NCAA HOOPS 151

[one51rum 1,155]

Monmouth @ Stony Brook Monmouth -2 142 I am going to go with Monmouth in this one on the road, Monmouth does do well when they are favored as they are 5-1 STR up and 5-1 ats when favored, and are 1-1 ats as an away favorite , and they are 9-6-1 ats after a loss, Monmouth did win at home earlier this year Vs SB in a game where they jumped out to a 12 pt halftime lead and then won 2nd half by 10 also, winning 78-56 as a 6.5 pt favorite also these schools are just 60 miles apart, so maybe Monmouth can have some fans there for them today, Monmouth did have a little 3 game win streak going before losing to Towson st last game, I do think they are the better team here,



Monmouth -2 1 unit



also I notice Jax st has went from -1 to +2 now a 3 point move, yes they have an injury, But Jax st is 7-3 ats away this year, and 5-3 ats as an away dog, and 9-4 ats as a dog I may go against this line move I just do not like moves like this when the line opens at -1 or +1 and it moves that much Jax st has a decent team , Sam Houston is just 1-4 ats at home and 3-6 ats as a favorite this year, and Jax st has won 8 straight , Jax st did beat SH at home earlier 70-62 and in that game SH took a 6 pt lead into halftime and lost by 8 , and also Franklin did not play in that game either , and in that game SH made 11 3's to just 5 for Jax st and they still lost also Jax st is 10-2 STR up on 4+ days rest and 10-5 STR up on equal rest and SH is 4-9 STR up on 4+ days rest and 3-13 STR up and ats on equal rest I am going to go with Jax st in this spot getting 2.5 pts at -120

Jax st +2.5 1 unit going against the big line move

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Tennessee st has won 6 of their last 7 games and they have been scoring really well in their last 8 games averaging about 82 pts a game, I do like them -3 in this spot as EIU is only 3-14 STR up as a dog this year, and Tenn st is 7-3 ats after a win and are 6-2 ats as a favorite and 6-4 ats away and 9-5 ats in conf and EIU is 5-9 ats in conf ...last 3 games Tenn st is avg 86 pts a game and giving up 78 and EIU in the last 3 games are only averaging 57 pts a game and giving up 65 that's a huge diff, last 3 games Tenn st is shooting 47% and 55.5% from 2 and 28% from 3 EIU last 3 games are shooting 34% and 36.7% from 2 and 28% from 3 ....the over in this game is 142 now with the way Tenn st has been scoring ya almost have to like the Over but can EIU score enough to help?? Tenn st is 16-6 OVER this year , I am playing 2 bets in this game I am taking Tenn st -3 and I also am going to go OVER 72.5 TT for Tenn st in this game ..Tenn st won at home earlier 84-65 as a 5.5 pt favorite in that game Tenn st shot 52% and 37% from 3 and EIU shot 39% and 25% from 3 and EIU took 9 more shots in that game

Tenn st -3 1 unit
OVER 72,5 Tenn st TT 1 unit

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Montana -4 2 units



Delaware +7.5 1.5 units

Albany+6

Monmouth-2

Queens -6

OVER 164 N FLa Game

Over 146 Maryland

Jax st +2.5

Tenn st -3

OVER 72.5 TT Tenn st
S Dakota -1.5 1 unit

UC Davis -1 -120 2 units erased write up by accident



opinion Kennesaw st +5 Over 73.5 TT Maryland

 

[pizza 2,335]

Your hard work is much appreciated
Write ups are great

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Montana -4 2 units



Delaware +7.5 1.5 units win

Albany+6 win

Monmouth-2 win

Queens -6 tough loss as queens wins by 5 not the capping

OVER 164 N FLa Game

Over 146 Maryland need 40 pts in 11 mins they have slowed down Maryland only scored 1 pt in 4 mins

Jax st +2.5 very tough loss Jax st was up 58-52 with 7 mins left and score 3 points in 7 mins Capping was dead on I just missed the 6 min scoring droubt when I was capping it didn't even see it

