NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIL at NY12:30 PMNY +2.0
U 243.0
+500 +500
BOS at LAC03:30 PMBOS -2.5
U 231.0
+500 +500
ORL at IND07:00 PMORL +1.5
O 242.5
+500 +500
DEN at CHA07:00 PMDEN -8.5
U 226.5
+500 +500
HOU at NO07:00 PMHOU +7.0
U 224.0
+500 +500
UTA at TOR07:30 PMTOR -5.5
U 232.5
+500 +500
DET at BK07:30 PMBK -9.5
O 233.0
+500 +500
MEM at ATL07:30 PMMEM +1.0
O 237.5
+500 +500
LAL at OKC08:00 PMOKC -3.5
U 239.0
+500 +500
CLE at CHI08:00 PMCLE +4.5
O 216.5
+500 +500
POR at GS08:30 PMGS -8.0
U 232.5
+500 +500
SA at DAL08:30 PMSA +7.0
O 239.0
+500 +500
MIN at SAC10:00 PMMIN +3.0
O 233.5
+500 +500
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MASS at PORTMASS -7.0
U 159.0
+500 +500
MSST at RUTG12:00 PMMSST -2.5
O 131.0
+500 +500
BUT at PROV12:00 PMPROV -5.5
O 139.5
+500 +500
TOL at WVU01:00 PMWVU -4.5
O 154.5
+500 +500
PENN at RID01:00 PMPENN -2.0
O 144.0
+500 +500
LIU at MSM01:00 PMU 144.0+500
DETU at NCST01:00 PMNCST -24.5
O 143.5
+500 +500
MISS at USM02:00 PMMISS -10.0
O 139.0
+500 +500
KENN at UNCA02:00 PMUNCA -4.0
U 162.0
+500 +500
UTA at UNT02:00 PMUTA +8.0
O 131.5
+500 +500
HALL at XAV02:00 PMXAV -3.5
U 147.0
+500 +500
ARIZ at FAU03:00 PMFAU +6.5
O 165.0
+500 +500
VILL at DEP04:00 PMVILL -12.5
U 135.0
+500 +500
EKY at ALA04:00 PMALA -24.5
U 167.5
+500 +500
VAN at MEM04:00 PMVAN +16.5
U 150.5
+500 +500
DUQ at SCU05:00 PMSCU +4.0
U 154.0
+500 +500
MOSU at SMC08:00 PMSMC -14.0
U 130.5
+500 +500
SJU at CONN08:00 PMSJU +11.0
O 147.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/24/20230-0-00.00%+0Detail
12/23/202323-11-167.14%+5450Detail
12/22/202340-40-250.00%-2000Detail
12/21/202355-74-342.80%-13200Detail
12/20/202325-46-135.42%-12800Detail
12/19/202343-37-053.75%+1150Detail
12/18/202313-18-142.19%-3400Detail
12/17/202325-24-350.96%-700Detail
12/16/202387-81-551.73%-1050Detail
12/15/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
12/14/20235-9-035.71%-2450Detail
12/13/202319-12-061.29%+2900Detail
12/12/202321-23-047.73%-2150Detail
12/11/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/10/202322-28-144.12%-4400Detail
12/09/202387-109-644.55%-16450Detail
12/08/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
12/07/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/06/202327-39-040.91%-7950Detail
12/05/202329-15-065.91%+6250Detail
12/04/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/03/202318-7-072.00%+5150Detail
12/02/202331-26-154.31%+1200Detail
12/01/202325-26-049.02%-1800Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/23/2023....................... 16 - 7..............................69.56%........................+ 41.50
12/22/2023.......................26 - 24.............................52.00%........................-2.00
12/21/2023.......................32 - 45.............................41.02%........................- 93.00
12/20/2023.......................14 - 27.............................34.14%........................- 78.50
12/19/2023.......................26 - 22.............................54.16%.........................+ 9.00
12/18/2023.........................7 - 15..............................31.81%.........................- 47.50
12/17/2023........................19 - 14 ...........................57.57%..........................+ 18.00
12/16/2023........................56 - 46............................54.90.............................+ 27.00
12/15/2023.........................10 - 5..............................66.66%.........................+ 22.50
12/14/2023..........................3 - 8................................27.27%.........................- 29.00
12/13/2023.......................14 - 8.................................63.63%.........................+ 26.00
12/12/2023.......................11 - 15..............................42.30%..........................- 27.50
12/11/2023......................... 9 - 5................................64.28%..........................+ 18.50
12/10/2023.........................14 - 20..............................41.17%..........................- 40.00
12/09/2023.........................49 - 60..............................44.95%..........................- 85.00
12/08/2023..............................6 - 8..............................42.85%...........................- 14.00
12/07/2023..............................6 - 3..............................66.66%..........................+ 13.50
12/06/2023............................23 - 27...........................46.00%...........................-20.00
12/05/2023............................16 -11............................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%...........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS...............................414 - 398.........................50.98%.............................. - 110.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Bucks 130, Knicks 111- This was Milwaukee’s first road game in December.
— Celtics 145, Clippers 108- Boston made 25 of 53 3-point shots.
— Nuggets 102, Bulls 95- Denver outscored Bulls 30-9 in third quarter.
— Magic 117, Pacers 110- Orlando’s five subs were a combined +56.
— Rockets 106, Pelicans 104- Sengun scored 37 points, had 11 rebounds.
— Grizzlies 125, Hawks 119- Memphis outscored Atlanta 75-59 in second half.

