Free Pick...
Handicapper: LT Profits
League: NBA
Event: Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers on 05-18-2004 at 17:05
Condition: Miami Heat
Explanation: We made the mistake of playing against the Heat as a home underdog in Game 4, thinking that the talent of the Pacers was enough to offset what has become one of the strongest home court advantages in the league. We will not make that same mistake here however! Miami has now won 18 consecutive games in this arena, and the fact that two of those came in this series vs. the team with the best record in the NBA only proves that the Heat will not back down to anyone here. Miami is now 35-12 S/U and 30-16, 65.2% ATS at home for the whole year, winning their home affairs by an average of 5.8 points. Yet they continue to get no love from the odds makers here, and this time we will jump on the points with this superior home team. Now take nothing away from the Pacers, as they are a remarkable 29-16 S/U and 28-17, 62.2% ATS on the road this year. However, as stellar as those numbers are, they still pale in comparison to the home numbers of Miami. Also, giving points on the road to a team that has won 18 in a row at home is not exactly our cup of tea. We look for the Heat to force a Game 7 with the outright upset in here.