NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

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Dunkel

Monday, December 18


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Monday, December 18


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MONDAY, DECEMBER 18

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
QUIN at HC07:00 PMQUIN -5.0
U 145.5
+500 +500
UMES at MRST07:00 PMUMES +9.0
O 132.5
+500 +500
BRAD at DUQ07:00 PMDUQ -4.0
O 143.5
+500 +500
MORG at CAMP07:00 PMCAMP -8.5
U 138.5
+500 +500
OAK at MSU07:00 PMMSU -15.5
U 138.0
+500 +500
ME at UCF07:00 PMME +15.5
O 136.5
+500 +500
DSU at WAKE07:00 PMWAKE -20.0
U 141.0
+500 +500
MURR at UALR07:30 PMUALR +1.0
O 151.5
+500 +500
UTM at EVAN08:00 PMEVAN -7.0
O 160.0
+500 +500
JVST at TST08:00 PMTST -5.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
USM at LAM08:00 PMLAM +3.5
O 149.0
+500 +500
UTRGV at CHS08:00 PMCHS -3.5
U 144.5
+500 +500
UCSD at CSUS09:00 PMUCSD +1.5
O 138.5
+500 +500
DETU at LMU10:00 PMLMU -17.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
EWU at CP10:00 PMCP +6.5
O 143.5
+500 +500
PRST at FRES10:00 PMFRES -3.5
U 142.0
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/18/202313-18-142.19%-3400Detail
12/17/202325-24-350.96%-700Detail
12/16/202387-81-551.73%-1050Detail
12/15/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
12/14/20235-9-035.71%-2450Detail
12/13/202319-12-061.29%+2900Detail
12/12/202321-23-047.73%-2150Detail
12/11/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/10/202322-28-144.12%-4400Detail
12/09/202387-109-644.55%-16450Detail
12/08/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
12/07/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/06/202327-39-040.91%-7950Detail
12/05/202329-15-065.91%+6250Detail
12/04/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/03/202318-7-072.00%+5150Detail
12/02/202331-26-154.31%+1200Detail
12/01/202325-26-049.02%-1800Detail
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/18/2023.........................7 - 15..............................31.81%.........................- 47.50
12/17/2023........................19 - 14 ...........................57.57%..........................+ 18.00
12/16/2023........................56 - 46............................54.90.............................+ 27.00
12/15/2023.........................10 - 5..............................66.66%.........................+ 22.50
12/14/2023..........................3 - 8................................27.27%.........................- 29.00
12/13/2023.......................14 - 8.................................63.63%.........................+ 26.00
12/12/2023.......................11 - 15..............................42.30%..........................- 27.50
12/11/2023......................... 9 - 5................................64.28%..........................+ 18.50
12/10/2023.........................14 - 20..............................41.17%..........................- 40.00
12/09/2023.........................49 - 60..............................44.95%..........................- 85.00
12/08/2023..............................6 - 8..............................42.85%...........................- 14.00
12/07/2023..............................6 - 3..............................66.66%..........................+ 13.50
12/06/2023............................23 - 27...........................46.00%...........................-20.00
12/05/2023............................16 -11............................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%...........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS...............................300 - 273.........................52.35%.............................. + 12.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Interesting NFL spreads for Week 16:
— Saints @ LA Rams (-4)
— Bengals (-2.5) @ Pittsburgh
— Colts (-2) @ Atlanta
— Browns @ Houston (-2.5)
— Seahawks (-2.5) @ Tennessee
— Cowboys @ Miami (-1.5)

Quote of the Day
“I knew I could do it; I knew it was in me. But it’s all credit to these guys around me. I love these guys. I love this team and I would do anything for this team.”
Western Kentucky QB Caden Veltkamp, the star of Monday’s bowl game

Tuesday’s quiz
Which college football bowl game is played in El Paso, TX every year?

Monday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb is the all-time leading in passing yardage for the Philadelphia Eagles (32,873 yards)

Sunday’s quiz
Wayne Fontes (67-71) has the most wins as a head coach for the Detroit Lions; he was Detroit’s coach the last time they won a playoff game, in 1991.

