Trump needs to take things seriously. I know everybody here has that same 2016 fantasy running in their heads – ie. the polls don’t matter, he’s going to crush Harris on 11/5, just like magic. Well, let me clue you in. Pollsters are a lot more accurate today than they were then. They got 2020 right and nailed the 2022 midterms - and unless Trump doesn't get his ass out of the Cheese state where he hasn’t a prayer, gets himself down in the sunbelt where he’s trending down in both NC and GA, then back up to PA where he should immediately take up residence – all that will be heard here on 11/6 is “Another election stolen!!”. Stop kidding yourselves.
Trump has a republican problem. It's not the libtards that elected Biden, it was Republicans.
When Dick Cheney and George Will endorses a democratic, a black female democratic, your boy is in trouble.
We project Trump is losing 5.41%-9.13% of republicans that voted for him in 2020, where he only got 89% of republicans.
Yes Jan 6th and the 34 Felonies have really hurt Trump with the Old monied Republican base, Pence/Cheney/Bush crowd. They are not big enough to elect a republican but they are big enough to defeat one.
When Dick Cheney and George Will endorses a democratic, a black female democratic, your boy is in trouble.
We project Trump is losing 5.41%-9.13% of republicans that voted for him in 2020, where he only got 89% of republicans.
Yes Jan 6th and the 34 Felonies have really hurt Trump with the Old monied Republican base, Pence/Cheney/Bush crowd. They are not big enough to elect a republican but they are big enough to defeat one.
Two good polling days for Trump, but Harris’s numbers don’t drop, meaning “undecideds” are now moving to the right. Tuesday’s VP debate could boost either side, and I like Vance’s chances – provided he can avoid some predictable jabs by Walz – and avoid like the plague dog-eating Haitian references.
If you call these final poll results in 2020 accurate , I don’t want to know what your definition of inaccurate is . Notice which candidate they underestimated .
2020 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling
Explore poll data on the 2020 General Election between Trump and Biden. Gain insights into key trends and electoral dynamics.
Why?
Trump couldn't give two shits.
Neither do I.
45-47 - Laws and Orders
Declaration of War by Wartime President 10 US Code §12302 & §12034 47 US Code §606 Full Media Control Worldwide (1000s imbedded "17s")Executive Order 13818, 13919, 13823, 13848, 13959...11 Executive Orders with 11 National Emergencies extended 4 years in a row by FAKE "Biden" 50 US Code §1621, §1631, §1701 The Uniform Code of US Military Justice in force since Dec 20th, 2019 DoD Law of War Manual & Federal Continuity Directives 1 & 2Keep watching "the movie"
The trouble with RCP – which is a great source for me in terms of quick posting of raw polls – is that RCP’s heavy GOP lean has them using some real outlier polls in their averaging; just like 538 and Nate Silver’s SB, both of which lean the other way. I do my own raw poll averaging, and I’ve got Harris up-ticking from a lead of 2.7% to 2.9% - still a big drop from her post debate numbers; not a very big deal in the long run, unless it turns into a trend.
Is that a joke?RCP has a heavy GOP lean ?
Please give me the heavy outliers that lean GOP and their results from the 2020 election compared to the pollsters that lean the other way .
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/
RCP – God bless them – doesn’t even pretend to be a non-biased website, as just a glimpse at the stories they ran today should tell you. I’ve followed RCP since 2008, and their non-leaning days ended in 2017, when after the 2016 elections, they laid off all their left-leaning and/or neutral journalists in order to move to the rightist demographic. As far as outlier polls go, I’ll take one: Rasmussen Reports which, after Biden dropped out, and Harris’s new candidacy was announced - and when every non-partisan pollster polled numbers that had Harris outperforming Trump - Ramussen strangely “polled” Trump as not only leading Harris, but posted her numbers as being similar to Biden’s. Recently leaked emails between Rasmussen and the Trump campaign pretty much inferred that money has changed hands (which is when I dropped them from my list of polls). 538 has also dropped Rasmussen, but Nate Silver still uses them for his projections, however he now weights them as less reliable and more partisan.
You gave me one . Lol .
And Rasmussen was one the most accurate pollsters in the 2020 election . Their final prediction compared to the actual results .
What other pollsters do you consider heavy right leaning and what do their poll numbers currently show ?
Compared to how many left leaning pollsters that constantly over represent Dems in their polling and were embarrassing wrong in their margin of error for the 2020 election . ABC/WAPO , Morning Consult , Ipsos , YouGov, Monmouth with Quinnipac and CNN the two worst . And that’s nowhere near the full list .
Trump should get a small bounce in the polls following the VP debate, where Vance sounded more natural than Walz, and avoided any of the expected pitfalls. It was a very gentlemanly debate, that put a national polish on Vance, who’d been a MSM whipping boy since Trump picked him. Walz, on the other hand, looked uncomfortable; his responses more like stump speech bits and pieces. This should add up to a full percentage point for Trump in the polls we may see as soon as Friday.
You can stop waiting, I’m not playing your game; the one where I name a right-leaning pollster, who pulls RCP’s projections beyond the mean, and you get crazy talking about how they were really accurate in 1954 or something. No. I just don’t buy ANYONE’s projections, I just average polls which I hope are non-partizan (tossing polls like Rasmussen, which may be breaking election laws with their relationship with the Trump campaign),
https://newrepublic.com/post/186444/conservative-poll-rasmussen-secretly-worked-trump-team
and keeping right-leaning ones like Atlasideal – the cream of the crop. Just be happy with having RCP in your corner.
I have to say, however, that I appreciate the fact that, unlike your childish MAGA brethren, you haven’t yet resorted to name-calling. GL
https://newrepublic.com/post/186444/conservative-poll-rasmussen-secretly-worked-trump-team
and keeping right-leaning ones like Atlasideal – the cream of the crop. Just be happy with having RCP in your corner.
I have to say, however, that I appreciate the fact that, unlike your childish MAGA brethren, you haven’t yet resorted to name-calling. GL
The game is too tough for you to play .
The right leaning pollster pulled RCP’s projections to the right . Lol !
Final 2020 polls . Look at all these right leaning pollsters
Rasmussen +1 Biden
CNBC +10
Quinnipiac +11
NBC / WSJ +10
Harvard Harris +8
Even FOX +8
All plus for Biden .
But tell me more about Rasmussen pulling the projections to the right .
2020 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling
Explore poll data on the 2020 General Election between Trump and Biden. Gain insights into key trends and electoral dynamics.