Thought of the Day
“You do not need to parachute to go skydiving………
……..you do need a parachute if you want to go skydiving twice.”

Thursday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at which two schools?

Saturday’s quiz
James Harden was the last American player to win MVP in the NBA, six years ago.

Friday’s quiz
When Matthew Stafford was a high school QB in Texas, Clayton Kershaw was the center on that team.

***************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

Steelers 34, Bengals 11
QB Rudolph threw an 86-yard TD pass on the Steelers’ 2nd play of game.
WR Pickens caught four passes for 195 yards, two TD’s.
Steelers in first half: 33 plays, 263 yards; they led 24-0 at the half.
since 2018, Steelers are 10-3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Bengals are 0-5 SU vs AFC North rivals, 8-2 vs everyone else.
Cincinnati turned ball over twice on its first four drives.
Bengals’ only TD was 80-yard pass to Higgins on first play of third quarter.
Six of Bengals’ last seven games went over the total.

Bills 24, Chargers 22
Buffalo kicked a 29-yard FG with 0:28 left for the win.
Bills were 5-10 on third down, Chargers 4-14.
Buffalo scored 28.2 ppg in five games since firing their OC.
Buffalo won/covered four of those five games.
Chargers lost despite being +3 in turnovers.
Bolts scored six times, but it was 5 field goals, only one TD.
Chargers have only six TD’s on their last 56 drives.
Chargers lost six of their last seven games.

— Florida Atlantic 96, Arizona 95 2OT
Arizona led 19-5 early on.
Owls shot 58.3% inside the arc.
FAU is 10-2 this season, vs schedule #28.
Arizona out-rebounded FAU, 52-39.

— Providence 75, Butler 65 OT
Friars led 15-0 out of the box, but……..
…….Friars forced OT on a 3-point shot with 0:02 left.
Seven players in this game played 39+ minutes.

— UConn 69, St John’s 65
Red Storm led 32-26 at halftime.
Teams combined to shoot 9-36 on the arc.
Newton scored 15 points, had 9 rebounds, 6 assists for UConn.

— Memphis 77, Vanderbilt 75
Vandy led by 8 points with 7:56 left in game.
Vandy’s team was 17-22 on the foul line.
Memphis star Jones was 12-18 on foul line, scored 28 points.
Vanderbilt is 1-8 vs teams ranked in top 200.

— Nets 126, Pistons 115
Detroit has lost 26 games in a row (7-19 ATS)
Pistons were +6 in the 35:00 with PG Ivey on the floor.

Word of the Day: Continuity- when something keep happening or existing, with no great changes or interruptions.
College basketball teams with better continuity have an advantage; they’re used to playing together.

— Duke 17, Troy 10
Duke has now won/covered its last five bowl games.
Blue Devils led this game 14-0 at halftime.
Troy ran ball 26 times for only 89 yards.
Both head coaches had already bolted to bigger $$$ jobs.

— Northern Illinois 21, Arkansas State 19

Ark State scored a TD with 1:14 left, but 2-point conversion failed.
NIU’s first four drives: 30 plays, 220 yards, 21 points.
NIU rest of game: 44 plays, 201 yards, no points.
Huskies snapped a 7-game losing streak in bowl games.

— Air Force 31, James Madison 21
Falcons ran ball 63 times for 351 yards.
Air Force led 21-7 at half; they threw 5 passes the whole game.
Eight of Air Force’s nine I-A wins were by 10+ points.
Falcons won their last five bowl games, scoring 33.6 ppg.

