***** Nfl Week 4 Plays *****

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I always check on your thread, a must read for me. I would like to point out Pinny has Indy -2.5 -110 and Dallas -2.5 -113 for straight bet. However, for teaser, they have Indy -1 and Dallas -1. Very interesting.

Good luck this weekend and the rest of the NFL season.

I use to play at Pinny.......love that book with reduced juice, etc........that is interesting with the teaser numbers.

Thanks & good luck to you as well!
 

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Adding the ML parlay:


Bengals (-360)......Ravens (-175).......Dallas (-145).......Cards (-375).......Vikings (-232).........(average)......$200 to win $1,029.96
 

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Some week 4 trends:


Raiders are 1-12 ATS the game before playing the Chargers

Raiders are 3-30 SU past 33 visits to the east coast to play, including 1-18 SU past 19

Raiders are 0-6 ATS past 6 vs AFC West


Use trends as part of your arsenal in capping & never strictly rely on them w/o looking at everything else......
 

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More trends:


Patriots are 28-4 SU under Belichick when playing the Bills

Pats are 11-1 SU after playing on Thursdays including 7-0 SU & ATS when playing at home next game


Lions are 1-24 SU on the road after playing the Packers

Bears are 21-6 ATS as a home dog off back to back SU losses
 

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Some week 4 trends:


Raiders are 1-12 ATS the game before playing the Chargers

Raiders are 3-30 SU past 33 visits to the east coast to play, including 1-18 SU past 19

Raiders are 0-6 ATS past 6 vs AFC West


Use trends as part of your arsenal in capping & never strictly rely on them w/o looking at everything else......

^^^^^^^^

Made a mistake, supposed to read Raiders are 0-6 ATS vs AFC North past 6
 

come strong or dont come at all
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bears might be one of my bigger plays TCG. card forming well
 

come strong or dont come at all
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line standing pat at 3 in most places. Does the dez injury worry you a bit?
 

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line standing pat at 3 in most places. Does the dez injury worry you a bit?

Not much, because Prescott is intelligent enough to find other receivers, where as other Qbs have fav receivers.

Although I have to admit, if Dez could have stayed healthy & played all 16 games, I think he could have beaten his reception & TD record at Dallas.

Dallas will do enough to squeak out a win, that's why I recommend by the hook if its not at -2.5 already........this line IMO will be a solid -3 on game day.
 

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Line at my book is DAL -2 now. Dez news is bringing the number off 3.

Not much, because Prescott is intelligent enough to find other receivers, where as other Qbs have fav receivers.

Although I have to admit, if Dez could have stayed healthy & played all 16 games, I think he could have beaten his reception & TD record at Dallas.

Dallas will do enough to squeak out a win, that's why I recommend by the hook if its not at -2.5 already........this line IMO will be a solid -3 on game day.
 

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I think you are giving Dallas too much credit - Their stock is high and Prescott has done a good job managing the game.

But Dallas has played two of the worst defensive teams (chic & wash) and is averaging 25pts on Offense. They have also had the advantage of 2 plus games at home
SF has played 3 teams allowing less than 24 pts a game but is avg'g over 24 points a game on offense. San Fran has been OTR twice, both big losses to SB contenders so their stock is low.

Why did the line open at -3 and now down to -2 with 70% on Dallas?

Nice trends on the raiders - GL with your plays this week!

p
 

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I think you are giving Dallas too much credit - Their stock is high and Prescott has done a good job managing the game.

But Dallas has played two of the worst defensive teams (chic & wash) and is averaging 25pts on Offense. They have also had the advantage of 2 plus games at home
SF has played 3 teams allowing less than 24 pts a game but is avg'g over 24 points a game on offense. San Fran has been OTR twice, both big losses to SB contenders so their stock is low.

Why did the line open at -3 and now down to -2 with 70% on Dallas?

Nice trends on the raiders - GL with your plays this week!

p

Prescott isn't Osweiler, he's doesn't just manage a game, Dallas wins their games because of him.......when Denver was winning games last year, Osweiler was managing the game while their defense did the bulk of the job to win the game.

Prescott doesn't have the luxury of a great defense like Osweiler did.

I'm assuming the line came down because of the announcement of Bryant's injury & status?

With those nice trends on the Raiders, I still think the Ravens win by 3, & either get a push or no cover, just a feeling tho.
 

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Thursday night trends:


The dog in the Miami vs AFC North games are 9-0 ATS past 9

Bengals are 3-22 ATS the game before playing an NFC opponent


(I hope the Bengals win SU as I have then in several ML parlays........I think they win but don't cover, but these Thursday night games are tough)
 

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