******************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but………

Seahawks 20, Eagles 17

— Eagles lost their last three games, after a 10-1 start.
— Eagles led at halftime, for first time since Week 7.
— Philly ran ball for 178 yards, converted 9-16 on third down.
— Last ten games, Philly is minus-10 in turnovers.

— Backup QB Lock threw 29-yard TD pass with 0:28 left for the win.
— Seahawks are 6-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 1-7 if they don’t.
— Seahawks are 7-1 scoring 20+ points, 0-6 scoring less than 20.
— Seattle is 18-13 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss.

In this game………
Seattle got ball down 4+ points with less than 2:00 to play.
They drove 90+ yards for the game-winning touchdown.
The winning touchdown play was longer than 25 yards.

Last NFL team to do that? Green Bay in September, 1992, when Brett Favre came off the bench to lead the comeback. It was the last time he came off the bench in an NFL game.

Western Kentucky 38, Old Dominion 35, OT
Old Dominion led this game 28-0 with 13:38 left in 2nd quarter.
WKU’s #3 QB Veltkamp came off bench, was 40-52/383 passing, with 5 TD’s.
Old Dominion had a short field goal blocked in overtime.

Veltkamp had entered the transfer portal earlier this year, when WKU coaches told him they were moving him to tight end next season. Now? Not so much……

— Betting on college bowl games has become a complete crapshoot; Old Dominion was favored by 4.5 points. WKU’s QB opted out of the game because he is selfish, the #2 QB gets benched when they fall behind early, and the #3 QB leads an improbable comeback win, from a 28-0 deficit. Go figure.

— Quarterback shenanigans:
College
Ohio State QB Kyle McCord has bolted to Syracuse, an odd move.

Tulane QB Michael Pratt won’t play in the Green Wave’s bowl game, but he isn’t transferring, he is turning pro.

USC backup QB Malachi Nelson is going into the transfer portal, which leaves the Trojans with one scholarship QB for their bowl game. Sophomore Miller Moss is expected to start for USC in their game against Louisville. Moss is 23-32/309 passing this year, with one TD pass.

Meanwhile, Kansas State QB Will Howard is bolting to USC for next season.

Mississippi State QB Will Rogers in bolting to Washington.

UCLA freshman QB Dante Moore is bolting to Oregon; they already added QB Dillon Gabriel from Oklahoma.

NFL
Steelers are starting QB Mason Rudolph in this week’s game vs Cincinnati. Rudolph is 5-4-1 as an NFL starter, with most of those games happening in 2019.

Chargers added QB Will Grier off New England’s practice squad
Patriots added QB Nathan Rourke off Jacksonville’s practice squad.

56 quarterbacks have started an NFL game this season. Rudolph will be the 57th.

— Bengals’ QB Jake Browning is the first NFL QB ever who won two overtime games in his first four NFL starts.

— Raiders scored 63 points in their game last week; the last ten NFL teams to score 55+ points in a game went 1-9 ATS in their next game. Raiders play the Chiefs on Christmas.

— Lions’ TE Sam LaPorta is the first rookie tight end since John Mackey in 1963 with 700+ receiving yards, and 7+ touchdowns.

— In college football, the last 47 times a Big 14 team played a MAC team, the Big 14 team was favored in every game, and in 43 of the 47 games, the spread was double digits.

— Word of the Day: Parity- When several things are roughly of the same value.

NFL has a lot of parity right now, lot of teams are roughly the same, with very little difference between them.

— Get well soon to basketball icon Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, who broke his hip last week when he slipped and fell at a concert. Kareem is 76 years old, we wish him well.

By the way, Michael Jordan/Lebron James have been great, great players, but Kareem is the best basketball player ever, of that I am not uncertain.

Put it this way; from 1967-76, dunking wasn’t legal in college basketball, that is how dominant a player Kareem was at UCLA. It is also why he developed his fantastic sky hook.

Yes, they made the dunk illegal because one player was completely dominant.

I could go on about this for a lot longer, but I’ve made my point.

— Speaking of UCLA, their basketball team this year has seven foreign players on its roster, with players from seven different countries.

— In baseball happenings:
Kansas City Royals have quietly added six players this month:
Royals signed starting P’s Seth Lugo, Michael Wacha
Royals signed relievers Will Smith, Will Stratton.
Royals added OF Hunter Renfroe, IF Garrett Hampson.

