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Let's go Brandon!
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Time to get with the program Victor!

Less is more! My one bet this week is a big bet on the Falcons/Panthers UNDER (the number is currently 43 1/2), the top rated pick this week in Victor King's Totals Tipsheet. I have been suggesting a betting strategy of large percentage (30% for me) of the bankroll bets on one game a week, and that is Victor's top newsletter pick. That pick lost last week with the Chargers/Patriots OVER. Victor is 5-3 on these 3 star picks so far this year which is only about 62% now after losing two weeks in a row.

From Mendoza Line Tracking:
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (5-3)
2* (7-7-1) (Den/KC Under 42.5 pending for Monday night)
 

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Does anyone have numbers on how Nelly Green is doing? I'd like to see how is top picks and overall have done. I could swear at one point it was posted he was doing good.....but it seems like some weeks the newsletter isn't posted so maybe we aren't keeping track.
 

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I'm 3-0 in my Sharp's Football Analysis releases in this thread. Last weeks pick won and almost went over by HALFTIME.........This week:

NFLIND Game Over49 pts.Computer Overs Leans1.011/05/2017 01:00pm EST

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Those star rated picks are a joke. Just think about it ... if a handicapper had 1 thru 5 stars why would they even bother to release the 1 star picks, ha ah a joke.
If the 5 star was 5 times better than the 1 star then why not just play more on the 5 star pick? They have no clue themselves, a total joke.

This.

I always find it funny when people post a 2 dime bet and a 5 dime bet, like if the 5 has more chances of hitting. It's so much smarter to bet with the same unit and stick to the plays you like best, instead of throwing money on 1 star bets which are leans after all.
 

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<header>[h=1]Zcode NFL Predictions: Week 9[/h]Posted on <time datetime="2017-10-31T20:51:08+00:00">October 31, 2017</time> by zcodeadmin
</header>[FONT=open_sansregular]Los Angeles Rams versus New York Giants
The Rams enter play with a record of 5-2, while the Giants are coming off a bye week at 1-6. The Giants won the last meeting between the teams last season as a road favorite. This time the Rams are a 3.5 point road favorite and have the advantage in nearly every aspect. They are +1.4 on the Team Strength Oscillator while the Giants are in the negative and “dead” status. Likewise the Rams hold a commanding +28 to +2 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. There is nothing to make me believe the Giants can stay with the Rams, so I pick the Rams to win and cover the spread.
Kansas City Chiefs versus Dallas Cowboys
Both teams are coming in playing well with the Chiefs at 6-2 and the Cowboys at 4-3. The Chiefs won the last meeting between the teams in 2013 as a home favorite. This time around, the Cowboys are a 2 point home favorite. That will undoubtedly change if Ezekiel Elliott is suspended. Both teams have “average” status on the Team Strength Oscillator, while the Chiefs hold a +23 to +16 edge according to the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams are in the top ten in Team Volatility. A tough, close call to begin with gets easy with a hunch that Elliott wont play. I go with the Chiefs in a close, tough battle.
Atlanta Falcons versus Carolina Panthers
In a tough NFC South battle, the 4-3 Falcons coming off a bye week take on the 5-3 Panthers. The Falcons took both games between the teams last season as road favorite and home underdog. The Panthers are a 2.5 point favorite, meaning the teams would be dead even on a neutral field. The oscillators show this as an even battle as well. The Falcons are at -1.61 on the Team Strength Oscillator versus -0.71 for the Panthers. Carolina holds a slim +21 to +18 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. Certainly would not be surprised to see the Falcons win, but I will go with Carolina because of the home field advantage.
Indianapolis Colts versus Houston Texans
Neither teams has found their way so far this season, with the Colts at 2-6 and the Texans at 3-4. Houston won both games between the teams last season, one as home favorite and the other as a road underdog. The Colts are “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator, while the Texans are “average” at +4.72. The Texans hold a clear +11 to +3 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Colts are tied for first in Team Volatility, meaning they are the most consistent to lose as an underdog and win as a favorite. The Texans are a 10.5 point favorite and I look for an easy win for Houston to improve to 4-4.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus New Orleans Saints
In a game with two teams in opposite directions, the 2-5 Buccaneers take on the red hot 5-2 Saints. Both teams won as home favorites last season. The Saints are a touchdown and extra point favorite and are tied for first in Team Volatility. With a “burning hot” status on the Team Strength Oscillator compare to “ice cold down” for Tampa Bay, there is little showing me the Buccaneers can stay in this game. Furthermore, the Saints have a commanding +27 to +4 edge in the Power Ranking Indicator. The Saints will win, and rather easily.
Arizona Cardinals versus San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers come in as the worst team in the NFL at 0-8, while the Cardinals are also struggling at 2-5. The Cardinals edged the 49ers in the first meeting this season on October 1. Only a 2.5 point favorite on the road, the Cardinals are +16 on the Power Ranking Indicator to 0 for the 49ers. Looking for a reason to believe San Francisco can win their first of the season, I can’t find one. The 49ers have a “dead” status on the Team Strength Oscillator for a reason and will be 0-9 after this game.
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(these are not the "Public Fade" plays)
 
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This.

