NYR = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest. 128-44, 27-12
NYR = play on big 2015 favs vs team they beat last h2h. 70-20
CBJ = oppose big winning favs in final 1/4 of season. +148%, 1-2 -104% 2015
MIN = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest. 128-44, 27-12
MIN = play on home favs after 3+ goal away fav win. 61-18, 6-0 L6
MIN = play on home favs after scoring 4+ goals and opponent off OT game. 39-15, 0-5 2015
MIN = play on home fav after away shutout, rested. 48-18, 4-0 L4
MIN = play on home fav on nice winning streak after away win. 103-36, 9-2 L11
BUF = oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. 185-186 +123%, 8-19 -116%
BUF = oppose big winning favs in final 1/4 of season. +148%, 1-2 -104% 2015
NYI/VAN u5.5 = UNDER two good teams, home unrested and lost h2h last meeting. 59-114 o/u, 3-6 o/u
COL/TBL u5.5 = UNDER unrested team in Denver. 9-26-3 o/u, 3-4 2015
NYR = play on big 2015 favs vs team they beat last h2h. 70-20
CBJ = oppose big winning favs in final 1/4 of season. +148%, 1-2 -104% 2015
MIN = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest. 128-44, 27-12
MIN = play on home favs after 3+ goal away fav win. 61-18, 6-0 L6
MIN = play on home favs after scoring 4+ goals and opponent off OT game. 39-15, 0-5 2015
MIN = play on home fav after away shutout, rested. 48-18, 4-0 L4
MIN = play on home fav on nice winning streak after away win. 103-36, 9-2 L11
BUF = oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. 185-186 +123%, 8-19 -116%
BUF = oppose big winning favs in final 1/4 of season. +148%, 1-2 -104% 2015
NYI/VAN u5.5 = UNDER two good teams, home unrested and lost h2h last meeting. 59-114 o/u, 3-6 o/u
COL/TBL u5.5 = UNDER unrested team in Denver. 9-26-3 o/u, 3-4 2015
did a bit of an adjustment to the final 1/4 season dog system by weeding out the games where the big favs don't have a massive Winning % advantage over opponent. we want those really shitty looking underdogs that will be undervalued by those big motivated teams that will be heading to the playoffs. Still have a great number of plays but jacks the ROI over 150% and eliminates those games where opponent is pretty good team going for playoffs themselves so the big fav aren't overlooking them. both buff and cbj are fits today
season by season ($ against column is the one to look at):
Showing 1 to 8 of 8 entries
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season by season ($ against column is the one to look at):
| games | SU W - L (marg, %win) | Avg Line | o:Avg Line | $ On | $ Against | On Invested | Against Invested | OU W - L- P (marg, %over) | Avg Total | SDQL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2-1 (0.00, 66.7%) | -212.8 | 190.2 | -$8 | -$14 | 594.0 | 300.0 | 0-2-1 (-1.17, 0.0%) | 5.2 | season = 2014 |
| 33 | 15-18 (0.09, 45.5%) | -226.4 | 206.4 | -$2,238 | +$1,918 | 7472.0 | 3300.0 | 16-16-1 (0.24, 50.0%) | 5.4 | season = 2013 |
| 21 | 10-11 (0.05, 47.6%) | -222.1 | 202.9 | -$1,464 | +$1,248 | 4665.0 | 2100.0 | 11-5-5 (0.95, 68.8%) | 5.3 | season = 2011 |
| 14 | 5-9 (-0.43, 35.7%) | -219.2 | 200.2 | -$1,362 | +$1,204 | 3069.0 | 1400.0 | 5-8-1 (-0.18, 38.5%) | 5.5 | season = 2010 |
| 27 | 12-15 (-0.22, 44.4%) | -246.0 | 223.7 | -$2,344 | +$2,028 | 6643.0 | 2700.0 | 17-10-0 (0.50, 63.0%) | 5.9 | season = 2009 |
| 42 | 25-17 (0.38, 59.5%) | -259.1 | 237.5 | -$1,914 | +$1,541 | 10882.0 | 4200.0 | 21-20-1 (0.52, 51.2%) | 5.6 | season = 2008 |
| 9 | 6-3 (0.56, 66.7%) | -243.7 | 222.6 | -$212 | +$142 | 2193.0 | 900.0 | 4-5-0 (-0.44, 44.4%) | 5.4 | season = 2007 |
| 44 | 25-19 (0.73, 56.8%) | -273.5 | 251.0 | -$2,266 | +$1,886 | 12033.0 | 4400.0 | 20-20-4 (0.40, 50.0%) | 5.6 | season = 2006 |
very disappointed to lose both of those after regulation. nothing like -2u instead of +4.4
NYI = oppose away dog or small fav involved in 4-5 blowouts L5 games 115-36, 13-2 2015
