Newsletters

[Joe$$Moneyline]

One word
Respect
No one has any
Selfish human beings

 

[BuzzKill]

Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox College - Week 3

Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox College - Week 3.pdf

drive.google.com

 

[missy]

marc lawrence play book for this wk mahalo missy

 

[BuzzKill]

Recap

marc lawrence play book for this wk mahalo missy

Playbook Issue #4 September 14-18.pdf

drive.google.com

 

[BuzzKill]

https://soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast%2Fnfl-and-college-football-betting-podcast-handicapping-games-for-nfl-week-2-and-cfb-week-3

 

[sidthekid]

https://soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast%2Fnfl-and-college-football-betting-podcast-handicapping-games-for-nfl-week-2-and-cfb-week-3

Ty all much appreciated

 

[BuzzKill]

Recap

American Turf Club #1477.pdf

drive.google.com

Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox College - Week 3.pdf

drive.google.com

Playbook Issue #4 September 14-18.pdf

drive.google.com

Pointwise Week 3 September 18.pdf

drive.google.com

Power Sweep Issue #4 September 16.pdf

drive.google.com

Red Sheet - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.1254892/page-12#post-14271601

Sports Reporter #3.pdf

drive.google.com

Totals Tipsheet #2.pdf

drive.google.com

Winning Points #3.pdf

drive.google.com

Records - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.1254892/page-10#post-14270545

 

[SedcoJ]

Was thinking the same thing.

PM each other if you have an essay to wr

 

[drkevinhogan]

TNF, SNF and MNF Team Trends and Systems for the NFL (citation: vsin, public data)​

The following trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday NIGHT games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played ON SUNDAY NIGHT, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew which also included some Wednesday & Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.


THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

• Since the home teams last won three straight ATS on TNF in September 2020, road teams have been on a roll, 26-21 SU and 30-16-1 ATS (65.2%) in the last 47.

System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA ATS

• There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 16-15 SU but 8-22-1 ATS (26.7%). However, home-field advantage has picked up slightly in the second half of the season in recent years, with week 9-17 home teams going 14-17 SU and 15-18 ATS (75%) in that same time span. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in weeks 9 & later are 30-23 SU and 31-20-2 ATS (60.8%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.

System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA ATS

• NFL Home Favorites of 7 points or more are on a 26-2 SU and 19-7-2 ATS (73.1%) run on Thursday games since the start of the 2014 season.

System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA

• There has been a wild trend that has developed over the last 3+ seasons regarding TNF road teams coming off a home loss the prior Sunday, as they have rebounded incredibly with a 14-12 SU and 19-6-1 ATS (76%) record.

System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA ATS

Personal Thoughts: Cousins is much better at home and/or on turf than on the road and/or on grass. Hurts we don't have but a 1 year track record, where he throws more TD's and rushes for more by 2:1 in the first half of the game. Draft Kings reports 76% of Handle on Phil. and about 68% of the individual bets. Both high numbers. Yet the line has dropped from 7.5 to 6/6.5. FWIW: I just played Eagles - 3.5 for the HALF. It appears the people responsible for Handle and bets are very certain 7 is the right number or the line would have likely moved higher. (Philly is injured on defense, Vikings Center is out though, and that doesn't bode well for cousins having a great night.) I bet a smaller amount on MN under 21 for game and the under on the total of 49 for the game.)


Jake, A favor? Can you send me a link to where you saw my name on The Rx? I don't recall posting ...anything, ever; until this month. I'm more than curious. Thanks much.

 

[TrackGabe]

Always complaining about petty stuff.

 

[TrackGabe]

Appreciate the classy response, G-Man.

Not a huge deal...If Buzzkill is ok with it(which he seems to be), so be it.

Always complaining about petty things Jake. Nothing has changed with you.

 

[ugk]

Hey BUZZ

I picked up Power Plays and posted yesterday I dont see it in your recap. With all the other posts I know its easy to miss when trying to find a single post with all the different posts in the thread. I think its post #226. You may want to add it to your recap. thanks UGK

 

[TrackGabe]

Goldsheet

 

[BuzzKill]

Hey BUZZ

I picked up Power Plays and posted yesterday I dont see it in your recap. With all the other posts I know its easy to miss when trying to find a single post with all the different posts in the thread. I think its post #226. You may want to add it to your recap. thanks UGK

Oops ugk, I did miss it. I will do another recap and put it in there. Thanks ugk!