— Georgia State 45, Utah State 22
Georgia State in first half: 40 plays, 396 yards, 31 points.
QB Grainger was 19-22/257 passing, with three TD’s.
Panthers outgained Utah State, 643-347.
RB Brock carried ball 24 times for 276 yards and a TD.

— South Alabama 59, Eastern Michigan 10
Jaguars led 38-3 at halftime.
USA’s first six drives: 36 plays, 296 yards, 31 points.
Freshman QB Lopez threw for 192 yards, ran for 88 more.
This was South Alabama’s first win in four bowl games.

— Northwestern 14, Utah 7
Northwestern drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 6:19 left.
Wildcats finish season on a 4-game winning streak.
Utah is 6-12-1 ATS in last 19 non-league games.
Utah lost its last five bowls, after Whittingham started out 11-1 in bowls.
 

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PORTLAND is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

OLD DOMINION is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

TCU is 22-9 ATS (12.1 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

GEORGIA TECH is 50-28 ATS (19.2 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers since 1997.




NCAAB

Sunday, December 24


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Temple @ Portland
Temple
No trends to report
Portland
No trends to report

Old Dominion @ UMass
Old Dominion
No trends to report
UMass
No trends to report

TCU @ Hawaii
TCU
TCU is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
TCU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Hawaii
Hawaii is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Nevada @ Georgia Tech
Nevada
Nevada is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 24


IuIqCgP.png
 

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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 24

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TEM at PORT01:30 PMTEM -3.5
U 151.5
+500 +500
ODU at MASS03:30 PMMASS -6.5
O 154.5
+500 +500
TCU at HAW06:30 PMTCU -5.5
U 148.5
+500 +500
NEV at GT09:00 PMNEV -6.5
U 140.5
+500 +500
 

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znwRUCW.png


Merry Christmas! Have a great holiday!

No games scheduled today. Play resumes Wednesday.
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/24/20236-2-075.00%+1900Detail
12/23/202323-11-167.14%+5450Detail
12/22/202340-40-250.00%-2000Detail
12/21/202355-74-342.80%-13200Detail
12/20/202325-46-135.42%-12800Detail
12/19/202343-37-053.75%+1150Detail
12/18/202313-18-142.19%-3400Detail
12/17/202325-24-350.96%-700Detail
12/16/202387-81-551.73%-1050Detail
12/15/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
12/14/20235-9-035.71%-2450Detail
12/13/202319-12-061.29%+2900Detail
12/12/202321-23-047.73%-2150Detail
12/11/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/10/202322-28-144.12%-4400Detail
12/09/202387-109-644.55%-16450Detail
12/08/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
12/07/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/06/202327-39-040.91%-7950Detail
12/05/202329-15-065.91%+6250Detail
12/04/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/03/202318-7-072.00%+5150Detail
12/02/202331-26-154.31%+1200Detail
12/01/202325-26-049.02%-1800Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/24/2023..........................5 - 1..............................83.33%........................+ 19.50
12/23/2023....................... 16 - 7..............................69.56%........................+ 41.50
12/22/2023.......................26 - 24.............................52.00%........................-2.00
12/21/2023.......................32 - 45.............................41.02%........................- 93.00
12/20/2023.......................14 - 27.............................34.14%........................- 78.50
12/19/2023.......................26 - 22.............................54.16%.........................+ 9.00
12/18/2023.........................7 - 15..............................31.81%.........................- 47.50
12/17/2023........................19 - 14 ...........................57.57%..........................+ 18.00
12/16/2023........................56 - 46............................54.90.............................+ 27.00
12/15/2023.........................10 - 5..............................66.66%.........................+ 22.50
12/14/2023..........................3 - 8................................27.27%.........................- 29.00
12/13/2023.......................14 - 8.................................63.63%.........................+ 26.00
12/12/2023.......................11 - 15..............................42.30%..........................- 27.50
12/11/2023......................... 9 - 5................................64.28%..........................+ 18.50
12/10/2023.........................14 - 20..............................41.17%..........................- 40.00
12/09/2023.........................49 - 60..............................44.95%..........................- 85.00
12/08/2023..............................6 - 8..............................42.85%...........................- 14.00
12/07/2023..............................6 - 3..............................66.66%..........................+ 13.50
12/06/2023............................23 - 27...........................46.00%...........................-20.00
12/05/2023............................16 -11............................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%...........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS...............................419 - 399.........................51.22%.............................. - 91.00
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Receiving yardage leaders in the NFL:
1,641— Tyreek Hill, Miami
1,424— CeeDee Lamb, Dallas
1,327— Puka Nacua, Rams
1,314— AJ Brown, Phil
1,281— Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions
1,250— Amari Cooper, Clev

