October Soccer

[rolltide]

new thread....
YTD 295-25-214 +79.81 (666.66)

Thu Europa:
Frankfurt .54u to win .50u
- just playing on history in this one as not only has a cypriot club never beaten a german one in almost 40 tries but apoel are 1-1-10 vs germans.

Dinamo Zagreb o2.25 .5u to win .51u
Zagreb L3 europa allowed 2-1-3. In CL allowed 2 in both legs vs Vienna. LY in CL allowed 1-3-4-2-2-2 in group stage. Ludo allowed 2 & 4 to Basel in CL this year and teams played 3-2 and 1-1 in CL last year.

____________________________________________________________________________________

Sat Mexico:
Chivas 1u to win 7.44u
- biggest derby in Mexico and I'd never price either team higher than +500 no matter their form

 

[rolltide]

Fri MLS 8pm

Chicago 1u to win 1.5u

 

[rolltide]

got back 1.01 from Europa today

YTD 297-25-214 +80.82 (667.70)

pending:
Chicago 1/1.5 (fri)
Chivas 1/7.44 (sat)

 

[gobucks]

Fri MLS 8pm

Chicago 1u to win 1.5u

Agree 100%. DC United just won its super bowl Tuesday night in an otherwise bleak season 3 time zones away....now asked to come back and play what for them is a meaningless game against a team a must win situation. I really like Ben Olsen and am happy for him to win the cup, but the situation cries out away win. Congrats on a great year so far rolltide.

 

[stander]

Nice start to the month Roll!

 

[nojuice9]

Great start!

 

[varkeyboy]

Great start! Thanks.

 

[rolltide]

Agree 100%. DC United just won its super bowl Tuesday night

saw an insane stat that Collin (SKC) has won 127 balls in the air this year.....DC (the team) has won 136.

DC United vs Chicago Fire

- big letdown match here for United who won the US Open Cup on Tuesday night. Now, just 68 hours after playing in altitude across country, they host a completely meaningless match and likely will use the youngsters that got smoked by Toronto 4-1 last weekend. Obviously the win in the cup was a massive upset and I always like opposing teams off a big underdog victory and the cup was their only goal for months so you can expect them to resort to pre-Tuesday form which saw them post a 0-2-6 league mark before the last cup game (win over Chicago) in August. It is not by coincidence they've won just 3 out of 30 league matches as they have both a bottom 4 offense and a bottom 4 defense when it comes to goals per possession , have the worst defense in the eastern conference, and have scored the least amount of goals in the league. So this is a very bad team that happened to have a great cup run (think Wigan last year) and don't have to worry about relegation. Chicago with a great performance last week but were equalized late and now sit 2 points out of the playoffs. They are a poor defensive team (14th in shots allowed) but a great offensive club (3rd in both shots and SOG per possession) and since they are 4th in MLS in possession (DC is 11th) they should get a lot of chances. Chicago play three of the league's most out of form teams b2b2b (DC, Dallas, Toronto) but only wins will do at this point. They have the league MVP (IMO of course), Mike Magee, and he'll need to step up as they have just 2 road wins this year and 3 of their last 4 games are away from home.

Chicago 1/10 @2.50

America vs Chivas
- biggest derby in North America with the two most important teams in Mexico with largest fanbases. It is this region's Superclasico and I'll never price a team above 6.00 and this price of 8+ is wrong. Last year Chivas were no better than this year and America were about the same and Chivas walked into Azteca and pulled a 3-1 win at odds of 4.00 and now a year later (almost to the day) the price is 8+? crazy
I write a lot about Chivas as they are constant underachievers but tremendously talented. They are stubborn and refuse to use non-Mexicans but it also means they have a lot of el-Tri talent and their current player market value is the same as America. Not going to sugar-coat their results which are 1 league win in 18 but they've pulled results in 4 of last 5 matches and just played a terrific match vs rivals Atlas but only could draw 1-1. Last year when they won at Azteca they came into the match with a 2-4-8 record in previous 14 games so there is history here of them using the derby to right the ship. They have a great striking partnership of Fabian and Marquez-Lugo and other el Tri regulars like Sabah, de Nigris, Ponce, and Enriquez so talent has never been their issue. They are poorly coached and defensively shaky but should never be priced above 6.00

Chivas 1/10 @8.44
​

​

 

[rolltide]

MLS Sat 9pm

RSL/Dallas over 2.5 2u to win 1.8u

 

[stander]

Big Friday! Roll with it baby!

