SDS,
I'm from New England. On my home board I get requests for my opinion on the Pat games. I am certainly not clear on this game thiis weekend. The Pats have been lights out after a SU loss over the past 6 years (17-1 SU; 15-3 ATS). They have not lost to an NFC team at home in that timeframe.
But you certainly present valid points in Atlanta's favor. I hope you don't mind if I reprint your opinion on my home board. I will credit you appropriately. That is a very well written and supported writeup.
Re NE and Tom Brady it is important to note that last weekend he was without Wes Welker, his security blanket. Those two make sight adjustments at the line of scrimmage, something rook Edelman and newly acquired FA Galloway were unable to do. That was especially important vs the mad NYJ pass rush (I think that the Jets will prove to be the NFL's best Defense by year end).
But I do agree with you re the NE Offensive Line. They have regressed severely since the NYG pushed them around in the '07 SB. Last year Cassel, who is a deft pocket passer with the ability to pull it down and scramble (an asset Tommy Boy does not have) was sacked 47 times, the most in the NFL. Having said that, I do expect the Pats to make adjustments this week to afford the franchise's number one asset more comfort in the pocket - the return of Welker; more emphasis on the running game vs an average Atl run D; and more two tight end sets.
Re the Patriot D, although they suffered what appear to be major losses in the offseason, I think the football world is misreading this perception. The guys they lost were at the back ends of their careers, slow and living on reputation (yes that includes Seymour who regressed severely after signing his re-up three years ago), with the exception of starting CB Hobbs who simply wasn't up to the task. I think this D will actually be stronger this year. Mayo was the new Defensive signal caller so you have rightly noted his temporary loss as significant but without him they held the Jets to only one TD in New York last week.
That's about it. Hope you don't mind the counterpoints. Best of luck to you this weekend.