Merry Christmas everybody!
Mendoza Line Newsletter Tracking (through 12/24/18)
Updated to include MNF and the Power Plays win.
NFL only the rest of the season.
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
Gridiron Gold Sheet (2-2 for the 2nd-straight week)
NFL Best Bets (38-24-2)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (12-4)
4* (7-9)
3* (10-6)
Upset pick (4-12) (Duke +3 pending for Thursday)
Betcha Didn't Know (4-18-1)
Awesome Angle (7-13)
Incredible Stat (7-8-2)
Pointwise NFL
3* (6-10)
4* (11-19-2)
5* (13-19)
PowerSweep NFL (didn't see Power Sweep this week)
4* (6-9)
3* (7-7-1)
2* (7-7-1)
NFL System play (8-9)
4* Pro Angle (1-4)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-0)
3* (8-7)
2* (23-8-1)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NFL Super Best Bets (1-0)
NFL Best Bets (16-16)
Winning Points
NFL 4* (9-7)
NFL 3* (9-7)
Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (1-2)
MTI 4.5* (8-7-1)
MTI 4* (5-6)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (2-7)
SBB 4* (13-7-1)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (3-0 this week, and hit his 10* GOY)
3* (6-9-1)
2* (20-12)
PowerPlays
NFL 4* (10-5-1)
Gold Sheet
NFL Key Releases (21-21-3)
Mendoza Line Newsletter Tracking (through 12/24/18)
Updated to include MNF and the Power Plays win.
NFL only the rest of the season.
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
Gridiron Gold Sheet (2-2 for the 2nd-straight week)
NFL Best Bets (38-24-2)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (12-4)
4* (7-9)
3* (10-6)
Upset pick (4-12) (Duke +3 pending for Thursday)
Betcha Didn't Know (4-18-1)
Awesome Angle (7-13)
Incredible Stat (7-8-2)
Pointwise NFL
3* (6-10)
4* (11-19-2)
5* (13-19)
PowerSweep NFL (didn't see Power Sweep this week)
4* (6-9)
3* (7-7-1)
2* (7-7-1)
NFL System play (8-9)
4* Pro Angle (1-4)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-0)
3* (8-7)
2* (23-8-1)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NFL Super Best Bets (1-0)
NFL Best Bets (16-16)
Winning Points
NFL 4* (9-7)
NFL 3* (9-7)
Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (1-2)
MTI 4.5* (8-7-1)
MTI 4* (5-6)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (2-7)
SBB 4* (13-7-1)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (3-0 this week, and hit his 10* GOY)
3* (6-9-1)
2* (20-12)
PowerPlays
NFL 4* (10-5-1)
Gold Sheet
NFL Key Releases (21-21-3)
CKO
11* UCF over Lsu Late CKO score forecast: UCF 35 - Lsu 24 Fiesta Bowl at Glendale, AZ (Tuesday, January 1) Oddsmakers continue to undervalue chemistry-rich, speedy UCF riding a 25-game win skein. Hence, we’re fully content to take a full TD with CFP-dissed Knights, charged-up to finish with back-to-back perfect seasons for first time since Nebraska in 1993-1994 by upsetting an SEC opponent a 2nd straight year in bowls. UCF’s 1st-year HC Josh Heupel (former QB) has reportedly added a few wrinkles for tough, fast-learning 6-3, 230-lb. QB Darriel Mack Jr, who proved he can successfully replace injured star McKenzie Milton when he engineered a major comeback in the 56-41 win over Memphis, outscoring Tigers 35-3 after H. The LSU pass D misses the services of lock-down CB Greedy Williams, who’s sitting it out to prepare for the NFL Draft. Meanwhile, UCF D (19.5 ppg; 7th in TFL) can stack the box vs. Tigers’ power run-oriented O, since QB Joe Burrow (only 12 TDP; pass game ranked 80th) won’t be mistaken for Bayou Bengal legend Y.A. Tittle. UCF rises to 18-7-1 vs. spread last 26, as LSU falls to 2-6 vs. spread last 8 bowls.
