NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL NOTES, NEWS OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU MARCH MADNESS !

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NCAAB

Sunday, December 3


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SUNDAY, DECEMBER 3

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SPU at CAN01:00 PMCAN -5.0+500
FGCU at CIN01:00 PMCIN -18.0+500
ELON at RAD02:00 PMELON +9.5
O 145.5
+500 +500
QUIN at NIAG02:00 PMQUIN -1.0
U 145.0
+500 +500
FAIR at RID02:00 PMRID -4.0+500
CLEM at PITT02:00 PMCLEM +1.5
O 147.0
+500 +500
STET at CHS02:00 PMSTET -7.5+500
SDAK at WIU02:00 PMSDAK +1.0+500
SF at ASU03:00 PMASU -2.5+500
WICH at MIZZ03:00 PMMIZZ -7.5+500
ETSU at JVST03:00 PMO 131.5+500
TAMCOM at SMU03:00 PMSMU -16.5+500
AFA at PORT04:00 PMPORT -4.5+500
CREI at NEB04:00 PMCREI -4.0+500
LOU at VT04:00 PMLOU +14.0+500
PEPP at COLO05:00 PMO 151.0+500
EKY at WKU05:00 PMWKU -4.5+500
LAM at SHSU06:00 PMLAM +11.5
O 148.0
+500 +500
MINN at OSU06:30 PMMINN +12.5+500
USD at STAN07:00 PMSTAN -15.0+500
UND at UCRV07:00 PMUCRV -5.0+500
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%.............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS.....................................51 - 26..........................66.23%.............................+ 112.00
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Six of the better bowl games on this year’s schedule:
— Dec 23: Armed Forces Bowl- James Madison vs Air Force
— Dec 23: Hawai’i Bowl- Coastal Carolina vs San Jose State
— Dec 26: Guaranteed Rate Bowl- Kansas vs UNLV
— Dec 30: Orange Bowl- Georgia vs Florida State
— Jan 1: Rose Bowl- Michigan vs Alabama
— Jan 1: Sugar Bowl; Washington vs Texas

Quote of the Day
“I tried to impress upon them what it was to be a professional and how tough this game is to play. And I told them almost every day how good there were.”
Hall of Fame manager Jim Leyland

Monday’s quiz
Who did UNLV play the last time they were in a bowl game (2013)?

Sunday’s quiz
Nick Saban coached the Dolphins in 2005-06.

Saturday’s quiz
Jim Harbaugh coached the 49ers from 2011-14.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..

49ers 42, Eagles 19
— 49ers’ first two drives: 6 plays, minus-6 yards, two punts.
— 49ers’ next six drives: 47 plays, 450 yards, 42 points.
— WR Samuel had 7 touches for 138 yards, three TD’s.
— San Francisco averaged 10.7 yards/pass attempt.
— Last three games, Eagles were outscored 48-20 in first half.
— Philly ran ball 18 times for only 46 yards.
— Eagles scored 21+ points in their wins, 14-19 in losses.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 5-8 ATS as an underdog.

Colts 31, Titans 28 OT
— Titans kicked FG in OT, then Colts drive 75 yards for game-winning TD.
— Tennessee led 17-7 with 8:00 left in first half.
— Colts blocked punt for TD to take 22-17 lead with 0:19 left in 3rd quarter.
— Titans blocked PAT, ran it back for two points to cut lead to 22-19.
— Colts won last four games, are tied for last AFC playoff slot.
— QB Minshew is 5-3 as a starter this season.
— Colts won/covered four of five true road games TY.
— Indianapolis team total: over 9-2-1

Chargers 6, Patriots 0
— Chargers snap a 7-game losing streak vs New England.
— LA gained only 241 yards, kicked two 38-yard field goals.
— Opponents are 18-70 on 3rd down in LA wins, 36-86 in losses.
— Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Charger games.
— Patriots lost last three games, 10-6/10-7/6-0.
— Last three games, Patriots scored one TD on 30 drives.
— New England lost eight of their last nine games (1-8 ATS).
— AFC East teams are 10-18 ATS outside the division.

