8-12 point outright win.

Stanford: Complete mismatch here even playing at San Diego State. The precision of Stanford's offense along with their star Jane Appel will be too much for the Aztecs. Look for Appel to go off for 30pts & 10-15 boards tonight. They should be able to double up that #.

I am not a parlay person but I know some of you are If you want throw in Stanford on those goofy ML parlays as you are not losing. If you want to add value to it throw in Florida State as well.

Auburn should be laying almost double digits in this spot. I love Rutgers but they are a 2 woman team in Prince & Vaughn. They are another team like Arizona State who focuses more on defense than offense. If they had a legitimate scoring offense, they would have won multiple WNCAA titles by now as their defense when on is that good.

Auburn's will win this game by double digits as they will have too much offensive firepower for a very young Rutgers team to handle. The only chance Rutgers has if Prince & Vaughn both have monster games as 1 out of 2 won't get it done.
 
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Florida State +145 2nd H

Auburn -3 2nd H
Auburn -170 2nd H
Auburn -2 1st 10mins 2nd H -105

Rutgers shot lights out in the 1st H. The usual ammo for them when this happens is to cool off badly. Past results will show you this regardless of who the players were.

Auburn is still in this game & I feel could still win outright if they get it together. At such a cheap number, I will jump on.

Florida State line is a sucker one in my opinion. I am not biting on the Sun Devils as I stand by my statements on their chances of winning.
 
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Louisville -3.5 -105
o118 Louisville-LSU -105
Louisville -160
Louisville -2 1st H -105
Louisville -1 1st 10mins 1st H

Iowa State -13 -105
Iowa State -7 1st H
Iowa State -4 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Maryland -13.5
o139 Utah-Maryland -105
Maryland -7.5 1st H
Maryland -4 1st 10mins 1st H

Duke -6 -105 (should be at least 10)
Duke -275
Duke -3 1st H
Duke -1.5 1st10mins 1st H -115

Georgia Tech +11.5 -105
o132.5 Georgia Tech-Oklahoma -105
Georgia Tech +700
Georgia Tech +6.5 1st H
Georgia Tech +3.5 1st10mins 1st H -105

Baylor -3.5 -105 (way too low, should be at least -8)
Baylor -180
Baylor -2 1st H
Baylor -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Minnesota +13 -103
Minnesota +810
Minnesota +7 1st H
Minnesota +4 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Florida +31 (got to be kidding me with this #)
o143 Florida-Connecticut -105
Florida +25000
Florida +17 1st H
Florida +9.5 1st 10mins 1st H
 

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You capped every game which is nice but do you like some more than others ? Thanks for your efforts on these games
 

trying to get paid
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Good Luck tonight!! I am all over Duke and Maryland! Best wishes!!!
 
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You capped every game which is nice but do you like some more than others ? Thanks for your efforts on these games

I don't like to single out games for people. However if I had to choose which I prefer most, the volume of plays would indicate it more times than not. Tonight (in no order of preference): Duke, Georgia Tech, Baylor, & Florida
 
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Fucking bullshit with this Uconn game. They are getting all the calls, 15 FT - 2 FT as I type this. Florida has the talent to compete with UConn & actually has more depth.

However when you have your main scorer who is just as talented as Maya Moore with 3 BULLSHIT foul calls, you will be in trouble.

This is a 6 point game even with those troubles & a few bullshit calls later it is stretched out to 20.

If anyone really thinks UConn is the best team ever is really fucking clueless. They are a joke in those regards.
 
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Utah +5 2nd H

Duke -6 (shady line but I still believe they win easily)
Duke -3.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115

Minnesota +4.5 2nd h

Florida +10.5 2nd H
Florida +5.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -105
 
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Baylor -3 2nd H
Baylor -2 1st 10mins 1st H -105

RIP South Dakota State:

The Lady Jack Rabbits run in this tournament is over. You had a chance to blow Baylor out & put the nail in their coffin. You had them shooting 0% for part of the 1st H & a double digit lead without hitting your 3's.

Now the Lady Bears got their feet under them, have continued to shutdown your one trick pony 3 point scoring & are only down 1. This all happened even though they go into HT shooting 23%. Baylor will cover this game with relative ease in the 2nd H & win comfortably by 12+.
 

LADY LUCK
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Baylor -3 2nd H
Baylor -2 1st 10mins 1st H -105

RIP South Dakota State:

The Lady Jack Rabbits run in this tournament is over. You had a chance to blow Baylor out & put the nail in their coffin. You had them shooting 0% for part of the 1st H & a double digit lead without hitting your 3's.

Now the Lady Bears got their feet under them, have continued to shutdown your one trick pony 3 point scoring & are only down 1. This all happened even though they go into HT shooting 23%. Baylor will cover this game with relative ease in the 2nd H & win comfortably by 12+.


Not very often that YOU say shit like that !!!!...

I love the analysis...especially the 1 trick pony part !!!!

I just read that ...thought about it.... and pulled the trigger very hard....donyt let me down EGD!!!!! :lol:
 

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EGD,

I have enjoyed reading your thread.
How are you doing for the first two rounds of the tourney?

Doc
 
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Baylor +1.5 2nd H
Baylor -.5 1st 10mins 2nd H +100

Maryland -4 -114
o145.5 Vanderbilt-Maryland -105
Maryland -182
Maryland -2.5 1st H -120
o68.5 Vanderbilt-Maryland 1st H
Maryland -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115
o34 Vanderbilt-Maryland 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Stanford -12.5 -103
Stanford -7 1st H
Stanford -3.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

o114.5 Michigan State-Iowa State -105
 
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Maryland -3.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -115
o34.5 Vanderbilt-Iowa State 1st 10mins 2nd H

--------

Sunday:

California +19 -105
California +11.5 1st H

Texas A&M -3.5
Texas A&M -1.5 1st H -115

Pittsburgh +11.5 -105
Pittsburgh +6.5 1st H

I like Purdue to win over Rutgers. However I am waiting for a ML as no need to get +1. They should win by 8-12 easily.
 

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