We aren't talking about the same thing Cat.
Its incorrect if you think the line creates value. That was my point. You loved Ohio St so you played them. And that play looks very good at 21-10 right now.
Its correct from a line makers perspective. The proper line to put out is Ohio St -1, that line is correct.
My credentials to say the line is correct? Like you, I've looked at lines for a very long time. I've talked to people that put out lines. They don't make lines based on who they think will win by now much. They put them out based on power rating comparisons and a few other factors (injuries, weather, etc..). Theoretically, that is how you get balanced action. Sometimes you do, sometimes you don't. Sometimes the public wins, sometimes they don't.
The difference in power rating was 1 point for Ohio St when adjusted for home field. That is why the line is correct from a line makers perspective. There were many that played Michigan.
From a handicappers perspective? Well, that's why people bet. Its up to each person to determine if the game has value for them. You found value on OSU, others on Michigan.
If the score hold, the line wasn't incorrect. Those picking Michigan were incorrect.
Good luck as I have the Buckeyes also.
