According to this William Hill Fade System, since 90% or more of the betting money (use the right hand column) are on the Broncos and Eagles and since their opponents are underdogs, your bets today following the system are on the Cincinnati Bengals +2 1/2 (4:25 PM EST) and the Dallas Cowboys +3 (8:30 PM EST).
Newsletter Tracking (through 11/19/17)
Mendoza Line cumulative year to date record, through November 19:
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
I put some of the extreme hot and cold plays in bold this week.
CKO (we didn't get CKO this week)
11* (3-6-1)
10* (21-18)
Totals (9-9)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (6-5-1)
4* (7-5)
3* (6-6)
Upset pick (3-8-1)
Betcha Didn't Know (8-8)
Awesome Angle (9-5)
Incredible Stat (4-7-1)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (7-4)
4* (3-8)
3* (3-8)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (13-9)
2* (9-2-1)
3* (4-8)
4* (7-17)
5* (13-11)
Pointwise NFL
3* (5-6)
4* (10-10-1) (Atlanta +3 pending for Monday night)
5* (12-10)
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (3-8)
3* (12-11-1)
2* (15-9)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-5-1)
Tech Play of the Week (2-7)
Revenge Play of the Week (5-5-1)
Situational Play of the Week (3-6-1)
Series Play of the Week (5-4)
PowerSweep NFL
4* (7-4)
3* (7-3-1)
2* (4-7)
NFL System play (6-4-1)
4* Pro Angle (3-1)
Powers Picks NCAA
3* (6-15-1)
2* (18-16-2)
1* (1-1)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-1)
3* (3-5-1)
2* (11-11)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (1-0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (20-25-1)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
NFL Best Bets (10-11)
Red Sheet
89* (11-8-2)
88* (21-17-1)
Winning Points (finally won a 4* this week)
NCAA 4* (1-10-1)
NCAA 3* (7-4-1)
NFL 4* (4-7)
NFL 3* (6-5)
Killer Sports, not including teasers (we didn't get KS this week**)
MTI 5* (2-0)
MTI 4.5* (6-2)
MTI 4* (4-6)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (4-0)
SBB 4* (5-11)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (6-5)
2* (11-10-1)
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (12-18-6)
NFL 4* (4-7)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (24-21-1)
NFL Key Releases (17-16)
Last Year's Newsletter records
Mendoza Line cumulative year to date record, through November 19:
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
I put some of the extreme hot and cold plays in bold this week.
CKO (we didn't get CKO this week)
11* (3-6-1)
10* (21-18)
Totals (9-9)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (6-5-1)
4* (7-5)
3* (6-6)
Upset pick (3-8-1)
Betcha Didn't Know (8-8)
Awesome Angle (9-5)
Incredible Stat (4-7-1)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (7-4)
4* (3-8)
3* (3-8)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (13-9)
2* (9-2-1)
3* (4-8)
4* (7-17)
5* (13-11)
Pointwise NFL
3* (5-6)
4* (10-10-1) (Atlanta +3 pending for Monday night)
5* (12-10)
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (3-8)
3* (12-11-1)
2* (15-9)
Underdog Play of the Week (6-5-1)
Tech Play of the Week (2-7)
Revenge Play of the Week (5-5-1)
Situational Play of the Week (3-6-1)
Series Play of the Week (5-4)
PowerSweep NFL
4* (7-4)
3* (7-3-1)
2* (4-7)
NFL System play (6-4-1)
4* Pro Angle (3-1)
Powers Picks NCAA
3* (6-15-1)
2* (18-16-2)
1* (1-1)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-1)
3* (3-5-1)
2* (11-11)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (1-0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (20-25-1)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
NFL Best Bets (10-11)
Red Sheet
89* (11-8-2)
88* (21-17-1)
Winning Points (finally won a 4* this week)
NCAA 4* (1-10-1)
NCAA 3* (7-4-1)
NFL 4* (4-7)
NFL 3* (6-5)
Killer Sports, not including teasers (we didn't get KS this week**)
MTI 5* (2-0)
MTI 4.5* (6-2)
MTI 4* (4-6)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (4-0)
SBB 4* (5-11)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (6-5)
2* (11-10-1)
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (12-18-6)
NFL 4* (4-7)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (24-21-1)
NFL Key Releases (17-16)
Last Year's Newsletter records
Willaim Hill....For THIS SEASON
NFL 90% or higher 4-3ATS
I decided to go for 80-89% NFL 13-8 or 12-8 ATS depending on the line for Chargers vs Broncos that started out Denver the fave and I believe ended as a pick em.
80% or higher 16-11 or 17-11ATS
Will do college.... will take a bit longer. Maybe results tomorrow
NFL 90% or higher 4-3ATS
I decided to go for 80-89% NFL 13-8 or 12-8 ATS depending on the line for Chargers vs Broncos that started out Denver the fave and I believe ended as a pick em.
80% or higher 16-11 or 17-11ATS
Will do college.... will take a bit longer. Maybe results tomorrow
Never, ever bet based upon a bookie's % of wagers, ever.
Sure there are hot streaks but there are cold ones, too. And different data bases have different data. Some books might have more on one team. And yes, favorites are almost always bet more % wise.
It is not square to take Philly, the most well rounded team in the NFL, against Dallas, with incredible key injuries and an overrated QB who was a product of his perfect surroundings last year (best OL that is now mediocre and Zeke who is OUT).
