NFL ... week 2

[Kaboom]

NFL Rec 2-0

Jets Rodgers with GB ....6-3 in career vs Dallas ....

Jets will coming off a huge Monday Night Game vs Buff

then have to travel next week to Dallas

Dallas is -3 so far

We really can't look at Pokes in last night's game vs Giants as a SB team yet ....or can we ???

Taking a shot here .... thinking Rodgers will have to gel with team a bit more to win in Dallas ...imo

Play

$25 Dallas ML - 162

 

[cashflow50]

gl sir

 

[Kaboom]

NFL Rec 2-0

Jets Rodgers with GB ....6-3 in career vs Dallas ....

Jets will coming off a huge Monday Night Game vs Buff

then have to travel next week to Dallas

Dallas is -3 so far

We really can't look at Pokes in last night's game vs Giants as a SB team yet ....or can we ???

Taking a shot here .... thinking Rodgers will have to gel with team a bit more to win in Dallas ...imo

Play

$25 Dallas ML - 162

Ouch ..... should I buy out ? .... Cowboys beat Giants 40-0. Since 2010, teams that win their opener by 21 or more points have gone 8-20 (29%) ATS in Week 2

 

[doctorsuccess]

See what happens tonight. If Jets win they will be fat and happy.

 

[Kaboom]

Going to give up the juice here

Det in a double revenge spot here vs Seattle

Did you know ... last 2 times these guys played each other ... 2021 and 2022

Over 80 Pts scored in each .... wow

Sea 51-29 in Seattle / 2021
Sea 48-45 in Detroit / 2022
Back in Detroit in 2023

Total is dropping a bit because of the horrid off start by the Hawks in week 1

For now ..played it early

$20 Det ML - 218 / now - 260

 

[Kaboom]

Monday Night

$7 Under 20.5 1st H NO / Car

 

[Kaboom]

Daniel Jones was pressured on 43% of dropbacks most in the NFL Dallas got to him in 2.41 sec/att fastest in the NFL I forecast NYG will play the #1 toughest schedule of pass rushes this yr they must design a plan to keep him upright

 

[Kaboom]

Josh Allen was pressured on 26% of dropbacks 10th lowest of any QB despite that, he took 9 hits (3rd most) and 5 sacks (5th most) while being sacked on 11% of dropbacks (5th most)

 

[Kaboom]

BOL this week

 

[Loves2kickass]

Rodgers out for season

 

[Kaboom]

Week 3 Insight

Rookie QB'S are 2-13 SU at Century Link Field in Seattle

I expect Seattle will be 0-2 going into this game ...an early must win ...imo

Seattle ML - 185

 

[Kaboom]

When two winless teams play, the underdog is 67-37-4 (64%) ATS since 2005 per

.Winless dogs: Titans +3 vs. LAC Texans +1.5 vs. IND Cardinals +5.5 vs. NYG


Since 2010, teams that lost by double-digits in the opener have gone 51-33-3 (61%) ATS in Week 2 per

Big Week 1 losers Seahawks +6 at DET Panthers +3.5 vs NO Bengals -3.5 vs BAL Colts -1.5 at HOU Steelers +2.5 vs CLE Texans +1.5 vs IND Bears +3 at TB Giants -5.5 at AZ


Kyle Shanahan is 10-3 ATS vs. Sean McVay. Including 7-0 ATS since 2020


NFL quarterbacks with the most TURNOVERS since 2018: Josh Allen - 84 Jared Goff - 80 Matt Ryan - 79 Derek Carr - 79 Baker Mayfield - 78 Kirk Cousins - 73 Carson Wentz - 68 Sam Darnold - 68 Dak Prescott - 66

 

[Kaboom]

TB

Qb Mayfield 0-8 Ats last 8 as a favorite

Bears suck … and so does Fields

but who know they may a shot at covering the spread tw

 

[Kaboom]

Philly

Phil 0-7 before playing MNF…at TB next Mon Night

 

[Kaboom]

Buffalo

Bills 6-1 in September home

games & 6-0 favorites vs AFC West….

