***** Nfl Week 16 Plays *****

[TheComputerGroup]

What are your projected closing lines for these games?

In general, I've found that playing off-the-board teasers work only if you're projecting line movements before the close and you get an extra cushion before the close.

Giants -3.5
Skins -3
Miami -3
Tampa -3
Atlanta -3
Gbay -5
Pats -14.5
Titans -5.5
Chargers -4.5
Raiders -6
Rams -3.5
Seattle -7.5
Texans -3.5
Pitt -3.5
Chiefs -5.5
Dallas -7

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I must be missing something. When I first saw the giants/eagles line I thought it was a gift........for the giants. One team is done, one team playing to stay hot. Eagles have lost 6 of their last 8 ats, against a giants team thats won 7 out of 9. Veteran QB, with maybe the best receiver in fb, against a rookie qb, with no receivers, playing against a red hot defense.

Theres an old saying in betting.........if it looks way too easy, stop at check yourself, you may be missing something. NY has not clinched a berth, and Phil is out. NY plays at Wash next week, so thats no gimmee. NY has to bring it this week, and if they do, they cover the 2.5 thats all over the street.

We shall see. BOL to all!!! And a very happy, profitable holidays.

That's why I called off my Philly ML & took the Giants in a 10 point teaser.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Very suspect especially cause Like I said last week I really don't think there much if any drop off from tannehill to Moore, Moore actually throws a better deep ball imo.. line saying bills actually better on a nuetral field? I don't buy that for a second, freaking crazy. I made it bills -2 so def see value on fish.

Nuts dude, don't get this line at all.......IMO, Miami will win SU.........I'm think of betting both the +4 & ML

 

[RJKiss]

Computer Group:

I like your teaser picks, but to me the best 10-point teaser team on the board is Detroit (+17). The Lions haven't lost by more than two TDs in 22 games, and Dallas has only won once this season by more than 14 (against Cleveland). Plus, that +17 becomes even more valuable if the Giants win on Thursday to make the MNF game meaningless to Dallas.

Good luck on your picks.

Ricky

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Computer Group:

I like your teaser picks, but to me the best 10-point teaser team on the board is Detroit (+17). The Lions haven't lost by more than two TDs in 22 games, and Dallas has only won once this season by more than 14 (against Cleveland). Plus, that +17 becomes even more valuable if the Giants win on Thursday to make the MNF game meaningless to Dallas.

Good luck on your picks.

Ricky

Thanks Ricky, but why does Dallas game become meaningless if Giants win Thursday? Doesn't it become more meaningful for Dallas to win SU because Giants will be 11-4, & they beat Dallas twice this year?

I think the Monday night game will be a good one being that its the last Monday night game this year, kind of like last year between Denver & Cincy, down to the wire, so I like the Lions in the teaser.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Eagles are now -1, this is insane........I can't believe this line.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding:


Bengals Pk (-110)........(X-Large)

 

[mickj]

someone mentioned Giants injuries, I guess that's it.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

someone mentioned Giants injuries, I guess that's it.

IMO, injuries aren't that important in the NFL unless its the starting Qb or starting center.......even a high profile starting receiver like Beckham or Dez Bryant makes a slight difference in the spread.......but the media pumps up injuries all the time that aren't important to well rounded teams.

The Giants have a rookie coach that is doing a phenomenal job in his first year.

 

[OfficialSono]

IMO, injuries aren't that important in the NFL unless its the starting Qb or starting center.......even a high profile starting receiver like Beckham or Dez Bryant makes a slight difference in the spread.......but the media pumps up injuries all the time that aren't important to well rounded teams.

The Giants have a rookie coach that is doing a phenomenal job in his first year.

I agree to an extent, I think defensive injuries are more likely to effect the outcome of a game as oppose to offensive.

Giants up to +2.5.

 

[chonce]

I thought MIA would be a PK vs Buffalo -- getting more than 3? that is odd.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I agree to an extent, I think defensive injuries are more likely to effect the outcome of a game as oppose to offensive.

Giants up to +2.5.

The sharps were right moving this line 4.5 points........& I agree with a great defensive player.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I thought MIA would be a PK vs Buffalo -- getting more than 3? that is odd.

I'm scared of this game, staying away.......these last 2 weeks can be crazy. Giants lost & don't need to win in week 17 either if the Lions or Tampa lose this week......Giants will be locker in at #5 seed.

 

[TomandJerry]

I'm scared of this game, staying away.......these last 2 weeks can be crazy. Giants lost & don't need to win in week 17 either if the Lions or Tampa lose this week......Giants will be locker in at #5 seed.

this

Giants lost help Dallas clinch home field advantage, Dallas pay back this week to lock up Giants #5 seed

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Browns line came down 2 points, from +6 to +4.......I think they finally cover, but taking no chances, I'm putting them in a teaser:


Browns +14, Skins +7.5, Gbay +4........(Large)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

this

Giants lost help Dallas clinch home field advantage, Dallas pay back this week to lock up Giants #5 seed

Yeah, & even if the Giants beat the Skins in week 17, or lose, they are stuck in #5 seed unless the Lions beat Dallas Monday night, & the Lions lose to Gbay in week 17, the Giants are still stuck in #5 seed cause they beat the Lions.

So it will be interesting to see what spread comes out for the Giants in week 17

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding a big play for Saturday.........


Cards +7.5 (-105)........$4,200 to win $4,000.......(counts as 2 XL plays)


Cards ML (+300)........(Large)


Have a Merry Christmas everyone!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding:


Raiders -3.5 (-110)........(Large)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding:


Bengals Pk (-110)........(X-Large)

Adding more:


Bengals ML (+125).......(Large)

 

[mickj]

ari back to +9.5