104 looks too easy for an over. If you're gonna play over, the play is over 52 3Q... and if you like under, I think under 52.5 4Q is the play. Your logic for playing over is that the game is going to be close enough for the Lakers to bother fouling at the end (I'd assume). The safer thing to do at that point is play over in the 3rd because nothing is slowing down then... But if you prefer the under, you're basically banking on the Lakers just letting the last couple minutes basically run out... and under 52.5 4Q is safer at that point.