Will be using Buff ML in many parlays

 

[Kaboom]

Saints have held 9 straight opponents to 20< pts.

Play

$10 Car U 18.5 TT

 

[Kaboom]

Browns have lost 19 straight regular season games in Pitt.

 

[rolltide]

game 2 after losing at home by 10+ and now not a dog of 13 or more and didn't win 12+ games last year

A and line < 13 and p:margin < -9 and p:H and game number = 2 and PRSW < 12 and season > 2013 SU: 13-7-0 (4.90, 65.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-0-0 (9.00, 100.0%) avg line: 4.1 +6: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 13-7-0 (65.0%) +10: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) O/U: 8-11-1 (-1.15, 42.1%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -6: 12-8-0 (60.0%) +10: 3-16-1 (15.8%) -10: 13-7-0 (65.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.4 133.1 33.9 229.3 22.5 0.8 4.8 7.1 4.5 7.8 24.6 Opp 24.7 108.1 34.2 235.6 22.1 1.3 2.6 7.0 4.3 5.7 19.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Giants Cardinals away -5.5 39.5 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Colts Texans away -1.0 40.0 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Bears Buccaneers away 3.0 41.5 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Seahawks Lions away 5.5 47.0

 

[Kaboom]

game 2 after losing at home by 10+ and now not a dog of 13 or more and didn't win 12+ games last year

A and line < 13 and p:margin < -9 and p:H and game number = 2 and PRSW < 12 and season > 2013 SU: 13-7-0 (4.90, 65.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-0-0 (9.00, 100.0%) avg line: 4.1 +6: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 13-7-0 (65.0%) +10: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) O/U: 8-11-1 (-1.15, 42.1%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -6: 12-8-0 (60.0%) +10: 3-16-1 (15.8%) -10: 13-7-0 (65.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.4 133.1 33.9 229.3 22.5 0.8 4.8 7.1 4.5 7.8 24.6 Opp 24.7 108.1 34.2 235.6 22.1 1.3 2.6 7.0 4.3 5.7 19.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Giants Cardinals away -5.5 39.5 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Colts Texans away -1.0 40.0 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Bears Buccaneers away 3.0 41.5 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Seahawks Lions away 5.5 47.0

Always appreciate your data bro ........... thanks

 

[Kaboom]

game 2 after losing at home by 10+ and now not a dog of 13 or more and didn't win 12+ games last year

A and line < 13 and p:margin < -9 and p:H and game number = 2 and PRSW < 12 and season > 2013 SU: 13-7-0 (4.90, 65.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 20-0-0 (9.00, 100.0%) avg line: 4.1 +6: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 13-7-0 (65.0%) +10: 20-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 7-13-0 (35.0%) O/U: 8-11-1 (-1.15, 42.1%) avg total: 45.5 +6: 7-13-0 (35.0%) -6: 12-8-0 (60.0%) +10: 3-16-1 (15.8%) -10: 13-7-0 (65.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Pass Yds Comp TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.4 133.1 33.9 229.3 22.5 0.8 4.8 7.1 4.5 7.8 24.6 Opp 24.7 108.1 34.2 235.6 22.1 1.3 2.6 7.0 4.3 5.7 19.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Giants Cardinals away -5.5 39.5 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Colts Texans away -1.0 40.0 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Bears Buccaneers away 3.0 41.5 Sep 17, 2023 view Sunday 2 2023 Seahawks Lions away 5.5 47.0

My thoughts on above

Really like Nyg ML this week .... big

I don't trust rookie qb's ever ... but Colts can win there though

Bears ...they suck ...but I lean them this week to cover ... Mayfield 0-8 ats as a fav last 8

Seahawks have had Lions # .... but they looked brutal in that 1st game ....but it is only 1 game ..tough call for me

Any feedback on my thoughts guys ?