10 *SEATTLE over Arizona Late CKO score forecast: *SEATTLE 27 - Arizona 9 (Sunday, December 30) The pressure is off at CenturyLink Field as Seattle is safely into the playoffs as an NFC wild card with one week to spare thanks to last week’s win over the Chiefs. But the obligatory rests for key players is not likely to be as much of a negative for the Seahawks as other teams because of HC Pete Carroll’s notorious rah-rah and the accompanying uplift. Those tactics have spurred Seattle to success in these sorts of spots before as well as in preseason, where Carroll’s teams have been a consistent overachiever in August. With several backups excited for their chance to play, Seattle’s intensity level should be high. And it could be a big day for backup QB Brett Hundley, who figures to fill in for a resting Russell Wilson. He likely faces his UCLA successor, Josh Rosen, struggling in his rookie campaign with the Big Red (1-5 vs. line last six) not making any noticeable progress in December.
10* OKLAHOMA STATE over Missouri Late CKO score forecast: OKLAHOMA STATE 41 - Missouri 38 Liberty Bowl at Memphis, TN (Monday, December 31)A curious mix, this Ok State side, which could only get to .500 this season but nonetheless owns three wins over teams ranked in the Top 25 and pushed Final Four Oklahoma to the limit in the November 10 “Bedlam” game at Norman, losing only 48-47. Having risen up big to knock off the likes of Boise State, Texas, and West Virginia (with Will Grier), plus that near-miss vs. the Sooners, all suggest the Cowboys can trade points with anybody. Especially as sr. QB Taylor Cornelius took advantage of his one shot as a starter, passing for 3642 yards and 28 TDs while running for another 10 TDs in another potent Mike Gundy attack that tallied a healthy 38 ppg. Outscoring potent NFLbound Mizzou QB Drew Lock will be a chore, but the Tigers have exhibited bully tendencies the past two years for HC Barry Odom, whose troops fell well short vs. another Big 12 entry, Texas, in the Texas Bowl LY.
10* NC STATE over Texas A&M Late CKO score forecast: NC STATE 34 - Texas A&M 24 Gator Bowl at Jacksonville, FL (Monday, December 31) CKO scouts urge us to take rising price (now a full 7) with NC State highly-motivated to reach DD wins, which would be the first time in Raleigh since 2002. Even with star WR Kelvin Harmon bypassing bowl to prepare for NFL Draft, the Wolfpack’s prolific, all-ACC 1st-team QB Ryan Finley (59 career TDP) owns enough big-time weapons (like Jakobi Meyers with 89 grabs) to burn a Texas A&M secondary, ranking 119th in pass D, allowing 271 ypg. And while Aggies own the more recognizable RB in Trayveon Williams, NC State is well-equipped to maintain sufficient run-pass balance behind suddenly-hot RB Reggie Gallaspy II, who’s motored for 349 yards & 7 TDs L2Gs. NC State’s shrewd 5th-year mentor Dave Doeren, gunning for his 3rd straight bowl win, covered 4 of 5 meetings vs. Aggies’ 1st-year HC Jimbo Fisher, when he was Florida State head man. A&M really hasn’t shown much KO power except vs. outmanned non-conference foes, which isn’t the case here. Note, in Aggies’ 38-24 win over Ole Miss, game was tied at 21 in the 4th Q.
10* OHIO STATE over Washington Late CKO score forecast: OHIO STATE 38 - Washington 21 Rose Bowl at Pasadena, CA (Tuesday, January 1) Ohio State should be ready to impose its will on Washington in the “Grandaddy of them All” Rose Bowl Tuesday. The Buckeyes have an arsenal of weapons on offense that should go over, under, around and through the Husky defense. Ohio State posted some impressive wins in rolling to a 12-1 mark, knifing through the Big 10 schedule that culminated in a 62-39 win against the then No. 1-ranked Michigan defense and an easy 45-24 victory over Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship. QB Haskins threw for 4580 yds. with a 47-8 (!) TD-int. ratio, completing 70% of his passes while utilizing a bevy of targets (7 different receivers caught 20 or more passes). Buckeye RBs J.K. Dobbins and Mike Weber combined for 1887 yds. rushing and 14 TDs running behind an experienced OL featuring a pair of all-Big Ten future NFL draftees. Washington underachieved TY, as QB Browning and RB Gaskin both fell short of their 2017 production. The Pac 12 is a miserable 2-14 vs. the points in bowl games the last 2+ seasons!