NYI = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
LAK = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest 131-44, 14-2 L16
LAK/DET u5 = UNDER kings home vs unrested. 1 over in last 19
NAS = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest 131-44, 14-2 L16
NAS = BET ON home team in b2b2b poor scoring vs road team in b2b great scoring. 42-12, 31-4 L35
COL = play on huge dogs vs elite team final 1/4 season. 93-102 +150%, 1-4 2015
NYR = play on home teams off shootout home win and 1 day rest 108-44, 31-7 L38
NYR = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
CBJ = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting 132-41, 14-8 2015
CBJ = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
MIN = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting 132-41, 14-8 2015
CHI = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
NYI = oppose away dog or small fav involved in 4-5 blowouts L5 games 115-36, 13-2 2015
NYI = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
LAK = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest 131-44, 14-2 L16
LAK/DET u5 = UNDER kings home vs unrested. 1 over in last 19
NAS = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest 131-44, 14-2 L16
NAS = BET ON home team in b2b2b poor scoring vs road team in b2b great scoring. 42-12, 31-4 L35
COL = play on huge dogs vs elite team final 1/4 season. 93-102 +150%, 1-4 2015
NYR = play on home teams off shootout home win and 1 day rest 108-44, 31-7 L38
NYR = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
CBJ = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting 132-41, 14-8 2015
CBJ = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
MIN = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting 132-41, 14-8 2015
CHI = play on big 2015 rested favs that beat opponent last h2h 71-20
nothing like pimping the dog system and have 5 straight L's...refined it a bit more but still wouldn't have knocked out any plays
OTT = play on dogs with 5+ straight of 30+ shots. +120%
OTT = play on huge dogs vs elite team final 1/4 season vs bad team not in great form. 90-94 +154%, 1-5 2015
ANH = play on ducks as big home fav vs bad team. 22-4, 7-2 2015
CAL/NYD u5 = bet UNDER no rest away after shutout away 26-54-1 o/u
OTT = play on dogs with 5+ straight of 30+ shots. +120%
OTT = play on huge dogs vs elite team final 1/4 season vs bad team not in great form. 90-94 +154%, 1-5 2015
ANH = play on ducks as big home fav vs bad team. 22-4, 7-2 2015
CAL/NYD u5 = bet UNDER no rest away after shutout away 26-54-1 o/u
CAR = 2H season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. 182-178 +123%, 8-20 -125% 2015
NYI = play on rested big 2015 favs that won h2h last meeting. 74-23
COL = oppose away fav off b2b2b2 allowing 2 or less. 92-70, 6-5
TBL = OPPOSE unrested dog after away win. 54-15, 14-6
TBL = PLAY ON tampa hosting unrested team. 24-3, 12-0 L12
BOS = PLAY ON marginally losing team favored away. 52-16, 6-3
ANH = PLAY ON ducks hosting unrested. 24-7
NYI = play on rested big 2015 favs that won h2h last meeting. 74-23
COL = oppose away fav off b2b2b2 allowing 2 or less. 92-70, 6-5
TBL = OPPOSE unrested dog after away win. 54-15, 14-6
TBL = PLAY ON tampa hosting unrested team. 24-3, 12-0 L12
BOS = PLAY ON marginally losing team favored away. 52-16, 6-3
ANH = PLAY ON ducks hosting unrested. 24-7
MTL = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest. 133-44, 32-12
MTL = play on home favs after 3+ goal away fav win. 62-18, 7-0 L7
MTL = ply on super hot home fav. 60-19, 10-6
TOR = oppose huge favs final 1/4 of season with elite winning %. +154%, -137%
FLA = BET ON home team in b2b2b poor scoring vs road team in b2b great scoring. 43-12, 7-3
FLA = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting. 133-43, 15-10 -111%
