Once again no picks for mens tourney games.
WNCAA has another interesting night of matchups...very interesting if you dig into them a little bit. We don't have anything else going on...so I'll even provide some small writeups and ideas for tonight. I really enjoy picking the WNCAA apart with the value that I'm seeing.
WNCAA
Duke -6 is extreme value...they should destroy Michigan St. even on their court. My only worry is Auburn crapped the bed last night as the better team playing on Rutgers home court.
I'm playing Duke anyway...the same as a solid mens pick. There is also a side story going on with the Duke coach returning to Michigan St. after leaving for a better offer two years ago. Some people might be scared away by the backstory here...again...I'm not. But I could be very wrong...I admit I don't have much experience here...but stat wise...Duke is ridiculous value if they come to play and aren't psyched by the soap opera story.
Georgia Tech +6.5 1st Half is value with their defensive style...they usually cause problems right away with traps and tenacious press against a team with a history of not handling it very well at all. Oklahoma's coach is preaching about just surviving the initial onslaught...there is a good chance GT gets a nice jump on them...or just keeps it close until half time adjustments are made. I would like to see the first half of this one...sounds like good stuff...or I could be wrong...I'm relying on press reports...I admit I have no real personal insight here...work with me here...I'm trying.
Georgia Tech is good value for the game at +5...but as I explained above...why not +6.5 for 1st half instead? Makes sense to me...but who knows for sure?
Baylor -2.5 1st Half catches SDSU in a good let down spot in my opinion...more of a gut or emotion factor play for me...not stat based at all.
Play the last two small...or not at all. I could very well be wrong about all this...play at your own risk...we are filling time between the mens games. But there does appear to be value here or I wouldn't do it.
This is entertainment...but I'm playing Duke at full value...this kind of value must be played...if I'm wrong so be it.
Good luck and be careful with this stuff...we could kick ass or it could all blow up because I'm missing something.
Go Duke!
WNCAA Record 1-1