 

[BuzzKill]

Recap

American Turf Club #1477.pdf

drive.google.com

Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox College - Week 3.pdf

drive.google.com

Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox NFL - Week 2.pdf

drive.google.com

Playbook Issue #4 September 14-18.pdf

drive.google.com

Pointwise Week 3 September 18.pdf

drive.google.com

Power Plays Wk 3.pdf

drive.google.com

Power Sweep Issue #4 September 16.pdf

drive.google.com

Red Sheet - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.1254892/page-12#post-14271601

Sports Reporter #3.pdf

drive.google.com

Totals Tipsheet #2.pdf

drive.google.com

Winning Points #3.pdf

drive.google.com

Records - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.1254892/page-10#post-14270545

 

[BuzzKill]

Recap

American Turf Club #1477.pdf

drive.google.com

Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox College - Week 3.pdf

drive.google.com

Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox NFL - Week 2.pdf

drive.google.com

Playbook Issue #4 September 14-18.pdf

drive.google.com

Pointwise Week 3 September 18.pdf

drive.google.com

Power Plays Wk 3.pdf

drive.google.com

Power Sweep Issue #4 September 16.pdf

drive.google.com

Powers' Ratings CFB Week Three Issue.pdf

drive.google.com

Red Sheet - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.1254892/page-12#post-14271601

Sports Reporter #3.pdf

drive.google.com

Totals Tipsheet #2.pdf

drive.google.com

Winning Points #3.pdf

drive.google.com

Records - https://www.therx.com/threads/newsletters.1254892/page-10#post-14270545

 

[ugk]

Oops ugk, I did miss it. I will do another recap and put it in there. Thanks ugk!

BUZZ No worries! I wanted everyone to be able to find it if they wanted to read it and you do a great job with the recap its must appreciated.

 

[microphone]

Playbook Wise Guys Contest

wg23-2.pdf

drive.google.com

 

[ziggylasvegas]

TNF, SNF and MNF Team Trends and Systems for the NFL (citation: vsin, public data)​

The following trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday NIGHT games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played ON SUNDAY NIGHT, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew which also included some Wednesday & Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.


THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

• Since the home teams last won three straight ATS on TNF in September 2020, road teams have been on a roll, 26-21 SU and 30-16-1 ATS (65.2%) in the last 47.

System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA ATS

• There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 16-15 SU but 8-22-1 ATS (26.7%). However, home-field advantage has picked up slightly in the second half of the season in recent years, with week 9-17 home teams going 14-17 SU and 15-18 ATS (75%) in that same time span. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in weeks 9 & later are 30-23 SU and 31-20-2 ATS (60.8%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.

System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA ATS

• NFL Home Favorites of 7 points or more are on a 26-2 SU and 19-7-2 ATS (73.1%) run on Thursday games since the start of the 2014 season.

System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA

• There has been a wild trend that has developed over the last 3+ seasons regarding TNF road teams coming off a home loss the prior Sunday, as they have rebounded incredibly with a 14-12 SU and 19-6-1 ATS (76%) record.

System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA ATS

Personal Thoughts: Cousins is much better at home and/or on turf than on the road and/or on grass. Hurts we don't have but a 1 year track record, where he throws more TD's and rushes for more by 2:1 in the first half of the game. Draft Kings reports 76% of Handle on Phil. and about 68% of the individual bets. Both high numbers. Yet the line has dropped from 7.5 to 6/6.5. FWIW: I just played Eagles - 3.5 for the HALF. It appears the people responsible for Handle and bets are very certain 7 is the right number or the line would have likely moved higher. (Philly is injured on defense, Vikings Center is out though, and that doesn't bode well for cousins having a great night.) I bet a smaller amount on MN under 21 for game and the under on the total of 49 for the game.)


Jake, A favor? Can you send me a link to where you saw my name on The Rx? I don't recall posting ...anything, ever; until this month. I'm more than curious. Thanks much.

Sorry but the Thursday teams coming in off a home loss record is not correct.

KillerSports.com

killersports.com

day = Thursday and p:HL and season >= 2019

 

[southerncoach]

whoever posted the Playbook wiseguys page with both their picks listed (he only lists 1 of their plays in the playbook this year.). thx.

I followed this closely for about 4 years, I tracked all the handicappers and their records college & pro. some are better in college, some better in pro. Lawrence stopped it 3 years or so ago. I have lost my records & since this thread has no history anymore, I can't reconstruct it. anyway, I remember who the top ones were.

JH sportsline, Joew d'amico, Nelson, K. thomson, d'angelo, muzyka (great PRO), witt, vincelletti (good college, bad pro), Statfox Steve, Stormin Norman, TD Tony.

these guys collectively, won bigtime LW, 15-5 were the ones i could remember off top of my head.
they are still in his newsletter, but only have 1 play. that's still good. In my reseasrch, it didn't matter whether it was 1* or 2*, they both won at about the same rate.
Just thought this might help someone ...