NFL Playoff Information Thread

[PanchoSanza]

Play the moneyline if you like the dog and the spread if you like the fav.

Fav's who win will usually cover because they treat these games different from a regular season game in that they are less likely to sit on a lead and more likely to run it up in the second half since it is win or go home.

 

[UWinSports]

good stuff lou

 

[drunkguy]

great info Lou. Thanks.

 

[kevinla]

Translation: Bet the house on the Pack. They are the one sure winner in round 1.

 

[1cheater]

I have a strange suspision that Favre dedicated more then just that game they won after his father passed on. The Pack just squeezed into the playoffs; I strongly believe they will make the best of it.

 

[winbet]

If you take away the game against Denver B Team and the Raiders game ( would you want to be the player who made Brett have a bad game)
They looked very iffy. The Defense does look good but against San Deigo, Chicago, Detroit and Tampa, you can question what they were up against. In those same games, the Offense has been average.

 

[BigLou+]

When betting the NFL playoffs you can basically disregard the spread as the SU winner will cover most of the time. Here is some data on how SU winners have done ATS in the playoffs.

Wild Card Round 1982-2002: 68-7-3 ATS 91% (3-1 ATS this weekend)
Divisional Round 1982-2002: 69-12-3 ATS 85%
Conference Finals 1970-2002: 59-5-2 ATS 92%
Super Bowl 1966-2002: 32-3-2 ATS 91%

 

[BigLou+]

It doesn't happen very often but home dogs in the first two rounds of the playoffs are money in the bank going 8-0 SU & ATS in the Wild Card or Divisional Round of the playoffs since 1982. The results are quite different in the Conference Finals with home dogs going just 7-6 SU & ATS since 1970.

Updated numbers: 8-1 SU & ATS since 1982. (0-1 this weekend).

Big Lou

 

[BigLou+]

Playoff teams with running backs who rushed for 1,850 yds or more during the regular season

Throughout history teams that enter the playoffs with a running back that has gained substantial yardage during the regular season have not done well in the post-season. Here is the list of teams whose RB rushed for 1,850 yards or more and their playoff record that season:

Yards Player Team (Year) Playoff Record That Year
2,105 Eric Dickerson LA Rams (1984) 0-1
2,066 Jamal Lewis Baltimore (2003) 0-1
2,053 Barry Sanders Detroit (1997) 0-1
2,008 Terrell Davis Denver (1998) 3-0
1,934 Earl Campbell Houston (1980) 0-1
1,883 Ahman Green Green Bay (2003) 1-0 so far
1,883 Barry Sanders Detroit (1994) 0-1
1,852 Walter Payton Chicago (1977) 0-1

Big Lou

 

[mhk]

Big Lou, I notice the Eagles have been outgained this year.. Has there ever been a team to even make it to the SB after being outgained yardage wise all year?

 

[rscl31]

Home teams are 11-32 in outdoor playoff games, no DOME team has EVER went to the super bowl a without winning an outdoor game first. The Colts are 2-5 in road playoff games since 1984.

 

[rscl31]

Since the 96' season ...

The home team IN THIS ROUND is 23-5 SU (82%), 4-0 last year.

The home team IN THIS ROUND is 18-9-1 ATS (67%), 3-1 last year.

The straight-up winner of the game IN THIS ROUND is 23-4-1 ATS (85%), 3-1 last year.

 

[rscl31]

Can you say CHIEFS!

 

[rscl31]

Some more reasoning for the Chiefs

Team that score 40 or more in a playoff win are 1-12 ATS the following week

 

[DENIRO]

rsc thats impressive stats and trends

i also like the past experience and records of the head coahes

its a total mismatch w/ vermeil and dungy

 

[captain#5]

Start playing the UNDERS as the ARTIC air is rolling in as we speak.