Tenn st -3

OVER 72.5 TT Tenn st
S Dakota -1.5 1 unit

UC Davis -1 -120 2 units erased write up by accident



opinion Kennesaw st +5 Over 73.5 TT Maryland Kennesaw st wins big getting 5 Maryland TT will be close

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Your hard work is much appreciated
Write ups are great

Jax st should have won easily up 6 with 7 mins and do not score for 6 minutes then tied it and then did not score again last minute 3 damn points in 7 mins and they only had 4/7 ft's while SH was 13/16

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Another huge night and why I just did not go ML on UC Davis I was going fast and just did not think its a very good week with good write ups

9-3-1

Taking Montana tonight -4 vs Idaho st this is my revenge play of the night here, as Montana lost at Idaho st 61-86 after beating Idaho st like 6 STR times, in that game Montana had a 44-36 halftime lead and blew it giving up 50 2nd half points...Montana shot well 1st half but ended the game only shooting 39% and Idaho st shot 56% , and the last 3 games Montana is shooting 59% 65% from 2 and 51% from 3 so they are coming into this game shooting the ball very well, and I am sure they are thinking about that loss, last 3 games Montana is scoring 85 pts a game and giving up 72 about the score I think this might be tonight, every team hates blowing a 8 pt halftime lead on the road ...away Idaho st is shooting 40% 47% from 2 and 29% from 3

Montana -4 2 units

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Should have went 11-1. Jax st was a hard loss. They were up 58-52 with 7 mins left....and went 6 mins without scoring. Only scored 3 pts last 7 mins , and queens lost by 1 pt

 

[one51rum 1,155]

25-9 last 3 days

 

[thedee 650]

I blew it. I decided to not tail you and didn't make any picks. Took the night off SMH. Gotta follow you no matter what. It's your time of the year. All the picks from from November till now is coming to fruition. U know these teams so we'll. Congrats Rummy to nailing those plays.

 

[SilentKC 2,255]

25-9 last 3 days

Incredible! I've been following but not all the games . Very nice! Keep it up and thanks

 

[one51rum 1,155]

I forgot to post here last night

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Saturday 1st game I am going to go OVER 155 Illinois st@ Ind st and i have made good money on Ill st when they are away, because they are usually a dog where they are very good ats, but as an away favorite they are 0-1 ats, they beat Ind st at home earlier 85-81, Ill st is 8-1 ats away, but 8 of those were as a away dog, and they are 12-2 ats as a dog but here they are a 1.5 pt favorite and Ind st played well at Ill st losing by 4 , and I do expect Ind st being at home with revenge should play well, Ill st is only 4-5 STR up away, and Ind st is only 1-3 STR up as a home dog , so this is why I have chosen to go OVER in this game....

Ill st is 15-8 Over this year and Ind st is 17-7 over this year, both teams are coming off losses and Ill st is 9-1 OVER after a loss and Ind st is 7-5 Over after a loss....as a dog Ind st is 13-2 OVER this year, Ill st is 10-5 OVER on 2-3 days rest, and 10-5 Over in conf, and Ind st is 10-6 Over on 2-3 days rest, and 3-1 OVER with rest advantage , Both teams are coming into this game shooting the ball well over the last 3 games as Ill st is shooting 50% last 3 and shooting the 3 at 42%, and the 2 at 57% and Ind st comes in shooting 46% and 36.6% from 3 and 53% from 2 why its hard to pick a side here, if Ill st was a dog here I'd be on them but Ind st can put up points so I chose the OVER

OVER 155 1 unit

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Auburn at Alabama I was liking Alabama here but they do have some injuries , they are missing Reid who averages 17 mins 7 points and 3 reb's and Wrightsell who averages 26 mins and 12 pts a game and Auburn is missing no one , Alabama is favored by 2 this will be a very close game could go either way here



