I don't want to come off as a smart-ass at all so I apologize ahead of time if I do, but ND never recovered because ND sucks, first off.
Second off, I can greatly respect you putting in the the time to find those numbers and put together that system, but the last time I checked the spread on this game is 8.5 or 9, not 3 or less. Am I missing something? I don't think this would fit the system, hence ND still sucks and Michigan State will still kill them IMO.
The answer to your question is yes.
He was talking about michigan, not michigan STATE.