Arizona Diamondbacks kept OF Lourdes Gurriel; he got a 3-year, $42M deal.

Texas P Max Scherzer had a herniated disc in his back fixed, will miss the first half of next season.

Charleston 84, Coastal Carolina 81- Freshman big man Scott scored 16 points in 19:00 off the bench, going 8-8 from the floor.

Portland State 75, Fresno State 72 OT- Underdog Vikings led 41-28 at halftime, trailed by 7 in the overtime. Kid on Portland State ht a 3-pointer at the buzzer for the win.

Duquesne 69, Bradley 67- Visiting Braves led by 10 early in second half, but they were minus-10 in turnovers (19-9).
 

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Tuesday, December 19


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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 19

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SAM at VALP02:00 PMSAM -8.5
O 157.5
+500 +500
FGCU at GASO06:00 PMGASO +3.0
U 141.0
+500 +500
CIT at ND06:00 PMND -9.5
U 129.5
+500 +500
NIAG at BING06:07 PMBING -5.5
O 143.5
+500 +500
MORE at IND06:30 PMIND -12.5
U 140.0
+500 +500
GTWN at BUT06:30 PMGTWN +10.5
O 149.0
+500 +500
SH at ALBY07:00 PMALBY -3.5
U 153.5
+500 +500
NE at CCSU07:00 PMNE -4.5
O 139.5
+500 +500
COR at SIE07:00 PMSIE +13.0
O 150.5
+500 +500
M-OH at WRST07:00 PMM-OH +12.0
O 156.5
+500 +500
COPP at JMU07:00 PMJMU -28.0
U 149.5
+500 +500
USC at ALST07:00 PMUSC -17.5
U 150.0
+500 +500
MW at CIN07:00 PMMW +19.5
O 141.0
+500 +500
TNST at INST07:00 PMTNST +17.5
O 157.0
+500 +500
UNCG at HP07:00 PMHP -1.5
U 148.0
+500 +500
STET at FIU07:00 PMFIU -5.0
O 147.5
+500 +500
WIN at SCAR07:00 PMSCAR -10.5
O 140.0
+500 +500
TROY at MISS07:00 PMMISS -13.0
U 146.5
+500 +500
QNC at MER07:00 PMQNC +2.5
O 152.5
+500 +500
WEBB at CHAT07:00 PMCHAT -5.5
O 146.5
+500 +500
WCU at VAN07:00 PMVAN -4.0
U 139.5
+500 +500
FLA at MICH07:00 PMMICH +3.0
U 157.5
+500 +500
PRE at FUR07:00 PMFUR -14.5
O 156.0
+500 +500
UVA at MEM07:00 PMUVA +3.5
U 131.5
+500 +500
NMSU at SFA07:30 PMSFA -11.5
O 145.5
+500 +500
MVSU at TLSA08:00 PMTLSA -25.0
U 132.5
+500 +500
CHSO at L-IL08:00 PML-IL -18.0
U 137.5
+500 +500
UNF at FSU08:00 PMUNF +16.5
O 151.5
+500 +500
NDSU at SIU08:00 PMNDSU +8.5
O 136.5
+500 +500
ALCN at DRKE08:00 PMALCN +21.0
O 152.0
+500 +500
HCU at SMU08:00 PMSMU -27.0
U 152.0
+500 +500
LNDNWD at MOSU08:00 PMLNDNWD +17.5
O 142.5
+500 +500
MARQ at PROV08:30 PMMARQ -4.5
U 146.5
+500 +500
NICH at MD08:30 PMNICH +19.0
O 142.0
+500 +500
SUU at MTST09:00 PMSUU +4.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
MONT at UCD09:00 PMUCD -1.5
U 146.0
+500 +500
MTU at SMC10:00 PMMTU +15.0
O 122.0
+500 +500
WKU at CALBA10:00 PMWKU +5.5
O 147.5
+500 +500
CSN at UCLA10:00 PMCSN +17.5
O 138.5
+500 +500
SDAK at CSB10:00 PMSDAK +5.0
O 142.0
+500 +500
 