Lions 33, Saints 28
— Under Campbell, Detroit is 16-9 ATS coming off a loss.
— Two of Lions’ four TD drives were short; 17, 26 yards.
— Rookie TE Laporta caught nine passes for 140 yards and a TD.
— Lions are 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS in their last nine games.
— Detroit led 21-0 with 8:15 left in first quarter.
— Saints were outscored 62-19 in first half of last three games.
— Saints in first half: 28 plays, 113 yards, 7 points.
— Saints in second half: 38 plays, 254 yards, 21 points.

Falcons 13, Jets 8
— Falcons’ first 4 drives: 16 plays, 23 yards and a safety for the Jets
— Falcons’ only TD drive was 47 yards in second quarter.
— Atlanta was 4-14 on third down, Jets 2-15.
— Atlanta won, but Jets outgained them, 259-194.
— Jets lost their last five games, scoring 9 ppg.
— In six post-bye games, Jets scored three TD’s on 68 drives.
— Jets have been outscored 157-81 in first half of games.
— Under Saleh, Jets are 15-23 ATS as an underdog

Cardinals 24, Steelers 10
— Game had two weather delays; one for 30 minutes, one for 53 minutes.
— Arizona RB Conner ran ball for 105 yards, two TD’s against his old team.
— Cardinals had three TD drives: 99-21-33 yards.
— Arizona was 10-17 on third down, Pittsburgh 4-11.
— QB Pickett hurt his ankle; backup Trubisky played most of game.
— Last three games, Pittsburgh scored 10-16-10 points.
— Steelers are 16-20 ATS last 36 games as a home favorite.
— Nine of last 11 Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.

Dolphins 45, Commanders 15
— Dolphisn’ first six drives: 39 plays, 338 yards, 38 points.
— Miami scored on pick-6 to take 17-0 lead late in first quarter,
— WR Hill caught five passes for 145 yards, two TD’s.
— Dolphins scored 31+ points in 7 of 9 wins; 20-17-14 in losses.
— In last three games, Commanders gave up 31-45-45 points.
— Washington lost nine of last 11 games SU (2-5 ATS last seven)
— In those 11 games, Commanders were outscored 175-79 in 1st half.
— Opponents’ team total: over 10-3

Texans 22, Broncos 17
— Broncos were minus-3 in turnovers (+11 in previous four games)
— Wilson threw an INT on three of Denver’s last four drives.
— Denver was 0-11 on third down, Texans were 4-16.
— Broncos are 7-13 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
— Houston won four of its last five games.
— Texans’ last six games were decided by 2-2-3-5-3-5 points.
— Texans’ first four drives: 25 plays, 192 yards, 13 points.
— Stroud is 7-5 as an NFL starter.

Buccaneers 21, Panthers 18
— Carolina is 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS on road, losing by 14-10-18-21-3-7-3 points.
— This was first game in six weeks that Panthers scored 2+ offensive TD’s.
— Carolina drove 75 yards, scored 8 points with 5:02 left for back-door cover.
— Last eight games, Panthers were outscored 126-52 in first half.
— 2nd quarter of this game was played in a monsoon.
— Evans caught 75-yard TD pass that put Bucs ahead, 14-10.
— Last three games, opponents were 9-38 on third down.
— Buccaneers won seven of last eight games vs Carolina.

Rams 36, Browns 19
— Rams won last three games, giving up 16-14-19 points.
— Rookie WR Nacua caught four passes for 105 yards and a TD.
— LA outscored Browns 12-0 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Rams are 5-2 when they run ball for 92+ yards, 1-4 when they don’t.
— Flacco was 23-44/254 passing; he is 4th QB to start for Browns TY.
— Last three games, Browns scored 13-12-19 points (4 TD’s/35 drives)
— Cleveland scored TD to make score 20-19 in 3rd quarter; they missed PAT.
— under Stefanski, Cleveland is 8-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

Packers 27, Chiefs 19
— Chiefs are 2-3 in last five games, after a 6-1 start.
— Chiefs’ first four drives: 47 plays, 260 yards, 19 points.
— Chiefs’ last three drives: 15 plays, 65 yards, no points.
— KC is 12-16-1 ATS in last 29 games as a road favorite.
— Packers won four of last five games, after an 0-4 skid.
— Green Bay’s first four drives: 36 plays, 255 yards, 21 points.
— Packers held Chiefs to 5.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Last five games, Green Bay is 34-69 on third down.