Quote of the Day
“Could we have done things better? I’m talking about myself and the coaching staff, with regards to, ‘All right, this is our worst-case scenario, now what?’ Absolutely, and it’s something that we will make sure that we do a heck of a lot better with in 2024.”
Jets coach Robert Saleh

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did Lamar Jackson play his college football?

Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.

Sunday’s quiz
Giants’ rookie QB Tommy DeVito played college football at Syracuse, Illinois.

*********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Wrapping up Week 16 in the NFL

Raiders 20, Chiefs 14
— Raiders scored two defensive TD’s 0:07 apart in second quarter.
— Not often an NFL team has 48 passing yards and wins, but the Raiders did.
— Last two games, Raiders have scored four defensive TD’s.
— Under is 11-4 in Raider games this season.
— Chiefs are 3-5 in their last eight games, after a 6-1 start.
— In those eight games, Chiefs are minus-9 in turnovers (5-14)
— Chiefs’ first three drives: 11 plays, minus-10 yards, three punts.
— Kansas City lost its last three home games SU.

Eagles 33, Giants 25
— Eagles led this game 20-3 at halftime.
— Giants scored defensive TD late in 3rd quarter to make score 20-18.
— Eagles’ last three drives: 24 plays, 172 yards, 13 points.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-8 ATS coming off a loss.
— Giants changed QB’s at half; Tyrod Taylor was 7-16/133 in 2nd half.
— Eagles outgained Big Blue, 465-292.
— Giants were held under 300 TY in seven of last eight games.
— Giants are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 NFC East road games.

Lions 30, Vikings 24
— Lions clinch their first division title since 1993.
— Detroit led 17-14 at halftime.
— Lions’ first two drives of 2nd half: 27 plays, 163 yards, two TD’s.
— Detroit is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.
— Vikings lost four of their last five games (the win was 3-0).
— Minnesota only ran the ball 11 times, for 17 yards.
— Mullens threw for 411 yards, but also threw four INT’s.
— Minnesota is 6-8 in one-score games this year (11-0 LY)

Seahawks 20, Titans 17
— Seattle drove 53 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:57 left.
— Seattle in first half: 27 plays, 93 yards, 3 punts, 3 points.
— Seattle in second half: 34 plays, 180 yards, no punts, 17 points.
— Second week in row Seahawks scored game-winning TD in last 1:00.
— Titans lost six of their last eight games.
— Tennessee averaged only 3.8 yards/pass attempt.
— Titans are 4-1 scoring 27+ points, 1-8 scoring 17 or less.
— Under is 9-4 in Tennessee’s last 13 games.

Packers 33, Panthers 30
— Packers drove 61 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:22 left.
— Packers first 4 drives: 32 plays, 243 yards, no punts, 23 points.
— Packers in second half: 27 plays, 126 yards, 3 punts, 10 points.
— Green Bay outscored last five foes 82-42 in first half.
— Green Bay led 30-16 with 8:00 left in game.
— Panthers had TD drives of 63-70 yards, tied game with 4:15 left.
— Rookie QB Young was 23-35/312 passing, with two TD’s.
— Carolina’s 8.1 yards/pass attempt was by far their best this season.

Jets 30, Commanders 28
— Zuerlein kicked 54-yard FG with 0:10 left for the win.
— Jets’ first three drives: 10 plays, 68 yards, 17 points.
— Jets’ first three drives all started in Washington territory.
— Jets are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games as a home favorite.
— Washington lost six in row, 11 of last 13 games (3-6 ATS last nine)
— QB Brissett was 10-13/100 passing off bench, with one TD pass.
— Washington is 3-1 giving up 17 or less points, 1-10 giving up more than 17.
— Last five games, Commanders allowed 35.8 ppg.

Falcons 29, Colts 10
— Colts drove 62 yards for a touchdown on their first drive.
— Rest of game, Colts ran 55 plays, gained 201 yards, scored 3 points.
— Colts are 0-6 giving up 29+ points, 8-0 allowing 28 or fewer points.
— Favorite covered the Colts’ last eight games.
— Atlanta scored two TD’s, kicked five FG’s on its drives.
— Falcons ran for 177 yards, outgained Colts 406-262.
— Atlanta scored 28-23-29 points in Heinicke’s three starts.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Atlanta games.

