***** Nfl Week 16 Plays---Xmas Presents for Everyone *****

[TheComputerGroup]

Just saw Skins win Division with a win Saturday!

Yes, just win & you're in........Eagles need to win to stay alive......I was up until 3am going thru the division possibilities.

I know the Eagles can win, then lose next week & Skins beat Dallas & still get in.......but I doubt the Skins want to go that route, because if Eagles win, they go to 3-2 in division & one more win at Giants week 17 & they go to 8-8 but 4-2 in division & win it.

This game here is the Skins HUGE game......if they don't win this game, I can't see them getting into the playoffs.

Line opened up Skins +4, dropped like a brick to +3 in hours........

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I just can't see Cinn. going into Denver with a rookie QB and beating that defense. Real break that Dalton got hurt for Denver. Jets have the toughest schedule left and are likely to lose at least one. This lays it out pretty good here:

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace

Denver's defense is beatable.......we will see if AJ McCarron big talk of him coming off the bench resembles Tom Brady.

I do see a very close game.......+3.5 in this game is a gift!

I font think Manning will be back, & if he is back, he won'tmake Denver better......Osweiler is a better fit imo.......

Thanks for the link, will look at it.



Some trends for the Monday night game.....



Denver -3.5 vs Bengals:


***Bengals are 8-0 ATS as a dog of 2 or more points in their 2nd of back to back road game.***

***Bengals are 11-1 ATS off a non-conference game vs a non-division opponent ......(2-0 ATS this season in this spot)***

Trends can be used as a tool when capping, or not at all.......some people see trends as useless.......they should be used cautiously .

 

[TheComputerGroup]

TCG - look at SD @ OAK. San Diego just had their Super Bowl here last weekend, all the fanfare ect....Probably last game ever at Q. It had everything short of a ticker tape. Huge letdown spot, traveling to a hungry OAK. Woodson announces his retirement this week. (One of Top d-backs to ever play the game) Will be his last game at the stadium, with a recently named pro-bowler by the name of Mack! I would say there's a bit of motivation there.

OAK will steam roll SD right out of town by double digits. Take a look, worth a play IMO. Cheers!

Yes, I'm really looking to play the Raiders in this spot......if you watched ESPN after the SD game, you would have thought they won the super bowl the way the SD players were interacting with the fans.

If I'm not mistaken, isn't the Raiders in the same spot as what SD was in last week?

I read this could be the Raiders last home game ever in that stadium, is this correct?

Add in Woods on retiring, & its a recipe for a Raiders win........I just don't like the -5.5, that number scares me.......I definitely think Raiders win SU tho......I'm thinking of placing a 3 team 10 point teaser: Raiders +4.5.......Steelers Pk.......Gbay +14.5

 

[uscmd]

Great discussion............

BOL this w/e

MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL. AND BOL IN YOUR ENDEAVORS.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Great discussion............

BOL this w/e

MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL. AND BOL IN YOUR ENDEAVORS.

Thanks man, same to you!






Let's look at the Cards vs Gbay game.........


If Carolina wins at Atlanta, & they should win SU at least, do the Cards even have to show up at 4pm vs Gbay??

If Carolina wins & goes 15-0, the Cards can't get #1 seed......& if the Cards lose last 2 weeks, & go 12-4, they can't lose their #2 seed......nobody can catch the Cards at #2 seed.......so what purpose would Arizona have to play their starters the whole game?? None!

They're not undefeated, & the last thing Arian's would want is for Palmer to get hurt........

Packers don't need to win this game either, they only need to beat the Vikings next week to win the division.......but we know its better to have a win.

This game IMO will come down to a fg either way.

 

[skoda]

Yes, just win & you're in........Eagles need to win to stay alive......I was up until 3am going thru the division possibilities.

I know the Eagles can win, then lose next week & Skins beat Dallas & still get in.......but I doubt the Skins want to go that route, because if Eagles win, they go to 3-2 in division & one more win at Giants week 17 & they go to 8-8 but 4-2 in division & win it.

This game here is the Skins HUGE game......if they don't win this game, I can't see them getting into the playoffs.

Line opened up Skins +4, dropped like a brick to +3 in hours........