Jax st got me last game when they went scoreless the last 6 minutes , and scored just 3 pts in the last 7 when they were up 6 on the road vs Sam Houston but I am going to come right back with them again here at La Tech , La Tech has had 2 of last 3 games where they could not score, they lost at home last game to Kennesaw st who I was on and they lost 47-69 at home , and 3 games ago they only scored 53 pts losing at Liberty, the loss by Jax st broke a 8 game winning streak and I think they get back to winning today, and I'll grab the 4.5 points also on the road as they are 6-1 STR up after a loss, and 4-2 ats after a loss and 7-4 ats away, La Tech is 10-2 STR up at home but 2 of the last 3 games they have been having problems

Jax st +4.5 1 unit

 

[one51rum 1,155]

Taking Kennesaw st on the road at Sam Houston, Sam Houston is 2-6 STR up after a win, and they are 3-1 STR up as a home favorite , and are 1-5 STR up on 1 day off, and are 4-13 STR up on equal rest Kennesaw st is 10-4 ats after a win and 6-3 ats away this year, and 11-5 ats on equal rest and SH is 0-6 ats after a win, 2-4 ats at home, Kennesaw st is 14-8 ats this year and SH is 6-16 ats this year , just think coming off that huge road win Kennesaw st should play well, and SH didn't win their last game it was given to them ,



Kennesaw st +2 1 unit

 

[one51rum 1,155]

also going to stay on the George Mason Train and lay 3 points at home vs St Joes , both teams are coming off wins, I was on G Mason last game when they beat St Louis when a lot of people were on St Louis , GM has won 10 straight , and are 15-4 STR up after a win and St Joes is 6-8 STR up after a win, and GM is 14-1 STR up at home and 17-3 STR up as a favorite, and 5-1 STR up with a rest advantage , and 11-1 STR up in conf, ..st Joe's is 2-4 STR up away this year and 2-4 ats away and 0-2 ats as an away dog....and are 4-10 ats after a win ...GMU has a +15 score margin at home this year only giving up just 60 pts a game at home and scoring 75, I am going with the hot team here and GMU has lost the last 3 to St Joes and they have not played yet this year and I think GMU will want to beat these guys finally and should

G Mason -3 1.5 units

 

[one51rum 1,155]

and I am going to take Illinois st ML -120 this line did open with Ind st -1.5 so Ill st was a dog , and already this total has went up to 157 at Hard Rock

but I am on Illinois st pk 1 unit


went ahead and am taking Clemson-3 -130 1 unit just a feeling that this line will go higher than 4 , they are 4-1 STR up and 4-1 ats as an away favorite, FSU 3-5 ats as a dog this year and Clemson is the better team by far



Clemson -3 -130

Hampton +1.5 at home vs Hofstra Hampton has won 3 of last 4 and they have not beaten Hofstra yet as they are 0-4 against them, last meeting was a close game with Hofstra winning by 4 at Hampton 63-59 and Hampton was a 11 pt dog, Hampton is 7-4 STR up at home , and Hofstra is 0-2 ats as an away favorite , just a game where I think Hampton has gotten 3 wins in the last 4 maybe feeling like they can get this win at home, and maybe they should, they have always been a big dog in this game and now its almost a PK and I know these players know what the lines are...lol



Hampton +1.5 1.5 units

 

[one51rum 1,155]

back to the Aub/Bama game, after a long conf call with friends out west, decided I am going with Bama, lowest line I could get right now is -1.5 hate the half pt but I do have them winning this by 7, seems all of us had between 5-7 so 1.5 I feel good with just hope they stay out of foul trouble with the injuries



Alabama -1.5 2.5 units

 

[one51rum 1,155]

OK just got back I did bet the OVER in the Furman game , I actually got it at 138 , so maybe it dropped but I see it now at 139 or 139.5 like my write up it just seems these 2 score when playing each other , just not sure who the lower total is favoring, I would think Furman, but this is a game I could go either way on as far as the spread but just like the OVER for sure glad I did a write up when I did this morning...lol



OVER 138 UNCG/Furman 1.5 units

Over TT 68.5 UNCG OVER TT 60.5 Stanford Over 127bvirginia game those I am tailing someone on

 

[one51rum 1,155]

going to have more I like breaking down games and will play them as I find them