NHL % Method 2013-2014 BET

[nicolaivinther]

You seem to play a lot of games. Have you ever tested what will happen if you only play the games with the highest % chance of winning?
By cherry picking some of the "best" plays, it should be easier for you to win more. It is impossible to beat the Bookies if you play every single game, IMHO.

 

[Fastbet]

Hi man, thanks for the advice, but we'll continue this method and adapt it later because it's too difficult to select games in the 1sts Games of the season ..

8/12 yesterday,


Bilan saison : 63-44 => +12.60 Unités


Tonight :


St Louis 54.93% (-2.20%) vs Winnipeg 45.07% (+1.58%)
Phoenix 45.73% (-2.89%) vs Anaheim 54.27% (+4.29%)


So :


St Louis @ 1.81
Anaheim @ 1.68


BOL ! @)

 

[Fastbet]

Hi,

Pittsburgh @ 1.59
Ottawa @ 1.57

We'll post later other games ! Thanks !​

 

[Fastbet]

Hi :

Colorado 53.92% (+1.39%) vs Buffalo 46.08% (-3.33%)
Nashville 46.27% (-8.24%) vs Montreal 53.73% (-0.27%)
Boston 55.50% (+0.28%) vs Tampa Bay 44.50% (+3.85%)
Minnesota 55.12% (-1.76%) vs Florida 44.88% (-3.54%)
NY Rangers 52.36% (-1.37%) vs New Jersey 47.64% (+2.69%)
Carolina 45.55% (-1.97%) vs NY Islanders 54.45% (+0.77%)
Colombus 39.75% (-2.35%) vs Washington 60.25% (+6.37%)
Toronto 42.96% (+1.32%) vs Chicago 57.04% (+3.95%)
Detroit 54.08% (+1.27%) vs Phoenix 45.92% (-0.10%)
Calgary 40.69% (-4.05%) vs San Jose 59.31% (+3.65%)
Dallas 45.59% (-2.83%) vs Los Angeles 54.41% (+3.31%)

So :

Colorado @ 1.71
Montreal @ 1.63
Boston @ 1.86
Minnesota @ 1.74
NY Rangers @ 1.97
NY Islanders @ 1.78
Washington @ 1.82
Chicago @ 1.54
Detroit @ 1.81
San Jose @ 1.37
Los Angeles @ 1.55

BOL !

 

[Fastbet]

Hi, Today's %

Vancouver 58.87% (-1.01%) vs Colombus 41.13% (-0.14%)Nashville 43.41% (-8.61%) vs Winnipeg 56.59% (+5.08%)Dallas 45.12% (-2.43%) vs Anaheim 54.88% (+5.86%)

So :

Vancouver @ 1.84Winnipeg @ 1.71Anaheim @ 1.49
BOL !

 

[ilyak17]

You realize all your system appears to do is the same thing the bookies are doing? It simply picks the favorite to win the game, which is what the bookie does and sets their line accordingly. All year you have bet on a total of 8 underdogs. Your picks record may well end up over 50% but I would bet you my life that your % system is going to run you broke if you continue to merely bet on whoever your system puts at over 50% to win. They may win more than 50% of the time, but when you are paying 1.75 it takes more than just winning 50-55% of the time to come out ahead.

Don't mean to hate on your system, but IMHO its simply doing what the book already does...picking out the favorites. If it took the probability and adjusted for the price of the line, thus telling you whether the value is on the favorite or the dog in a particular match, then you might have something to go on. As it sits, this looks like doom on any night when the dogs are barking.