Active member
Joined
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Messages
106,090
Tokens

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/19/202343-37-053.75%+1150Detail
12/18/202313-18-142.19%-3400Detail
12/17/202325-24-350.96%-700Detail
12/16/202387-81-551.73%-1050Detail
12/15/202311-6-163.89%+2200Detail
12/14/20235-9-035.71%-2450Detail
12/13/202319-12-061.29%+2900Detail
12/12/202321-23-047.73%-2150Detail
12/11/202311-7-061.11%+1650Detail
12/10/202322-28-144.12%-4400Detail
12/09/202387-109-644.55%-16450Detail
12/08/20236-10-037.50%-2500Detail
12/07/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/06/202327-39-040.91%-7950Detail
12/05/202329-15-065.91%+6250Detail
12/04/20237-3-070.00%+1850Detail
12/03/202318-7-072.00%+5150Detail
12/02/202331-26-154.31%+1200Detail
12/01/202325-26-049.02%-1800Detail
 

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Messages
106,090
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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/19/2023.......................26 - 22.............................54.16%.........................+ 9.00
12/18/2023.........................7 - 15..............................31.81%.........................- 47.50
12/17/2023........................19 - 14 ...........................57.57%..........................+ 18.00
12/16/2023........................56 - 46............................54.90.............................+ 27.00
12/15/2023.........................10 - 5..............................66.66%.........................+ 22.50
12/14/2023..........................3 - 8................................27.27%.........................- 29.00
12/13/2023.......................14 - 8.................................63.63%.........................+ 26.00
12/12/2023.......................11 - 15..............................42.30%..........................- 27.50
12/11/2023......................... 9 - 5................................64.28%..........................+ 18.50
12/10/2023.........................14 - 20..............................41.17%..........................- 40.00
12/09/2023.........................49 - 60..............................44.95%..........................- 85.00
12/08/2023..............................6 - 8..............................42.85%...........................- 14.00
12/07/2023..............................6 - 3..............................66.66%..........................+ 13.50
12/06/2023............................23 - 27...........................46.00%...........................-20.00
12/05/2023............................16 -11............................59.25%...........................+ 19.50
12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%...........................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS...............................326 - 295.........................52.49%.............................. + 21.50
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
:
Florida 106, Michigan 101, 2OT- Michigan’s bench was outscored 43-3.
Northridge 76, UCLA 72- Bruins lost five of their last six D-I games.
Western Carolina 63, Vanderbilt 62- Vandy was 1-14 behind the arc.
Citadel 65, Notre Dame 45- Going to be a long winter in South Bend.
Providence 72, Marquette 57- Marquette shot 32% from the floor.
Chattanooga 69, Gardner-Webb 66- Kid hit half court shot at the buzzer for the win.

Quote of the Day
“I didn’t want to get injured. When you stay in and block somebody, you can get run on very easily.”
Steelers WR George Pickens, on why he seemed reluctant to block in Sunday’s game

Wednesday’s quiz
When was last time a college basketball team won consecutive national titles?

Tuesday’s quiz
The Sun Bowl college football game is played in El Paso, TX every year.

Monday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb is the all-time leading in passing yardage for the Philadelphia Eagles (32,873 yards)

*************************************************************


Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings………


— I’m watching HBO’s Hard Knocks tonight, and they show a 2nd grade teacher in Miami who teaches her students how to do Math by adding/subtracting using Tyreek Hill’s stats each week. She posts Hill’s stats on a white board, and are counting down to how many yards he needs for 2,000 receiving yards.
It was great; the kids are into it, both boys/girls, but it reminded me of something else, how when I was a kid, I’d the grab the newspaper as soon as I could and would study boxscores and stats- this was way before the Internet, information was a little limited.
But I got to the point where I could do Math in my head; if Reggie Jackson went 4-13 in a series, I knew he hit .308 for the weekend, or if Vida Blue gave up two runs in 6 IP, his ERA was 3.00. Not bad for a 10-year old.