Appalachian State 69, Auburn 64- Tough day for SEC, with Miss State, Auburn getting upset. Tigers were +16 on boards in this game, but shot 3-27 on arc.

Southern 60, Mississippi State 59- Southern ended game on a 15-2 run.

Clemson 79, Pitt 70- Tigers are 7-0, with three top 100 wins.

— Congrats to former big league manager Jim Leyland, who was elected to the Baseball Hall of Fame Sunday. Leyland won two AL pennants with Detroit, won the 1997 World Seres with the Marlins- he also led the Pirates to the playoffs three years in a row (1990-92).
 

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IOWA is 92-138 ATS (-59.8 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite since 1997.

ALABAMA is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) as a home fav of >=12.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MD-EAST SHORE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

FURMAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days in the last 3 seasons.

SAN JOSE ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

OREGON ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 4


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NCAAB

Monday, December 4


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Trend Report
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Maryland-Eastern Shore @ East Carolina
Maryland-Eastern Shore
No trends to report
East Carolina
East Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games at home

Iowa @ Purdue
Iowa
Iowa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Purdue
Iowa is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Purdue
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Purdue is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Iowa

Middle Georgia @ Georgia State
Middle Georgia
No trends to report
Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games at home
Georgia State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Arkansas State @ Alabama
Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama
Alabama is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home
Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Furman @ Arkansas
Furman
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Furman's last 7 games on the road
Furman is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 5 games at home
Arkansas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

San Jose State @ North Dakota State
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games on the road
San Jose State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
North Dakota State
North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Western New Mexico @ UTEP
Western New Mexico
No trends to report
UTEP
UTEP is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Cal Poly @ Oregon State
Cal Poly
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cal Poly's last 7 games on the road
Cal Poly is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oregon State
Oregon State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State's last 8 games at home



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MONDAY, DECEMBER 4

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
IOWA at PUR07:00 PMPUR -14.0
U 158.0
+500 +500
ARST at ALA08:00 PMALA -25.0
U 165.0
+500 +500
SJSU at NDSU08:00 PMNDSU -2.5
U 137.5
+500 +500
FUR at ARK08:00 PMARK -11.5
O 158.0
+500 +500
CP at ORST10:00 PMCP +14.0
U 132.0
+500 +500
 

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DECEMBER'S COLLEGE HOOPS BEST BETS !

12/04/2023................................6 - 2............................75.00%.............................+ 19.00
12/03/2023..............................18 - 7...........................72.00%.............................+ 51.50
12/02/2023.............................24 - 12.........................66.66%.............................+ 54.00
12/01/2023.................................9 - 7..........................56.25%..............................+ 6.50

TOTALS.....................................57 - 28..........................67.05%.............................+ 131.00
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Odds to get the #1 pick in this year’s baseball draft:
18.3%- A’s, Royals, Rockies
14.7%- White Sox
8.3%- Cardinals
6.1%- Angels
4.3%- Mets
3.0%- Pirates
The lottery for the draft is Tuesday at 5:30.

Quote of the Day
“I’m not offended at all by dumb blonde jokes, because I know I’m not dumb, and I know I’m not a blonde.”
Dolly Parton

Tuesday’s quiz
LSU won the national title in college football four years ago, with Joe Burrow/Ja’Marr Chase playing; who was LSU’s coach that year?

Monday’s quiz
UNLV lost 36-14 to North Texas in the 2013 Heart of Texas Bowl, the last time the Rebels were in a bowl game.

Sunday’s quiz
Nick Saban coached the Miami Dolphins in 2005-06.

