POINTWISE RED SHEET
DECEMBER 5, 2009 VOLUME 41, NUMBER 14
LOUISIANA TECH 51 - San Jose State 7 - (2:00 EST) -- Line opened at LaTech minus 17, and is now
minus 18. As our readers are well aware, we've been on this Bulldog squad in the host role
for the past couple of seasons, & have been duly rewarded. This year, they have not only
covered all 3 HGs, but by an average spread margin of 15 ppg. Their 3-8 straightup record
is highly misleading, as they've covered their last 4 games, all vs teams which will play in
bowls, while scoring 34, 35, & 28 pts in 3 of those matches. Spartans in off their only Div 1A
win of the season, vs 3-9 NMexSt, by 3 pts in the final 0:34. Bulldog blowout!
RATING: LOUISIANA TECH 90
CONNECTICUT 34 - South Florida 17 - (8:00) -- Line opened at Connecticut minus 6½, and is now minus
7. The Huskies of UConn are another team whose record hardly reflects its true worth. Five
losses by a combined 15 pts, & those all coming vs bowl squads, with names such as
NoCaro, Pitt, WestVa, Rutgers, & Cincinnati. But the pressure is now off, as last week's win
over Syracuse places them in the bowl eligible column. The Bulls of SoFlorida opened at 5-
0, seemingly overcame the loss of their brilliant leader, QB Grothe, but that has gone by the
boards, losing their last 2 RGs by a combined 72-14 score. Host series.
RATING: CONNECTICUT 89
BOISE STATE 66 - New Mexico State 0 - (3:00) -- Line opened at BoiseSt minus 45, and is now minus
46½. Sure, it seems ridiculous in backing a team laying such an astronomical amount of
pts. However, the Broncos simply own the top scoring team in the nation, while the Ags
check in with the absolute worst scoring offense in the land. Boise has reached the 6th spot
in the nation, & another romping win could project them even higher. Led by QB Moore (38
TD passes), we would not be surprised if this spot is covered by intermission.
RATING: BOISE STATE 88
INDIANAPOLIS 27 - Tennessee 25 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Indianapolis minus 7½, and is now minus 7.
The Colts have been nothing short of spectacular, not only in opening at a perfect 11-0, but
in extending their regular season run to 20 straight. A win here ties them for the all time
such mark with the Patriots, who set the record beginning with the tail end of the '06 season,
thru the first 2 games of '08. But this won't be easy, as the Titans are among the hottest
teams in the NFL, having fully recovered from their disastrous 0-6 start. Young has recaptured
his former magic, & RB Johnson seems unstoppable. This a barnburner.
RATING: TENNESSEE 89
Denver 27 - KANSAS CITY 13 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Denver minus 4, and is now minus 4½. As we
wrote earlier, the demise of these Broncos may have been a bit premature. They seemed
to confirm the notion that their quick start was a fluke, as that run was followed by a 4 game
slide, in which they were stung for 169 pts. But last week's throttling of the Giants was just
what was needed for a revitalized stretch run. And what better opponent in which to keep it
going, than these Chiefs, who rank 30th in both total "O", & total "D"? The visitor has covered
all 3 KC division games this year, & by a combined 55½ pts ATS.
RATING: DENVER 88
GREEN BAY 26 - Baltimore 17 - (8:35 Monday - ESPN) -- Line opened at GreenBay minus 3, and is still
minus 3. The Packers couldn't have a much better setup than this one, as they not only
have the advantage of an extra 3 days in which to prepare, but catch the Ravens off a pair of
absolute draining efforts vs the Colts & Steelers, in games which were decided by 2 pts, &
in OT. The Packers not only move the ball behind Rodgers, who has yet to receive his
proper acclaim, but also own the NFL's 3rd ranked "D". Pack in bruising win.
RATING: GREEN BAY 88
NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): Arizona, Texas, Ga Tech, -- NFL: Pittsburgh, Minnesota, New England
LINE MOVES (from largest to smallest): WestVa (Pick to -2½); CentMich (-10 to -12); Florida (-4 to -6);
Boise (-45 to -46½); Cincy (+1½ to Pick); Fla-Atl (+1½ to Pick) - NFL: Houston (+3 to Pick); Cleve (+12½ to
+11½); SanFran (+1 to Pick); Dallas (+1 to Pick) -
TIME CHANGES: Oreg/OregSt: 9:00 - NFL: Viking/Card:
8:25; Pats/Dolphins: 1:00 -
KEY INJURIES: Alabama RB Ingram (hip) probable; Arizona QB Foles (hand)
prob, & RB Grigsby (shoulder) doubtful; Boise WR Pettis (ankle) out; Cal RB Best (concussion) doubtful;
UConn LB Lloyd (ACL) out for season; Fresno RB Mathews (concussion) prob; GaTech QB Nesbitt (ankle)
prob; OhioU QB Scott (ankle) ??, & WR Brazill (leg) ??; Rutgers WR Brown (ankle) prob; SanJoseSt QB
Reed (finger) ??; SoCal RB McKnight (thigh) prob - NFL: Arizona QB Warner (head) ??; Atlanta QB Ryan
(toe) doubtful, & RB Turner (ankle) ??; Carolina QB Delhomme (finger) ??, & RB Williams (ankle) prob;
Cincinnati RB Benson (hip) prob; Denver RB Moreno (hand) ??, & WR Royal (thigh) ??; Indy DE Freeney
(abdominal) ??; Giant QB Manning (foot) prob; Jet QB Sanchez (knee) prob; Philly WR Jackson (concussion)
doubt; Pitt QB Roethlisberger (head) ??; Washington DT Haynesworth (ankle) ??...
NOTE: This is the final Red Sheet of the season. As you know, it has been a study in consistent
success, & once again began that way. But the recent weeks have been an embarrassment. Sure,
there have been a batch of contests which went sour in the final seconds, but no post mortems. But
we always bounce back, & know that 2010 will be back to normal. We'll see you then. Thanks.
POINTWISE RED SHEET
RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY