NFL Picks 2015

[jgm4661]

Week 9

Home team in caps. Edge is team unit vs corresponding opposite unit of opponent ie Team rush O vs Opponent rush D.

Best Bet
NYJ -7


NYJ -7
Edge everywhere. jax will struggle to do anything on O. jax giving up ~ 30 ppg and losing by 9 on avg.

CAR +2.5
gb giving up 4.7 ypr facing the top rushing team in the league. Look for Rogers to struggle again vs one of the better pass D’s, gb only avging 19 ppg on the road

IND +4
IND came to life vs CAR and D healthy. den much tougher at home. Giving up 4 sk/gm missing 2 starting OT. On paper both teams similar so take the pts

DAL +3.5
If they can keep it close w Sea they can against phi. Should be another low scoring affair, Bradford has an opr of 76 one of the lowest in the league DAL one of top rushing Os and have WR Bryant healthy

 

[jgm4661]

NO – 6.5
ten hasn’t scored more than 13 pts in last 4 outings. NO edge everywhere. New HC Mike Mularkey is an avg NFL coach at best. Rookie QB still error prone and ten avg 1 TO per game

 

[jgm4661]

chi + 4.5 SD missing starters at OT, WR, C, OG, DE and ILB.

 

[jgm4661]

3-3 w9. 7-10 overall.

Some bad beats. DAL takes phi to OT and then loses by 6 vs 3. Revis drops an int inside the 10 yd line vs jax then they lose CB Cromartie and allow Bortles to march up and down the field. NO also gave up a TD that was 2 people fighting over a pick

 

[jgm4661]

Week 10

Home team in caps. Edge is team unit vs corresponding opposite unit of opponent ie Team rush O vs Opponent rush D.

dal +1
Edge in run and pass O and run d. TB giving up 29 ppg this yr and has one of the worst secondaries in the league allowing a 105 dpr. Also most penalized team in league. Missing starting TE and WR Vincent Jackson again

 

[jgm4661]

Actually scratch dal. No great edge w Cassell

 

[jgm4661]

cin +4.5

 

[jgm4661]

1-0 wk11
8-10 ytd

 

[jgm4661]

Week 12

Ideas so far. Home team in caps. Edge is team unit vs corresponding opposite unit of opponent ie Team rush O vs Opponent rush D.

WAS +2.5
WAS very tough at home winning by ~ 9 pts on avg. nyg have an anemic pass rush getting only 1.3 sk/gm so Cousins will have all day to find his receivers and D Jackson is back and healthy. nyg down 2 starting OL

pit +3.5
Both D’s fairly similar in strength. Both teams are also #1 and #2 in O rush ypc. so expect heavy ground games. Sea missing RB Lynch and his 17 tds last year

DEN +3
ne really banged up at WR missing Edelman and his 7 pts/gm, Aaron Dobson and Danny Amendola. Also on the OL. Not good facing DEN who lead the league in sacks and have one of the best dpr QB Osweiler showed he can manage a game w an impressive road win at CHI Big edge in pass O

CLE -3
bal just lost their starting QB and RB last week and now start Matt Schaub throwing to backups. Also will be down 3 starting OL.

 

[jgm4661]

2-2 Week 12
10-12 ytd

PIT should have covered easily except for that brain cramp fake field goal that was a 10 pt swing then losing BEN. CLE's luck to lose trying for the winning fg for the push.

 

[jgm4661]

Week 16
Home team in caps. Edge is team unit vs corresponding opposite unit of opponent ie Team rush O vs Opponent rush D.

cle +12.5
KC missing both starting OLBs so no pass rush cle edge in run and pass d so wont be a 2 TD victory KC winning only by 7 at home and only scored 10 vs SD

NYJ +3

ne has a raft of injuries to WR Only won by 7 at Foxboro earlier so line should be -1 here NYJ edge everywhere.

 

[jgm4661]

Actually scratch cle Can't trust them yet

 

[jgm4661]

Pit -10

 

[jgm4661]

Scratch PIT. Misread the schedule and thought the game was in PIT

 

[thenatti]

how do you scratch PIT halfway through the game?

 

[jgm4661]

how do you scratch PIT halfway through the game?

I just pick for fun anyway. I just realized I typed a mistake on my MS Excel calculations sheet.

 

[jgm4661]

11-12 ytd

 

[jgm4661]

Week 17
Home team in caps. Edge is team unit vs corresponding opposite unit of opponent ie Team rush O vs Opponent rush D.

det +1

CHI down both starting WRs. det big edge in pass O

 

[jgm4661]

Scratch det. Just going to watch today.

 

[jgm4661]

Wild Card

HOu +3