Browns 36, Texans 22
— Flacco threw for 368 yards and three more TD’s.
— WR Cooper caught 11 passes for 265 yards and two TD’s.
— Cleveland won/covered six of last eight games.
— Browns are 6-0 giving up less than 24 points, 3-5 allowing 24+.
— Houston’s first TD was a 98-yard kickoff return by Pierce.
— Texans in first half: 28 plays, 75 yards, 5 punts and an INT.
— Cleveland led the game 22-7 at halftime.
— Texans are 13-16-1 ATS in last 30 games as a home underdog.

Buccaneers 30, Jaguars 12
— Bucs’ first six drives: 56 plays, 289 yards, 30 points.
— Tampa was 10-19 on third down, Jaguars were 3-9.
— Bucs won their last four games, scoring 21-29-34-30 points.
— Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games.
— Jacksonville lost its last four games, giving up 34-31-23-30 points.
— Jaguars turned ball over four times, ran for only 37 yards.
— Last five weeks, Jaguars ran ball for only 64.4 yards/game.
— QB Lawrence was already banged up; he hurt his shoulder today.

Bears 27, Cardinals 16
— Bears’ first four drives: 29 plays, 236 yards, 21 points.
— Chicago won/covered four of last six games.
— QB Fields threw for 170 yards, ran for 97 more.
— Bears converted 8-15 third down plays.
— Arizona is 2-10 SU/4-8 ATS in its last dozen games
— Arizona’s first three drives: 15 plays, 36 yards, three punts.
— Last two games, Cardinals are 24-49 on third down.
— Cardinals are 0-10 SU when they score less than 25 points.

Dolphins 22, Cowboys 20
— Miami drove 64 yards, kicked 29-yard FG with 0:02 left.
— Miami scored only one TD; Sanders kicked five FGs, three of them 50+ yards.
— Dolphins won six of last eight games SU, clinched a playoff spot.
— Last five games, Miami converted 34-70 third down plays.
— On their first series, Dallas lost a fumble on the 1-yard line.
— Cowboys have scored 37.2 ppg in wins, 15.8 ppg in losses.
— Cowboys are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as a road dog (0-4 TY).
— Dallas lost five of its last seven road games SU.

Patriots 26, Broncos 23
— New England kicked a 56-yard FG with 0:02 left for the win.
— Patriots scored two TD’s in a 0:06 span of the third quarter.
— Teams combined to convert 7-26 third down plays.
— Zappe is now 4-2 as an NFL starting QB.
— Denver trailed 23-7 in 4th quarter, tied game on TD drives of 83-88 yards.
— Patriots won/covered four of last five visits to Denver.
— Broncos are 2-8-1 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite (1-5 TY).
— Last five weeks, Denver converted only 20-67 on third down.

Sunday’s college basketball:

Temple 55, Portland 54
Owls outscored Portland 15-6 over the final 6:31.
Temple was 10-18 on foul line, Pilots were 4-9.
Owls were +11 in turnovers (7-18)

UMass 87, Old Dominion 65
UMass shot 59.6% inside the arc.
Minutemen are grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#26)
Old Dominion lost five of its last six games.

TCU 65, Hawai’i 51
Rainbows shot 33.3% from floor, turned ball over 19 times.
TCU’s three subs all played 20+ minutes.
Horned Frogs improve their record to 10-2.

Nevada 72, Georgia Tech 64
Wolf Pack shoots 61% inside arc, wins the Diamond Head Classic.
Nevada starts four seniors, Georgia Tech doesn’t start any.
Wolf Pack is 12-1; they’ve got the #35 eFG% defense in country.
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:
New York Mets got a $101M tax bill for 2023, which is more $$ than these team’s entire payrolls:
$96,577,288- Cincinnati
$96,083,853- Kansas City
$93,378,663- Washington
$91,861,627- Cleveland
$79,354,272- Tampa Bay
$75,695,975- Pittsburgh
$71,061,047- Baltimore
$62,243,227- Oakland

Quote of the Day
“Every time you win, you’re reborn……..every time you lose, you die a little.”
George Allen

Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, who is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games?
(Hint: it isn’t Joe Flacco)

Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.

Monday’s quiz
The first time the Denver Broncos played in a Super Bowl, Craig Morton was their QB.