Looks like Skins only need to win 1 of 2, win this week.

any combination of Redskins wins and Eagles losses totaling one will clinch the division for the Redskins

Good Luck to all and to all a Merry Christmas

 

[buddygurt]

Looks like Skins only need to win 1 of 2, win this week.

any combination of Redskins wins and Eagles losses totaling one will clinch the division for the Redskins

Good Luck to all and to all a Merry Christmas

if the eagles win this week, Eagles control their fate in week 17

 

[REDEYE]

Thanks man, same to you!






Let's look at the Cards vs Gbay game.........


If Carolina wins at Atlanta, & they should win SU at least, do the Cards even have to show up at 4pm vs Gbay??

If Carolina wins & goes 15-0, the Cards can't get #1 seed......& if the Cards lose last 2 weeks, & go 12-4, they can't lose their #2 seed......nobody can catch the Cards at #2 seed.......so what purpose would Arizona have to play their starters the whole game?? None!

They're not undefeated, & the last thing Arian's would want is for Palmer to get hurt........

Packers don't need to win this game either, they only need to beat the Vikings next week to win the division.......but we know its better to have a win.

This game IMO will come down to a fg either way.

Packers could get the #2 seed by winning out and Cards losing to Seattle so AZ needs to win no matter the Carolina result

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Packers could get the #2 seed by winning out and Cards losing to Seattle so AZ needs to win no matter the Carolina result

Yes, you're absolutely correct.......Gbays 12-4 would be better than Cards 12-4......that's why I like having these discussions, you guys see stuff I don't.......thanks man.

So if Cards win this game here SU, & Carolina goes on to win, Cards don't need to show up week 17 vs Seattle........


I think I may have jumped the gun on Packers ML........I still like Packers +4.5.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding 3 team 10 point teaser:




Cards +5.5......Steelers Pk.......Vikings +4.......(XX-Large)



Think this Cards game comes down to a fg game, so will play it both ways.........

 

[kid31]

Good luck CG Merry christmas

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Good luck CG Merry christmas

Thanks man, same to you & your family!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Since Gbay is 3-2 in division, & Vikings 4-1......Vikings need to win but Gbay doesn't need to beat the Cards......

Even if Gbay beat the Cards & went 11-4, they still need to beat the Vikings if Vikings beat Giants Sunday night, because Vikings have a 4-1 division record & a 10-5 overall record.

So this Cards/Gbay game looks more important to Arizona.......hmm........

 

[MactheKnife]

B9L... happy holidays my man

 

[boss415]

Good luck this week and Merry Christmas Comp Group!
On the under 47 tonight that i bet yesterday in anticipation of some nasty weather here in the bay area. It's clear as a bell right now but may get a little rain at gametime. Nothing like i thought it might be. Only time it really rained hard today was when i was walking the dogs lol

 

[chonce]

You have GB + the points, but put Arizona in a 10-pt teaser? If you like GB better than Zona, why not choose them? Or are you spreading liability?
I am on the Skins for sure. I think I like Dallas, too.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Good luck this week and Merry Christmas Comp Group!
On the under 47 tonight that i bet yesterday in anticipation of some nasty weather here in the bay area. It's clear as a bell right now but may get a little rain at gametime. Nothing like i thought it might be. Only time it really rained hard today was when i was walking the dogs lol

Thanks man, Happy Holidays to you & your family.......


Same to you Mac............





And good hit on that Under Boss........

 

[TheComputerGroup]

You have GB + the points, but put Arizona in a 10-pt teaser? If you like GB better than Zona, why not choose them? Or are you spreading liability?
I am on the Skins for sure. I think I like Dallas, too.

Yeah, I didn't break down the Cards situation as well as I thought. They're still playing for #2 seed......I guess if they lose out & Gbay wins out, Gbay would get #2 seed, but I really don't see that happening.

I jumped the gun on Gbay ML........

Thing is, Gbay could win this game SU, & Cards beat Seattle next week to solidify their #2 seed.....but I don't think the Cards want to go that route......it wouldn't surprise me if Cards did lose SU to Gbay.

So yes, I am spreading a little around on this game, even if the Cards win by 3, the teaser will cover my Gbay ML bet. I do feel its a 3 point game either way.

Good luck Chonce!

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding 1 play:




Bears ML (+150).........(Large)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding:






Jets +3 (-105)........(XX-Large)