FLA = BET ON big 2015 rested favs. 75-23
BOS = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting. 133-43, 15-10 -111%
BOS = OPPOSE away dog or small fav involved in 4-5 blowouts L5. 117-36, 15-2
BOS = play ON unrested home team off away fav game scoring 3+. 32-8
EDM = 2H season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. +124%, -119%
EDM = oppose huge favs final 1/4 of season with elite winning %. +154%, -137%
STL = BET ON big 2015 rested favs. 75-23
CAR = 2H season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. +124%, -119%
CAR = oppose huge favs final 1/4 of season with elite winning %. +154%, -137%
COL = oppose away fav off b2b2b2 allowing 2 or less. +125%, +114%
MTL = play on home favs after 3+ goal away fav win. 62-18, 7-0 L7
MTL = ply on super hot home fav. 60-19, 10-6
TOR = oppose huge favs final 1/4 of season with elite winning %. +154%, -137%
FLA = BET ON home team in b2b2b poor scoring vs road team in b2b great scoring. 43-12, 7-3
FLA = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting. 133-43, 15-10 -111%
FLA = BET ON big 2015 rested favs. 75-23
BOS = OPPOSE bad teams, big dog, that lost at home by 2+ goals in last meeting. 133-43, 15-10 -111%
BOS = OPPOSE away dog or small fav involved in 4-5 blowouts L5. 117-36, 15-2
BOS = play ON unrested home team off away fav game scoring 3+. 32-8
EDM = 2H season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. +124%, -119%
EDM = oppose huge favs final 1/4 of season with elite winning %. +154%, -137%
STL = BET ON big 2015 rested favs. 75-23
CAR = 2H season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. +124%, -119%
CAR = oppose huge favs final 1/4 of season with elite winning %. +154%, -137%
COL = oppose away fav off b2b2b2 allowing 2 or less. +125%, +114%
TOR/WAS u5.5 = UNDER no rest away after shutout away. 26-52-4 o/u, 7-5-1
WAS = bet on big rested 2015 favs that won last h2h meeting. 77-23
FLA = 2H season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. 184-179 +124%, 10-21 -116%
PIT = oppose away dog or small fav involved in 4-5 blowouts L5 games. 118-36, 16-2
LAK = play on away fav after away loss avenging same season loss. 70-27, 6-2
VAN/STL u5 = UNDER small home dog, winning team, after allowing 4+. 68-114-15 o/u, 7-8-2
WAS = bet on big rested 2015 favs that won last h2h meeting. 77-23
FLA = 2H season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. 184-179 +124%, 10-21 -116%
PIT = oppose away dog or small fav involved in 4-5 blowouts L5 games. 118-36, 16-2
LAK = play on away fav after away loss avenging same season loss. 70-27, 6-2
VAN/STL u5 = UNDER small home dog, winning team, after allowing 4+. 68-114-15 o/u, 7-8-2
as an FYI the big odds jump on TB (from -165 to -195) before the game pushed Florida into the "final 1/4 season dog system". didn't matter as they were already listed but will try to look out for that down the stretch.
SJS = bet on home team in b2b2b poor scoring vs road team in b2b great scoring. 44-12 +158%, 8-3 +148%
SJS = oppose teams off b2b2b2b 2+ goal wins scoring <3.66 goals/game. 59-33 +137%
SJS = bet on home team in b2b2b poor scoring vs road team in b2b great scoring. 44-12 +158%, 8-3 +148%
SJS = oppose teams off b2b2b2b 2+ goal wins scoring <3.66 goals/game. 59-33 +137%
PHI = play on poor defensive fav off b2b good defensive games. 61-22, 12-2
ARI = 2h season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. 185-179 +124%, 11-21 -111%
ARI = oppose elite big fav in final 1/4 season. +153%, -108% 2015
LAK = play on away fav after away loss avenging same season loss. 70-28, 6-3
TBL = play on big rested 2015 fav that won h2h last meeting. 79-24
VAN = play on in-form team scoring on a low % of shots, opponent no rest. 49-18, 8-4
MIN = play on hot home fav. 107-36, 17-11
ARI = 2h season oppose high scoring team vs low scoring team not off shutout last game or meeting. 185-179 +124%, 11-21 -111%