**********************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— When the Raiders won in Kansas City Monday, they didn’t complete a pass after the first quarter, the first NFL team to do that since the 2000 Bengals, who beat Denver 31-21 that day, when Cincy QB’s Akili Smith and Scott Mitchell were a combined 2-14/34 passing. That day, RB Corey Dillon ran the ball for 278 yards.

Monday, the Raiders scored two defensive TD’s in a 0:07 span of the third quarter, and that was enough to win.
— Baltimore Ravens are 12-3 this season, with seven wins by 14+ points; all seven of those teams came against teams with winning records.
No team in NFL history has had more than five regular season wins by 14+ points against teams with winning records.

— Chicago Bears signed kicker Cairo Santos for four years, $16M, which is little unusual. Lot of teams don’t like to pay kickers, especially teams with salary cap issues.

— Miami Dolphins haven’t won a playoff game since 2000.
Detroit Lions haven’t won one since 1991.
Since starting up again in 1999 after the original Cleveland Browns moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens, Cleveland is 1-2 in playoff games, with the lone win in 2020.

— Florida State QB Jordan Travis is hurt, won’t be playing in the Semnoles’ bowl game vs Georgia; backup QB Tate Rodemaker is now in the transfer portal, which leaves #3 QB Brock Glenn, a freshman who threw for 55 yards in the Seminoles’ 16-6 win over Louisville in the ACC Championship game.
Five other Seminoles have also hit the transfer portal, not counting Travis, who is also expected to skip town next spring.

— In the last eight Holiday Bowls, Pac-12 teams are 0-8 against the spread.

— In the last six Pinstripe Bowls, Big 14 teams are 6-0 against ACC opponents.

— Arizona Wildcats have won six games in a row, they’re 9-3 and are favored over Oklahoma in their bowl game. Quite a turnaround led by coach Jedd Fisch; from 2018-22, the Wildcats were 14-38.

— Word of the Day: Bibliophile- someone who loves reading books.

— I’m amused that if I leave my house without my phone, my car will tell me about a half-mile down the road, then I turn around and go get my phone.
It would be better if a message came up on my dashboard: “Hey stupid, you forgot your phone!!!”

— Seattle Mariners signed DH/C Mitch Garver for two years, $24M; Garver hit 19 homers and had an .870 OPS for Texas last year- he also won a World Series ring.

— Reliever Joe Kelly wore #17 for the Dodgers last year; his wife suggested that he offer #17 to free agent star Shohei Ohtani. After Ohtani signed with the Dodgers, a Porsche was delivered to the Kelly’s home, for Mrs Kelly, from Ohtani.

— Charlotte Hornets are the only NBA team that has never played on Christmas Day.

— Nets 118, Pistons 112
Detroit loses its 27th consecutive game.
Pistons starters were combined +34; subs were minus-64
Detroit coach Monty Williams makes $13.1M/year, 7th-most of any pro coach in country.

— Minnesota 30, Bowling Green 24
Gophers win their 7th straight bowl game.
Bowling Green led 10-9 at halftime.
RB Taylor ran ball 35 times for 209 yards and a TD.
Gophers ran for 255 yards, threw for only 26.

— Texas State 45, Rice 21
This was Texas State’s first-ever bowl game.
Bobcats outscored Rice 21-0 in second half.
Texas State outgained Rice, 300-197.
Bobcats had good balance; 148 rushing yards, 152 passing.

— Kansas 49, UNLV 36
Kansas in first half: 31 plays, 333 yards, 28 points.
Jayhawks averaged 15.4 yards/pass attempt.
Bean was 19-28/449 passing, with 6 TD’s, 3 INTs.
This was UNLV’s first bowl since 2013.
 

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MORGAN ST is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after one or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO ST is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 27


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NCAAB

Wednesday, December 27


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Trend Report
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Morgan State @ Virginia
Morgan State
No trends to report
Virginia
Virginia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 7 games at home

Chicago State @ Cal Baptist
Chicago State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago State's last 6 games when playing Cal Baptist
Chicago State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cal Baptist
No trends to report


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 27


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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 27