— Fast forward 25 years, and I’m a Grade 6 working for New York State at a low-level job; I’m in a training session with a cross-section of employees, some of whom are big shots; the person leading the room gives out a word problem which requires calculations.
There were eight people at a table; we worked as a group. A lady at my table was the Chief of Staff for a Deputy Commissioner, she started with her calculator to get the answer for the problem, but I just told her: “Marsha, its 27. The answer is 27” She kept working the calculator, then looked at me when she came up with 27.
It happened couple of more times; this was a Friday afternoon. Three days later, on Monday, I got a call to schedule a job interview for a Grade 13, an Administrative Assistant job, a very big raise. I got the job, which is why my retirement now is a lot more comfortable than it would’ve been if I hadn’t been able to do Math in my head.

— I tell the story because this teacher in Miami is doing her students a huge favor, teaching them in a way that they’ll remember it. Hopefully they appreciate it, though Tyreek Hill didn’t play this past week, so she probably had to be inventive to get them to do some calculations.

— If you owned an NFL team worth $5B or so, the three most people in your organization would be, in no particular order:
Head Coach- Runs the team on the field.
Quarterback- This one is kind of obvious.
General Manager- Acquires the players, which in an injury-riddled sport, is really important. This time of year, teams with good depth are the ones that finish strong.

— Here are the four NFL teams with the most dead salary cap space this season. When a team is up against the cap, it takes a clever GM to find players who can still win games while they have less flexibility to spend $$$.
$78.6M- Rams
$67.3M- Buccaneers
$65.3M- Packers
$65.2M- Cardinals

— But today we’re looking at head coaches; how would you choose one?
In today’s NFL, 21 of the 32 head coaches who started this season are/were in their first NFL head coaching job. Only 3 of the 21 have won a Super Bowl.
3 of the 32 coaches won a Super Bowl in a previous head coaching job.
2 of the 32 coaches lost a Super Bowl in a previous head coaching job.
6 of the 32 coaches had a previous head coaching job, but didn’t make it to a Super Bowl.
Coaches don’t get recycled as much as they used to; Bill Belichick is one of the head coaches who didn’t make it to a Super Bowl in his first head coaching job- he’s pretty good. Josh McDaniels had two head coaching jobs and was pretty bad at both of them.
Giants’ coach Brian Daboll interviewed with five other teams before the Giants, who are damned lucky that no one else hired him- Daboll is a good coach.
Raiders have had 13 head coaches since 2003; the Steelers have had three since 1969.
It is what makes the NFL so interesting; the teams are worth a fortune, but some of the teams are run really well, some pretty poorly.

Texas-San Antonio 35, Marshall 17
The two QB’s: Josh McCown’s son, and Chad Pennington’s son. Makes me feel old.
Marshall led 14-0 early in second quarter.
UTSA was 7-14 on third down, Marshall 5-18.
Second day in a row a backup QB wins a bowl game; gambling is difficult.

— QB Taulia Tagovailoa is skipping Maryland’s bowl game; I’m not going to rant about this again, at least not today, but Tagovailoa’s college career is over.

— Strange stats to read: USC’s defense is 110th in the country in yards allowed/play; they’re 123rd in scoring defense.

— Jacksonville Jaguars signed QB EJ Perry to their practice squad; Perry played his college ball at Brown, so he never opted out of a bowl.

— Underdogs won/covered the last seven Monday night NFL games.

— Cleveland Browns are first team in the last 70 years to have four different QB’s lead a game-winning drive in the same season.

— Atlanta Falcons are going back to Taylor Heinicke at QB this week, third time this year they have changed starting QB’s, which makes you wonder if Desmond Ridder is still their QB of the future.
Falcons kicker Younghoe Koo recently became the most accurate kicker in NFL history; he used to kick for the Chargers, but they cut him, even though he made his last six FG’s for them.
Since they cut Koo in 2017, Chargers have gone through 12 different kickers.

— As it turns out, Kansas City’s last four games are going to be against backup QB’s:
Week 15- beat New England (Zappe) 27-17.
Week 16- vs Las Vegas (O’Connell)
Week 17- vs Cincinnati (Browning)
Week 18- @ LA Chargers (Stick)

— AFC North teams are 26-12 SU in non-divisional games.

— In baseball, Pirates signed lefty starter Martin Perez for one year, $8M. He figures to be their #3 or #4 starter.
 

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Wednesday, December 20


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