November soccer

[rolltide]

3pm dart

Chernomorets 1H 1u to win 1.3u

- Dinamo 10 straight without a win in European group stages and with biggest rival this weekend will rest most important players. Tough to play Cherno -170 as they don't score a lot so taking them 1H as they are #1 in Ukraine in first half results and have allowed just 1 1H home goal all year. could end 0-0 but nice oppy for a 1-0 HT at much larger odds than full game


Wigan o2.5 .53u to win .50u
- both teams want to advance and Wigan book final 32 with a win while Zulte control own destiny with a win.

 

[rolltide]

here's the bullshit offside. again lose 2u instead of winning 1.53u as this terrible call killed both Rubin HC and the double with Trabzon who lead 3-0. no breaks for me these last 5 days.

oh well, time to move on

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• Rubin Kazan UK ‏@RubinKazanUK45m
  Rondon has a goal ruled out for offside, it is marginal.
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Rubin Kazan UK ‏@RubinKazanUK31m
Kulik, Mavinga and Natkho were very good today. Rondon looked sharp when he came no and was unlucky to have the goal ruled out.Expand
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[cowpokes]

Pulled up that call from the game and watched it. Calling that "marginal" was the understatement of the year. Just an absolute horse shit call. No excuse for that. Keep plugging away Tide. You have done me very well over the long haul and always appreciate the plays.

 

[rolltide]

YTD 381-32-289 +90.22 (816.96)

back in a bit

 

[rolltide]

12:15 Spain B

Deportivo under 2.5 1.5u to win 1.07u

- back to the Depor unders which are 7-1 at home this season facing Lugo who are 6-1 under on road in last 7 and also 6-1 away unders L7 in league. Big derby match as well


10:00 England PL

West Ham/Fulham X .75u to win 2.08u
Norwich/Palace X .75u to win 1.86u

EPL - decent shots for draw results in both Norwich and West Ham matches as not only are both relegation battles but you have a lot of injuries for the better home team to make matches even more equal. Normally would play the Hammers match over goals but given their injuries up front and fact they failed to put 1 SOG vs Chelsea last week I'll refrain.

 

[rolltide]

for those interested in chases. would be a "to win 1.22u" bet on cardiff to win at HT (.27 stake) today if you had .22/1.00 vs United

others to start considering are Fleetwood away draw (not today), Port Vale away draw (would start today), Notts home draw (would start today)

these are not official bets but would look like

Cardiff HT .27/1.22
Port Vale X .36/1.00
Notts County X .39/1.00

 

[rolltide]

Germany 9:30

Bayern under 4 .69u to win .5u

- many injuries for Bayern and haven't been too convincing in 1H. will get a shutout so looking for 2 or 3 nil win

parlay Scotland/Germany

Hoffenheim over 3 + St Johnstone win + Motherwell win .5u to win 1u

- Hoff match should be crazy game and the Scottish Cup teams are PL squads playing much lower level. good shot at 2/1 odds

 

[rolltide]

10am League One

MK Dons/Coventry over 2.75 1u to win 1.03

- two higher scoring teams with no defenses playing on short weeks.

Wolves -1/4 .75u to win .75u

- straight form here. Wolves top club in L1 while Petes are imploding and without their top scorer today. played against them in midweek and they gave up 3 goals to Brentford

 

[rolltide]

Sat morning pending bets:

9:30
Bayern under 4 .69u to win .5u
Hoffenheim over 3 + St Johnstone win + Motherwell win .5u to win 1u

10:00
West Ham/Fulham X .75u to win 2.08u
Norwich/Palace X .75u to win 1.86u
Wolves -1/4 .75u to win .75u
MK Dons/Coventry over 2.75 1u to win 1.03

12:15
Deportivo under 2.5 1.5u to win 1.07u

 

[indiana]

R/T..........thank you, got them all in with exception to Spain b (just bet did not have that one)..........continued success with your plays............indy

 

[rolltide]

-1.25 in early games as I couldn't hit either draw shot in EPL, so just Spain B going in a bit

one larger play in Brazil B at 1:20 ... flipped back and forth b/w HC home win and over 2.75 but decided on the HC

Sport Recife -1.25 2.5u to win 2u

- Sport will be back in top flight next year and this match will be more of a fiesta game than anything but they take it seriously with all regulars playing. Paysandu have a shot to stay up but would need to win by 7 goals and see Atletic/Guara draw so they are resigned to falling back to Serie C. This week management fired 9 regulars and they have 5 more suspended or injured so will play with only 4 normal guys and only 7 actual professionals with a bunch of debutantes and youngsters making up the rest of the squad. They're also the worst road team in Brazil and this should be in the 4-1 range of a home win.

pending:
Depor under 2.5

 

[rolltide]

Depor 0-0, Sport 0-0 ... so first losing month since February. really awful week...big losses