I always find it funny when people post a 2 dime bet and a 5 dime bet, like if the 5 has more chances of hitting. It's so much smarter to bet with the same unit and stick to the plays you like best, instead of throwing money on 1 star bets which are leans after all.

I disagree. There is no question I like certain bets more than others and bet accordingly. I don't know about a 1 to 5 spread but certainly betting 50% more on a bet is not unusual.
 

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That's not the same as a 1 to 5 star rating system. Yes, an occasional 50% increase is fine, just as long as you don't go chasing the 50% extra losers.
The newsletters use stars as a ploy to hide their real W/L percentages. If you look at the newsletter results in this thread you will see horrible results with the rated system picks. Most of the time the lower rated picks out perform the higher rated picks because they keep chasing the higher rated losers. I prefer to stick to the same wager for all picks, and grind out a winning season. Another way of doing it is to wager a certain percentage of your bankroll on each pick every week, which could be quite profitable if you have a good year (good meaning 60% area). That's why I like handicappers that give out their best bets all rated the same. After all, a best bet is a best bet. Otherwise, why bother with the lesser picks....not a logical approach.
 

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More newsletter records: Nobody is above 50% in college per the current issue of Powers' Picks.

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Buzz, as a quick follow up you may have noticed before but Brad system likes to massage these numbers (usually so its to his advantage in the past but not working TY as he's been awful so far) and cherry pick which picks are included in his standings.. As a project I have tracked the majority of the newsletters all year and all their rated picks (not just their top 2 or 4 picks, ALL their rated picks as that shows the truth).. here are the only ones I have above 50% thru week 9.. Good luck this week everyone!

Weeks 1-9
Newsletter NameW L P % Net
CFB Advisor2817 362.22% 11
Pointwise3732 155.73% 5
Power Sweep2018 152.63% 2
Gold Sheet1716 151.52% 1

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The pros have been doing pretty horrible this year, amazing to see the best result in CFB [top picks] not outperforming a coinflip.
 

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Since the powers-to-be here continue to leave me on post review, I won't be posting anymore Sharp's Football Analysis plays.......but good luck everyone.
 

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The pros have been doing pretty horrible this year, amazing to see the best result in CFB [top picks] not outperforming a coinflip.
Actually CFB Advisors are. And I think Nelly Green might be too.......can't seem to get the record for them. Don't think we have every weeks sheet I believe Red sheet is winning too
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Mendoza Line cumulative year to date record, through October 30:

Updated to include results of Monday Night Football.
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
I put some of the extreme hot and cold plays in bold this week.

CKO
11* (2-5-1)
10* (16-15)
Totals (7-7)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (3-5-1)
4* (5-4)
3* (5-4)
Upset pick (1-7-1)
Betcha Didn't Know (5-7)
Awesome Angle (7-4)
Incredible Stat (4-4)

Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (4-4)
4* (2-6)
3* (2-6)

Pointwise NCAA
1* (10-6)
2* (7-1-1)
3* (3-6)
4* (4-14)
5* (13-5)

Pointwise NFL (4-1 this week)
3* (4-4)
4* (7-8-1)
5* (9-7)

PowerSweep NCAA
4* (3-5)
3* (8-9-1)
2* (13-5)
Underdog Play of the Week (4-5)
Tech Play of the Week (2-5)
Revenge Play of the Week (4-4)
Situational Play of the Week (2-6)
Series Play of the Week (4-3)

PowerSweep NFL (NFL plays tracked here are 5-0 this week)
4* (6-2)
3* (6-2)
2* (2-6)
NFL System play (5-2-1)
4* Pro Angle (3-1)

Powers Picks NCAA
3* (3-12-1)
2* (12-13-2)
1* (1-1)

Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-1)
3* (2-4)
2* (9-7)
1* (0-0)

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (1-0)
NCAA Best Bets (14-20)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-1)
NFL Best Bets (6-9)

Red Sheet
89* (10-6-1)
88* (18-12-1)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (0-9)
NCAA 3* (6-2-1)
NFL 4* (3-5)
NFL 3* (4-4)

Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (1-0)
MTI 4.5* (5-2)
MTI 4* (3-5)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (3-0)
SBB 4* (3-10)

Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet (0-3 overall this week)
3* (5-3)
2* (7-8-1)

PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (9-15-2)
NFL 4* (2-6)

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (18-15-1) (they had one play on a canceled game this week)
NFL Key Releases (13-11)

Last Year's Newsletter records
 

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