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MORG at UVA07:00 PMUVA -26.0
U 132.0
+500 +500
CHS at CALBA10:00 PMCHS +11.0
O 134.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/27/20233-1-075.00%+950Detail
12/24/20236-2-075.00%+1900Detail
12/23/202323-11-167.14%+5450Detail
12/22/202340-40-250.00%-2000Detail
12/21/202355-74-342.80%-13200Detail
12/20/202325-46-135.42%-12800Detail
12/19/202343-37-053.75%+1150Detail
12/18/202313-18-142.19%-3400Detail
12/17/202325-24-350.96%-700Detail
12/16/202387-81-551.73%-1050Detail
12/15/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
12/14/20235-9-035.71%-2450Detail
12/13/202319-12-061.29%+2900Detail
12/12/202321-23-047.73%-2150Detail
12/11/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/10/202322-28-144.12%-4400Detail
12/09/202387-109-644.55%-16450Detail
12/08/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
12/07/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/06/202327-39-040.91%-7950Detail
12/05/202329-15-065.91%+6250Detail
12/04/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/03/202318-7-072.00%+5150Detail
12/02/202331-26-154.31%+1200Detail
12/01/202325-26-049.02%-1800Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/27/2023.........................3 - 1..............................75.00%.........................+ 9.50
12/24/2023..........................5 - 1..............................83.33%........................+ 19.50
12/23/2023....................... 16 - 7..............................69.56%........................+ 41.50
12/22/2023.......................26 - 24.............................52.00%........................-2.00
12/21/2023.......................32 - 45.............................41.02%........................- 93.00
12/20/2023.......................14 - 27.............................34.14%........................- 78.50
12/19/2023.......................26 - 22.............................54.16%.........................+ 9.00
12/18/2023.........................7 - 15..............................31.81%.........................- 47.50
12/17/2023........................19 - 14 ...........................57.57%..........................+ 18.00
12/16/2023........................56 - 46............................54.90.............................+ 27.00
12/15/2023.........................10 - 5..............................66.66%.........................+ 22.50
12/14/2023..........................3 - 8................................27.27%.........................- 29.00
12/13/2023.......................14 - 8.................................63.63%.........................+ 26.00
12/12/2023.......................11 - 15..............................42.30%..........................- 27.50
12/11/2023......................... 9 - 5................................64.28%..........................+ 18.50
12/10/2023.........................14 - 20..............................41.17%..........................- 40.00
12/09/2023.........................49 - 60..............................44.95%..........................- 85.00
12/08/2023..............................6 - 8..............................42.85%...........................- 14.00
12/07/2023..............................6 - 3..............................66.66%..........................+ 13.50
12/06/2023............................23 - 27...........................46.00%...........................-20.00
12/05/2023............................16 -11............................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%...........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS...............................422 - 400.........................51.33%.............................. - 91.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in passing yards:
4,214— Tua Tagovailoa, Miami
4,050— Brock Purdy, SF
3,984— Jared Goff, Det
3,938— Patrick Mahomes, KC
3,892— Dak Prescott, Dal
3,778— Josh Allen, Buff

Quote of the Day
“Nothing’s really changed except my bank account. I feel really good. I think it’s a great partnership. It’s what the team needed on the court and off. I’ll still be overseeing the basketball side of it……..”
Mark Cuban, who sold the Dallas Mavericks this week

Thursday’s quiz
Who coached the Jets when they won their only Super Bowl?

Wednesday’s quiz
Other than Tom Brady, Warren Moon is the oldest QB with three consecutive 300+ yard passing games.

Tuesday’s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.

**********************************

Thursday’s Den: Football trends, and other stuff……..

— NFL divisional trends………

NFC East
Divisional home favorites 4-2 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 7-9 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 5-4 ATS

NFC North
Divisional home teams 1-8 ATS (0-4 F, 1-3 U)
Non-divisional home favorites 7-4 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 5-2 ATS

NFC South
Underdogs 6-3 ATS in divisional games.
Non-divisional home favorites 3-6 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 3-6 ATS

NFC West
Divisional home underdogs 0-3-1 ATS
Non-divisional home underdogs 5-2 ATS
Non-divisional road teams 12-8-1 ATS

AFC East
Divisional favorites 7-2 ATS, 4-0 at home
Non-divisional home favorites 6-8 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 7-13-1 ATS

AFC North
Divisional favorites 3-7 ATS, 1-4 on road
Non-divisional home favorites 13-6 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 5-3-1 ATS

AFC South
Divisional road teams 6-3 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road underdogs 6-7 ATS

AFC West
Divisional home favorites 4-3 ATS
Non-divisional home favorites 6-8 ATS
Non-divisional road teams 8-12 ATS

— starting QB decisions for this week:
Washington will start Jacoby Brissett (18-30 as a starter) vs San Francisco
Giants will start Tyrod Taylor (27-28-1 as a starter) against the Rams
Broncos will start Jarrett Stidham (0-2 as a starter) against the Chargers.