NINE-RATED GAMES: NORTHWESTERN (+7) over Utah (Holiday Bowl)—Both have offensive injuries but give Wildcat replacements the edge of Pac-12 rep Utes...TEXAS (+13) over Georgia (Sugar Bowl)—Texas HC Tom Herman’s record as an underdog (12-2 in 4 years at Houston & Texas) and playmaking soph QB Ehlinger (25 TDP, 13 TDR) point to Longhorns.
TOTALS: UNDER (47½) in the NY Jets-New England game—With a first-round bye on the line, expect Belichick to to coax a playoff-level effort from his D; Pats 6-2 “under” L8 at Gillette...UNDER(41) in the Chicago-Minnesota game—These two both 4-1 “under” last 5. “Under” is 10-4 last 14 when these two meet (5-2 L7 played in Minneapolis).
11* UCF over Lsu Late CKO score forecast: UCF 35 - Lsu 24 Fiesta Bowl at Glendale, AZ (Tuesday, January 1) Oddsmakers continue to undervalue chemistry-rich, speedy UCF riding a 25-game win skein. Hence, we’re fully content to take a full TD with CFP-dissed Knights, charged-up to finish with back-to-back perfect seasons for first time since Nebraska in 1993-1994 by upsetting an SEC opponent a 2nd straight year in bowls. UCF’s 1st-year HC Josh Heupel (former QB) has reportedly added a few wrinkles for tough, fast-learning 6-3, 230-lb. QB Darriel Mack Jr, who proved he can successfully replace injured star McKenzie Milton when he engineered a major comeback in the 56-41 win over Memphis, outscoring Tigers 35-3 after H. The LSU pass D misses the services of lock-down CB Greedy Williams, who’s sitting it out to prepare for the NFL Draft. Meanwhile, UCF D (19.5 ppg; 7th in TFL) can stack the box vs. Tigers’ power run-oriented O, since QB Joe Burrow (only 12 TDP; pass game ranked 80th) won’t be mistaken for Bayou Bengal legend Y.A. Tittle. UCF rises to 18-7-1 vs. spread last 26, as LSU falls to 2-6 vs. spread last 8 bowls.
10 *SEATTLE over Arizona Late CKO score forecast: *SEATTLE 27 - Arizona 9 (Sunday, December 30) The pressure is off at CenturyLink Field as Seattle is safely into the playoffs as an NFC wild card with one week to spare thanks to last week’s win over the Chiefs. But the obligatory rests for key players is not likely to be as much of a negative for the Seahawks as other teams because of HC Pete Carroll’s notorious rah-rah and the accompanying uplift. Those tactics have spurred Seattle to success in these sorts of spots before as well as in preseason, where Carroll’s teams have been a consistent overachiever in August. With several backups excited for their chance to play, Seattle’s intensity level should be high. And it could be a big day for backup QB Brett Hundley, who figures to fill in for a resting Russell Wilson. He likely faces his UCLA successor, Josh Rosen, struggling in his rookie campaign with the Big Red (1-5 vs. line last six) not making any noticeable progress in December.
10* OKLAHOMA STATE over Missouri Late CKO score forecast: OKLAHOMA STATE 41 - Missouri 38 Liberty Bowl at Memphis, TN (Monday, December 31)A curious mix, this Ok State side, which could only get to .500 this season but nonetheless owns three wins over teams ranked in the Top 25 and pushed Final Four Oklahoma to the limit in the November 10 “Bedlam” game at Norman, losing only 48-47. Having risen up big to knock off the likes of Boise State, Texas, and West Virginia (with Will Grier), plus that near-miss vs. the Sooners, all suggest the Cowboys can trade points with anybody. Especially as sr. QB Taylor Cornelius took advantage of his one shot as a starter, passing for 3642 yards and 28 TDs while running for another 10 TDs in another potent Mike Gundy attack that tallied a healthy 38 ppg. Outscoring potent NFLbound Mizzou QB Drew Lock will be a chore, but the Tigers have exhibited bully tendencies the past two years for HC Barry Odom, whose troops fell well short vs. another Big 12 entry, Texas, in the Texas Bowl LY.