 

[rolltide]

Fri mexico liga ascenso

9pm San Luis u2.5 .7u to win .5u
7pm Lobos BUAP u2.5 .7u to win .5u

 

[brokerstip]

tight lines tomorrow in the epl. not sure if the scoring is down with the new ball or what but it seems the epl hasn't had much scoring this year.

might only play everton. best of luck on the plays tomorrow; hope chicago stays the way it is now.

 

[rolltide]

Friday ended 3-0 +2.5 off 2.4 risked

YTD 300-25-214 +83.32 (670.10)

one for saturday so far...likely will have a decent play in united match but need to wait for the ginga magician's lineup card in case he decides to play a 4-3-0-0-2-1 again.

Sat 10am England
Aston Villa +0.50 1u to win .70u
- villa still a bunch of injuries especially up front with agbonlahor and benteke but they are an awesome counter team and hull themselves will miss a top player in brady. villa L15 away have only lost to chelsea, united, and arsenal. L13 away - 12 overs, 1 under 2.5 so might need a pair to win this

In the early game i think City wins a close one but no way in hell i bet them again. cardiff smells like a draw, liverpool should win by at least 3, and hopefully fulham can snag an ugly win. should have the united lineup by noon....about the time i'm on my 2nd rammer jammer getting ready for the big Georgia State tilt

pending:
Sat 10am Villa x2 1/.7
Sat 6pm Chivas 1/7.44
Sat 9pm RSL over 2.5 2/1.8

 

[LA_Puig]

Yeah, most of what you've said sounds about right on. City is a mystery at the moment. Maybe they just haven't clicked on a weekend to weekend basis. Arsenal look pretty good though and i'd be happy to see them win the EPL.

 

[rolltide]

sat/sun parlay (ger/italy/mls)
Wolfsburg/Juventus/LA Galaxy 1u to win 1.75u

germany 9:30am
Mainz over 2.5 1u to win .71u

england league one 10am
Leyton Orient -1/4 .5u to win .58u
Stevenage over 2.5 .64u to win .5u

scotland premier 10am
St Johnstone under 2.25 .5u to win .5u

 

[rolltide]

2H germany

Dortmund 1u to win .77u

-incredible 0-0 right now with Dortmund all over BMG. 1h shots were 17-1 and no way gladbach keep them out of the net at this rate

 

[tk2wndw]

I assume you took this with 5 dimes, roll. They screwed up on the line, they had -0.5 -135 and also had pk, -0.5 -105

 

[rolltide]

wacky results in germany. dort had a 26-5 shots advantage when they were called for penalty and lose. wolfs were outshooting EB 16-5 and down 2. Stutt took 20 shots, bremen 2 on goal....finished 1-1. weird day over there

bad sat morn:
-1.00 Dortmund 2h
+0.71 Mainz o (1)
-1.00 treble wolf
-0.50 st john u
+0.70 Villa (1)
-0.25 Orient (.5)
-0.64 cov city


pending:
Sat 6pm Chivas 1/7.44
Sat 9pm RSL over 2.5 2/1.8

 

[rolltide]

glad to see he's not laying back against a relegation team

12:30 United over 2.5 1.12u to win 1u

De Gea; Rafael, Evra, Vidic, Jones; Carrick, Cleverley, Januzaj, Nani; Rooney, van Persie​

 

[ARUKIDNME]

BOL Roll... I know the Red Devils are your team. I expect them to clear the -1 handicap or worst case a push. Sunderland are really bad and United are the better quality side on the pitch. I am making a small 1 Unit play on them to keep myself interested in the match. The cream should rise to the top today. Cheers!!!