THE RED SHEET
OCTOBER 12, 2024 VOLUME 56 - NUMBER 7
ILLINOIS 44 - Purdue 10 - (3:30 EDT) -- Line opened at Illinois minus 20, and is now minus 19½. Hey, we'll take it,
namely the ½ pt move in our direction. Just about every informed fan can figure the main reason for
this selection, & it isn't the underwhelming offense of the Illini, which has posted a season-high of just
31 pts in its OT win at Nebraska. However Illinois keeps finding ways triumph in the battle of the
spread, with its only SU loss of the season, coming in its 21-7 loss to #4 PennSt, holding the Lions to
season-lows in scoring, passing, & rushing. Purdue a 184-44 pt deficit in LGs year, with #120 "D".
RATING: ILLINOIS 89
PITTSBURGH 30 - California 13 - (3:30) -- Line opened at Pittsburgh minus 3½, and is now minus 3. To start with, note
that the host in Panther games was on a 10-1 spread run, before Pitt turned that trend on its ear, with
LW's 7½ pt cover at NoCarolina, with once again doing it behind the passing efforts of Holstein
(transfer from Alabama) who now stands at 313 PYpg & 15/3. The Bears are 7-12 ATS as the dog, &
are in off a 30-13 FD deficit, while ranking 83rd in total offense. As noted earlier, Cal lives by the
turnover, as the Bears rank 3rd in the nation with a +8 margin. With spread at a FG, take advantage.
RATING: PITTSBURGH 89
Boise State 63 - HAWAII 27 - (11:00) -- Line opened at BoiseSt minus 21½, & is now minus 20½. A respected member
of our staff is inordinately consumed by the power of the ½ pt on either side of a TD or FG, & after all
these years, we simply have to agree, especially with the spread on this one being a perfect example,
moving 3 TD spot our way. Whether or not the Warriors need it is another matter. The 17th-ranked
Broncos of Boise, are just a 3-pt loss at Oregon, from SU perfection, & should continue, behind the
weekly exploits of the land's top RB, as Jeanty owns 260 RY edge over his closest competitor. Rout.
RATING: BOISE STATE 88
NEW MEXICO 34 - Air Force 13 - (7:00) -- Line opened at New Mexico minus -3½, and is now minus 6½. Never in a
thousand years, did we could imagine the Falcons of Air Force, as a TD dog in this rivalry. The Lobos
have always been a bit sporadic, when it comes to their overland production, but never low enough to
take the field as the chalk vs the flyers. However, things have changed, most notably with the Falcons
as they returned exactly 6 starters from LY's bowl winning campaign, coming from 1st & 2nd in RYs
the past 2 years to TY's 58th & 131st in rushing & total offense, with 96-29 SU pt deficit in L3 gms.
RATING: NEW MEXICO 88
ARMY 70 - Uab 30 - (12:00) -- Line opened at Army minus 24½, and is now minus 25½. Cadets are the 2nd military
outfit to grace this week's publication, altho the reasoning is poles apart, with the Black Knights moving
to the top spot in the nation in rushing (361 RYpg). Army is now on a 7-0 spread run by 132½ pts,
as well as a 128-35 pt edge in its last 3 games. while climbing to the #9 slot in total "D". The Blazers,
on the other hand, have little competition in hurrying to the bottom of the run "D" barrel, where they've
settled at 126th in rushing defense (8th worst), allowing 227 RYpg. Appears huge spot is generous.
RATING: ARMY 88
Detroit 31 - DALLAS 20 - (4:25) -- Line opened at Detroit minus 3½, and is still minus 3½. Well, they're doing it again,
as the Lions are just a 4-pt loss to the Bucs, from arriving here with a perfect slate, something that
would match what Detroit QB Goff did in Lions' Monday win over the Seahawks. He was a spectacular
18-OF-18 for 292 yds, 2 passing TDs, along with a TD catch in that 42-29 win, which keeps the Lions
just a game behind the perfect Vikings, who are on a sweet 8-0 run, SU & ATS, when including the
preseason. Detroit has Minny up next week, therefore cannot afford any letdown of focus. Lion call.
RATING: DETROIT LIONS 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): BYU, LSU, Tennessee, Western Mich - NFL: Washington, Green Bay, NY Jets
LARGE LINE MOVES: Utah (-3 to -6½); New Mexico (-3½ to -6½); Fla Intl (+20½ to +17½); San Diego St (+½ to -2);
UTSA (-4 to -6); Memphis (-6 to -8); Miss St (+34 to +32); Colorado (+5½ to +4); So Carolina (+22½ to +21); Penn St (-
4 to -5); Army (-24½ to -25½); Bowling Grn (-2 to -3); Stanford (+23½ to +22½); Akron (+9½ to +8½); BYU (-3½ to -4½);
Hawaii (+21½ to +20½); New Mexico St (+21 to +20); UTEP (+20½ to +19½); La Tech (-4 to -5); NFL:Tampa Bay (+2½
to -2½); Atlanta (-4½ to -6½); Indianapolis (+½ to -1); Cleveland (+9½ to +8½); KEY INJURIES: Appalachian St WR
Horn (Und) ??; Arizona St WR McClain (redshirting); BYU WR Epps (Und) Out; Boise St WR Marshall (ankle) Pos-
sible; Calif WR Grayes (Und) ??; WR Merriweather (Und) ??; UConn RB Rosa (finger) ??; Duke RB Moore (leg) ??;
East Carolina RB Bond (Und) ??; Georgia WR Young (legal) ??;Georgia Tech QB Leary (transfer portal); Old
Dominion QB Wilson (Und) ??; Oregon St RB Griffin (Und) ??; Southern Miss QB Crawford (Und) ??; Temple RB
Washington (Und) ??; UCLA WR Flores (Und) ??; QB Garbers (lower leg) Probable; Wyoming RB Jones (personal)
Out; - NFL: Atlanta RB McClellan (illness) ??; Baltimore RB Ali (neck) ??; Cleveland RB Chubb (knee) Out; RB Hines
(knee) Out; RB Strong (hamstring) ??; Denver RB Badie (back) Out; Green Bay WR Watson (ankle) Doubtful; Hous-
ton RB Brooks (knee) Out; RB Mixon (ankle) Out; RB Pierce (hamstring) ??; Indianapolis QB Richardson (oblique) ??;
Las Vegas RB White (groin) Out; Miami QB Thompson (ribs) ??; NY Giants RB Singletary (groin) Doubtful; New
Orleans QB Carr (oblique) ??; RB Miller (hamstring) Doubtful; Pittsburgh RB Warren (knee) Out; Washington QB
Mariota (pectoral) ??; RB Robinson (knee) ??...
drive.google.com
