10-3-1 NFL Playoffs (77%)
In the last three weeks since I came back and posting my plays again, it has been a wonderful run (6-2 last regulation week, 10-3-1 playoffs). Hope you enjoyed my plays and I am glad that I can help some of my friends turning their bad days into good one.
Only two games left before the Super Bowl, so let's get busy.
Denver -5.5
Based on my analysis, I have Denver winning by 2 touchdowns, however, a lot of experts on this forum and my wise friends siding with the Patriots plus the points. I had the Patriots (-7.5) last week but that was when they were at home and 2 weeks to prepare. The Patriots are playing good football right now but they are the same team that barely won over Cleveland (27-26) and lost to Miami (20-24) last month.
Denver 34-20.
Seattle -3 -125
Hate to buy this half point at a premium prices but in a defensive battle game, this half point is so valuable. I usually play the underdog on this situation. But in the playoffs,the edges go with the home teams and the Hawks are 4-1 ATS at home against the Niners in their last five meetings.
Seattle 23-16.
Right now, I'm leaning on the Under on Denver game. A lot of talk about Manning vs Brady (Passing and high score game) but I think both teams will try to establish their ground game the same they were last week. Even though the Colts has poor rushing defenses, all six of Patriots' touchdowns came from the ground. I will have a decision by Sunday and hopefully stay with the Under.
On Seattle game, I think it's too close to call on Over/Under. I might not have a play on Over/Under on this game.
On the second notes, does Vegas makes mistake on betting lines when betting actions are heavily with the underdogs on both games???????? Very very rarely to happen in Conference Championship games. Vegas does not make mistakes.
Best of luck to everyone.
Tigertoy