*******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

Bengals 34, Jaguars 31, OT
Backup QB Browning was 32-37/354 passing for his first NFL win.
McPherson kicked a 48-yard FG in overtime for the win.
Chase caught 11 passes for 149 yards and a TD.
Bengals were 8-14 on third down, Jacksonville 6-15.
Jaguars lost QB Lawrence late in game with an ankle injury.
Jaguars scored four touchdowns on their first seven drives.
Jaguars’ last four drives: 27 plays, 111 yards, 3 points.
Under Pederson, Jags are 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.

— There are two Monday night games next week, both at 8:15:
Packers @ Giants, Titans @ Miami

— In their 6-0 loss to the Chargers Sunday, New England’s average starting position on their 10 drives was their own 14-yard line, which is terrible field position.
In all the NFL games since 2000, counting playoff games, this was the worst average starting field position by any team, in any one game.
New England is also the only team since 1938 to give up 10 or fewer points three games in a row, and lose all three games.

— Bears beat Minnesota 12-10 last Monday night; in that game, Justin Fields’ average pass length was 2.7 yards downfield, the shortest by any QB in a game since Tony Romo in 2010.
He threw 12 screen passes; only 19 of his 37 passes were beyond the line of scrimmage.

— In their two post-bye games, Atlanta Falcons haven’t allowed a touchdown on 22 drives; opponents have tried 8 field goals on those 22 drives, but haven’t scored a TD, and Atlanta won both games.

— In their last three games, Denver Broncos are only 8-37 on third down.

— Tennessee Titans lost in overtime Sunday; they’re 4-8, and fired their special teams coach Monday. Titans had a punt blocked for a TD Sunday; their punter also lost a fumble, and hurt his knee trying to recover it- he’s out for the year.
Tennessee also blocked a Colts’ PAT and ran it back for two points, but they lost, and there have to be scapegoats, so the special teams coach was told to take a hike, after six years with the Titans.

— Steelers’ QB Kenny Pickett had ankle surgery Monday, to “accelerate the healing process” on his sprained right ankle, according to Mike Tomlin.
— Word of the Day: Anagram- a word or phrase that is made by switching around the letters of another word or phrase.
For example, “listen” is an anagram for “silent”
“ocean” is an anagram for “canoe”

— Random trend for the upcoming bowl games:
Over the last five years, bowl underdogs who lost their conference championship game have gone 15-9 against the spread in their bowl games.

— Hotel rates for Super Bowl weekend (February 9-12) in Las Vegas:
Aria $1,467/night.
Bellagio $1,600/night.
Cosmopolitan $1,600/night.
Fountainblue $1,567/night.
Venetian $1,199/night.
Yikes.

— Wealthiest owners in pro sports:
$100B- Steve Ballmer, LA Clippers
$67B- Rob Walton, Denver Broncos
$32B- Miriam Adelson, new owner of Dallas Mavericks
$21B- Dan Gilbert, Cleveland Cavaliers
$20B- David Tepper, Carolina Panthers

— In their first 34 years of existence, the Minnesota Timberwolves spent a total of 10 days as the #1-seed in the NBA’s Western Conference. Thats 10 days in 34 years.
This season, Minnesota is 15-4, the #1-seed in the West; they’ve spent more time as the #1 seed in the West this season than they did in their first 34 years of existence.

— 23 years ago, Mark Cuban bought the Dallas Mavericks for $285M; he just sold them for $3.5B, plus he retains control of basketball operations in the deal.
There are some conspiracy theories as to why this happened:
The Adelson family wants to own a casino(s) in Texas, once Texas legalizes gambling.
If that doesn’t happen, Adelsons might move the Mavericks to Las Vegas
Cuban might be thinking of running for President.
We’ll see what happens, but it must be nice to be so freakin’ rich.

— I mentioned a few weeks ago how I was intrigued by Rice QB JT Daniels as a longshot NFL Draft prospect; he’s played at several different colleges, but now word comes out of Houston that Daniels has been advised to medically retire from football because of all the concussions he’s had over the years.
Daniels told ESPN that he plans to get into coaching; he knows a lot of people after a playing career at four different schools over six years. Networking will help him get his first job.

— When Florida State got left out of the college football playoff, it cost the ACC $6M from the money that the playoff generates; 14 teams in the ACC, that’s $428,571 per school.
 

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NCAAB

Tuesday, December 5


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