— So Denver is benching Russell Wilson for the last two games; are they trying to get out of his contract?
Wilson is 35; he is currently signed through 2028, but he’s only guaranteed money through 2024. His entire 2025 salary ($37M) is guaranteed if he is still on the Broncos’ roster at the start of the next league year (March 17, 2024).
Put it this way; Denver’s options (trades) remain open, as long as Wilson stays healthy, which is probably why they’re sitting him out the last two games, since their playoff chances for this year are almost nil.

— Movie of the Day- One More Time (2015)- An aging New York City crooner plots his comeback. Christopher Walken plays the singer, Amber Heard is one of his daughters, Oliver Platt is his manager.

— current head coaches/managers who played in the big leagues:
19 of 30 major league managers played in the majors.
8 of 32 NFL head coaches played in the NFL
12 of 30 NBA head coaches played in the NBA.

— USC 42, Louisville 28
3rd-string QB Moss threw for 372 yards, 6 TD’s in his first college start.
First two drives, Trojans punted/missed FG.
On their next seven drives, they scored six touchdowns.
For the game, USC averaged 8.6 yards per play.

— Virginia Tech 41, Tulane 20
Hokies led 17-10 at halftime.
Tulane’s only first half touchdown was scored by their defense.
Tech was 7-14 on third down, Tulane 2-10 on a rainy day.
Hokies ran ball 50 times for 362 yards, 7.2 yards/carry.

— West Virginia 30, North Carolina 10
West Virginia threw a 75-yard TD pass on first play of the game.
West Virginia ran for 164 yards, were +2 in turnovers.
WVU outscored the Tar Heels 13-0 in second half.
Mountaineers won five of last six games, after a 4-3 start.

— Oklahoma State 31, Texas A&M 23
Cowboys led 24-6 at halftime, gaining 345 yards.
QB Bowman threw for 402 yards, two TD’s.
Oklahoma State was 5-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
Texas A&M finishes season 7-6.

— When Kansas beat UNLV 49-36 Tuesday night, they did something I’m not sure I’ve seen before; Jayhawks scored 49 points alright, averaging 16 yards/pass attempt, but they also had 18 penalties for 216 yards.
216 penalty yards in one game; not sure I’ve seen that before.

— Tennessee QB Joe Milton isn’t playing in the Vols’ bowl game: freshman Nico Iamaleava will get his first college start, against the staunch Iowa defense.

— NBA’s Atlanta Hawks are 7-30 against the spread this year, the worst ATS start by any NBA team in the last thirty years.

— Denver Nuggets F Aaron Gordon needed 21 stitches after his face and right (shooting) hand were cut while being bitten by a family dog on Christmas. Gordon is averaging 13.6 points and 6.9 rebounds this season.

— Hitting in the major leagues is harder than it used to be, in large part because hitters don’t see pitchers as many times as they used to.
Victor Martinez played 16 years in the major leagues, hit .295 with an .815 OPS; the most times he faced one pitcher? He faced James Shields 62 times in his career. There are three pitchers that he faced 50+ times, not a lot.
Joe Torre played 18 years in the major leagues, hit .297 with an .817 OPS; he faced 15 different pitchers a minimum of 75 times each. You see the same pitcher over and over, hitting is easier.

— How college football conferences are doing in the bowls:

AAC- 2-2 in bowls; all four games were decided by 18+ points.

ACC- 3-3 SU in bowls; underdogs covered four of the six games.

Big 14- 2-0 SU/ATS in first two bowls, winning 14-7/30-24.

Big X- 4-1 SU/ATS in first five bowls, scoring 32.2 ppg.

C-USA- 2-1 SU/ATS in first three bowls, with both wins in OT.

MAC- 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS in first five bowls- they were underdog in all five.

Mountain West- 2-4 SU/ATS in first six bowls (over 4-2).

Pac-12- 2-2 SU/ATS in first four bowls (over 2-2).

SEC- Texas A&M’s 31-23 (-2.5) loss is only SEC bowl so far.

Sun Belt- They had 12 bowls, the most of any league:
Sun Belt teams went 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS in first eight bowls.
Sun Belt teams won/covered their last four bowls.
 

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NCAAB

Thursday, December 28


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Trend Report
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