10* NC STATE over Texas A&M Late CKO score forecast: NC STATE 34 - Texas A&M 24 Gator Bowl at Jacksonville, FL (Monday, December 31) CKO scouts urge us to take rising price (now a full 7) with NC State highly-motivated to reach DD wins, which would be the first time in Raleigh since 2002. Even with star WR Kelvin Harmon bypassing bowl to prepare for NFL Draft, the Wolfpack’s prolific, all-ACC 1st-team QB Ryan Finley (59 career TDP) owns enough big-time weapons (like Jakobi Meyers with 89 grabs) to burn a Texas A&M secondary, ranking 119th in pass D, allowing 271 ypg. And while Aggies own the more recognizable RB in Trayveon Williams, NC State is well-equipped to maintain sufficient run-pass balance behind suddenly-hot RB Reggie Gallaspy II, who’s motored for 349 yards & 7 TDs L2Gs. NC State’s shrewd 5th-year mentor Dave Doeren, gunning for his 3rd straight bowl win, covered 4 of 5 meetings vs. Aggies’ 1st-year HC Jimbo Fisher, when he was Florida State head man. A&M really hasn’t shown much KO power except vs. outmanned non-conference foes, which isn’t the case here. Note, in Aggies’ 38-24 win over Ole Miss, game was tied at 21 in the 4th Q.
10* OHIO STATE over Washington Late CKO score forecast: OHIO STATE 38 - Washington 21 Rose Bowl at Pasadena, CA (Tuesday, January 1) Ohio State should be ready to impose its will on Washington in the “Grandaddy of them All” Rose Bowl Tuesday. The Buckeyes have an arsenal of weapons on offense that should go over, under, around and through the Husky defense. Ohio State posted some impressive wins in rolling to a 12-1 mark, knifing through the Big 10 schedule that culminated in a 62-39 win against the then No. 1-ranked Michigan defense and an easy 45-24 victory over Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship. QB Haskins threw for 4580 yds. with a 47-8 (!) TD-int. ratio, completing 70% of his passes while utilizing a bevy of targets (7 different receivers caught 20 or more passes). Buckeye RBs J.K. Dobbins and Mike Weber combined for 1887 yds. rushing and 14 TDs running behind an experienced OL featuring a pair of all-Big Ten future NFL draftees. Washington underachieved TY, as QB Browning and RB Gaskin both fell short of their 2017 production. The Pac 12 is a miserable 2-14 vs. the points in bowl games the last 2+ seasons!
NINE-RATED GAMES: NORTHWESTERN (+7) over Utah (Holiday Bowl)—Both have offensive injuries but give Wildcat replacements the edge of Pac-12 rep Utes...TEXAS (+13) over Georgia (Sugar Bowl)—Texas HC Tom Herman’s record as an underdog (12-2 in 4 years at Houston & Texas) and playmaking soph QB Ehlinger (25 TDP, 13 TDR) point to Longhorns.
TOTALS: UNDER (47½) in the NY Jets-New England game—With a first-round bye on the line, expect Belichick to to coax a playoff-level effort from his D; Pats 6-2 “under” L8 at Gillette...UNDER(41) in the Chicago-Minnesota game—These two both 4-1 “under” last 5. “Under” is 10-4 last 14 when these two meet (5-2 L7 played in Minneapolis).
If this helps anyone....... Pointwise, Gold Sheet and ML Bowl Stat Report are in agreement on: Purdue, Syracuse, Iowa St, Virginia, Nevada and Oklahoma. Nevada and Syracuse are also top plays from Marc Lawrence with Syracuse being a top play from Pointwise.
So far I am lucky at 10-4 just picking winners. No line has come into play yet! This is where I faded terribly last year when the lines started to come into play.
Good luck to all
Gold Sheet
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1DXMkRkl1OM9a4OWWbp-VTZHXhTNMqx1n
Gaming Today
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1S_rBiwpAkLxzb8pIlVyTAmb4UuUz5Vte
Power Sweep/Power Plays
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1gn4H_rMjdH7V8sli2Mj0LvtAFdGUg3J2
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1DXMkRkl1OM9a4OWWbp-VTZHXhTNMqx1n
Gaming Today
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1S_rBiwpAkLxzb8pIlVyTAmb4UuUz5Vte
Power Sweep/Power Plays
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1gn4H_rMjdH7V8sli2Mj0LvtAFdGUg3J2