ARI = oppose elite big fav in final 1/4 season. +153%, -108% 2015
LAK = play on away fav after away loss avenging same season loss. 70-28, 6-3
TBL = play on big rested 2015 fav that won h2h last meeting. 79-24
VAN = play on in-form team scoring on a low % of shots, opponent no rest. 49-18, 8-4
MIN = play on hot home fav. 107-36, 17-11
WAS = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest 135-44, 34-12
WAS = bet on home team, small fav, off a divisional win and decent rest for past week 115-51, 12-11 (also 8 straight overs)
WAS = bet on hot home fav after away fav win. 108-36, 18-11
LAK = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest 135-44, 34-12
LAK = play on home favs after 3+ goal away fav win. 63-18, 8-0 L8
LAK = oppose away dog after away fav. 182-93, just 49-36 +100.1% 2015
LA/MTL under 5 = UNDER LAK hosting unrested. 6-19-6 o/u, 1-7-2 2015
NAS = oppose away dog after away fav. 182-93, just 49-36 +100.1% 2015
PIT = OPPOSE teams off b2b2b2b 2+ goal wins. 60-33 +138%, 2-1 2015
TBL = play on big rested favs in 2015 that won h2h last meeting. 80-24
WAS = bet on home team, small fav, off a divisional win and decent rest for past week 115-51, 12-11 (also 8 straight overs)
WAS = bet on hot home fav after away fav win. 108-36, 18-11
LAK = play on home favs off away fav win with better rest 135-44, 34-12
LAK = play on home favs after 3+ goal away fav win. 63-18, 8-0 L8
LAK = oppose away dog after away fav. 182-93, just 49-36 +100.1% 2015
LA/MTL under 5 = UNDER LAK hosting unrested. 6-19-6 o/u, 1-7-2 2015
NAS = oppose away dog after away fav. 182-93, just 49-36 +100.1% 2015
PIT = OPPOSE teams off b2b2b2b 2+ goal wins. 60-33 +138%, 2-1 2015
TBL = play on big rested favs in 2015 that won h2h last meeting. 80-24
PIT = OPPOSE teams off b2b2b2b 2+ goal wins. 60-33 +138%, 2-1 2015
EDM = OPPOSE 2h season high scoring team with low scoring one. 185-180 +123%, 11-22 -113%
OTT = BET ON rested big 2015 favs. 81-25
DET = BET ON rested big 2015 favs. 81-25
DET = BET ON wings after win hosting unrested. 40-9
CAR = OPPOSE away team after 4 straight allowing 2 or less vs opponent off a loss. 50-36 +131%, 1-3 2015
EDM = OPPOSE 2h season high scoring team with low scoring one. 185-180 +123%, 11-22 -113%
OTT = BET ON rested big 2015 favs. 81-25
DET = BET ON rested big 2015 favs. 81-25
DET = BET ON wings after win hosting unrested. 40-9
CAR = OPPOSE away team after 4 straight allowing 2 or less vs opponent off a loss. 50-36 +131%, 1-3 2015
LAK = play on home teams off shootout home win and 1 day rest. 109-44, 7-2
LAK/PIT u5 = UNDER kings hosting unrested. 7-19-6 o/u
FLA = 2H season oppose high scoring teams with low scoring ones not off shutout. +123%, -115%
NAS = bet on big 2015 rested fav that won h2h last meeting. 82-26
NAS = PLAY ON winning home team on a 5+ game losing streak. 29-8, 1-3
WIN = bet on big dog in last 1/4 of season vs elite team. +148%, -115%
TBL = bet on big 2015 rested fav that won h2h last meeting. 82-26
DAL = bet on big dog in last 1/4 of season vs elite team. +148%, -115%
ARI = bet on big dog in last 1/4 of season vs elite team. +148%, -115%
COL/CBJ u5.5 = Avs UNDER hosting unrested. 10-26-3 o/u
LAK/PIT u5 = UNDER kings hosting unrested. 7-19-6 o/u
FLA = 2H season oppose high scoring teams with low scoring ones not off shutout. +123%, -115%
NAS = bet on big 2015 rested fav that won h2h last meeting. 82-26
NAS = PLAY ON winning home team on a 5+ game losing streak. 29-8, 1-3
WIN = bet on big dog in last 1/4 of season vs elite team. +148%, -115%
TBL = bet on big 2015 rested fav that won h2h last meeting. 82-26
DAL = bet on big dog in last 1/4 of season vs elite team. +148%, -115%
ARI = bet on big dog in last 1/4 of season vs elite team. +148%, -115%
COL/CBJ u5.5 = Avs UNDER hosting unrested. 10-26-3 o/u
