NCAA HOOPS 151

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Liberty vs Kansas st Kansas st -3,5-4 total 133
both teams avg 76-77 points on offense both give up 64-65 on defense Libery is shooting 52.4% and their effective shooting is 60% , Kansas st is shooting 45.2% their sff shooting is 51.8%, Liberty is shooting the 3 at 38.8% #40 in Nation, while Kansas is shooting the 3 at 32.5% , Liberty shoots the 2 at 62.7% #8 in Nation while Kansas st shoots it at 54% #128 ..Liberty is defending at 42.4% they defend the 3 at 31% and the 2 at 47%.....Kansas st defends at 40.2% the 3 at 36.8% and the 2 at 42.2%...both teams are making 27-28 shots a game but Liberty is taking about 4.5 fewer shots a game, each are making about 8-9 3's a game and both take about 23-24 a game ...game is in St Thomas, pretty even match up, Liberty is 5-1 only loss was to Fla Atlantic by 3 and Kansas st lost to LSU at home by 11 Based on this I would favor Liberty in this spot getting 4 if possible

missed the start by I did take over 147 in the Delaware game right after it started, Delaware can score and seems they have higher scoring games , and Yale can score so I said fuck it...lol
live play over 147 Yale/Del


live play over 147 Yale/del about 2 mins after it started
 

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added a 2 team Parlay bought a pt or half pt on each paying +243

Liberty +4/Texas st+4
 

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What is a 'send out'?
games I send to people on a email list had some tight ones lately 2-0 friday then 1-1 last night today I just posted them last night also usually I do not, or if I do its right before tip
 

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good night everyone went off the hook today too many games like I said I got a fuckit attitude lol
 

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games I send to people on a email list had some tight ones lately 2-0 friday then 1-1 last night today I just posted them last night also usually I do not, or if I do its right before tip

games I send to people on a email list had some tight ones lately 2-0 friday then 1-1 last night today I just posted them last night also usually I do not, or if I do its right before tip
Thanks for the info. I have been looking at Pitt all day but I am ahead today so I'll let it go - hope it's a winner for you.s
 

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Thanks for the info. I have been looking at Pitt all day but I am ahead today so I'll let it go - hope it's a winner for you.s
just so ya know, its nothing I like charge for...lol I know there are others who try and get money from people, ....but its just a group of people I have known for years mostly,
 

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anyway, if ya read my post , many know I usually do better if I add a write up with my plays, trying to give some reasoning behind my plays, .....my 2 sendouts again went 1-1 , Pitt was ahead 1st half, and they kind of fell apart mid way through 2nd half, and really never regained the lead.....both teams took exactly 60 shots, both teams only made 5 3 pointers, it was pretty much free throws that got them, as they only took 13 ft's , while Wisconsin too 22 making 18 , they got 9 fewer attempts, and made 8 fewer ft's and lost by 6....
But Drake did come through winning outright by 11, beating a good Vandy team, in a game where they were leading at halftime and in the 2nd half pulled away by even more, in a game where both teams took 54 shots, both teams only made like 5 or fewer 3's, and both teams took the same amount of ft's or close to it, actually Vandy took 24 making 18 and Drake took 20 making 18, diff in this game was the shooting as Drake shot 53.7% to 44% , and Drake controlled the boards with 37 rebounds to 20 for Vandy....Drake played well beating a team that had been playing really well and beating some good teams

then this afternoon I added some plays and did write ups on them, and did really well , 1st off the one I lost Longwood+8.5 not much I can say about that game except that Longwood ran into a very hot shooting McNeese state team, and that will happen, you just hope its your team that shoots 61.8% , McNeese was 34/55 shooting, and they only made 4 3 pointers tonight, and Longwood made 7, Longwood even took 10 more ft's like I hoped they would, and they made more 3's but its hard to beat or even cover when a team shoots that well, you make 8 more ft's, you make 3 more 3's, your even in rebounds, and you lose by 15, my point being if McNeese even shoots like 50% Longwood maybe loses by 4-5 points tops, points being my handicapping I think was dead on, they held McNeese to just 4 made 3's, just did not expect 62% shooting from Mcneese st

then I did one on Liberty, and they ended up winning outright by 2 in a very close game , Liberty took the lead with about 1 min to go in the 1st half and they kept the lead the rest of the game except for twice in the 2nd half where Kansas st tied it 50-50 and later at 55, but besides that Liberty kept making shots, and that's very hard to do in tight games , where a team finally ties it and yet they answer, both teams shot about 45% , but like I wrote Liberty did defend the 3 well last night holding Kansas st to 29% from 3 while they shot it at 45% and Liberty also does not foul a lot, and Kansas st only took 5 ft's and Liberty only took 14 that's not a lot for a game, .......... and Texas st who I parlayed them with also won out right as a 3.5 pt dog, I did not post a write up on them but I could have, they were a good play also

then I wrote about Montana st -6 or 7 and that was dead on too, just scroll up, I had much more written down , but Mont st is a good basketball team, and they should do well in their conf this year, but they have been on the road and playing decent teams, from bigger conferences and had played well but did not win every game, and I thought since they were finally at home playing a D-1 school that they would do well, and maybe win big, and that's exactly what they did winning by 20, both teams took 56 shots, but they held S.Miss to 35% shooting while they shot 50%, and Mont st made 10 3's but took 9 more, and actually S Miss took 5 more ft's and made 3 more, and even had more offensive rebounds, but Mont st had 6 fewer turnovers and 6 more assist and just shot better, but a 20 pt win is what I had expected when I said a big win .......
and even adding the live play on the OVER in the Delaware game when it was 11-11 I was wanting to bet Delaware and the OVER, and just forgot and seen it went off, so had to bet it about 5 mins into it, and decided to just bet the over 149 I think I wrote 147 but that's what the Over was originally I got it at 149 and it went wayyy over and Delaware won 100-94

so on my last games I put in I did well tonight, winning Liberty, Texas st, the OVER Delaware game, and Drake, but losing Longwood it did help make up for the crappy earlier part of the day where I did end up being on teams that seemed to be the popular plays, st John's, Maryland, and HighPoint, ...and yes did have write ups on Maryland and a small one on Highpoint, but did go against many and took Rhode Island and did a very detailed write up on them, as I told some friends I need to find more games like Rhode Island who were up 30 at half....lol

anyway best of luck to everyone out there and God Bless
151

Highpoint-7 L
St Johns-6 L
st Johns -2.5 1st half L
maryland -5.5 L
Rhode Island-2.5 W
Wofford-5 L
Over 145 Bradley W
OVER 146 Idaho/SD game L
Longwood+8.5 L
Montana st -6 W
Over 149 Delaware live play W
Liberty+4 W
Texas st +4 W

2 send outs
Pitt-2 L
Drake+5 W

7-8 on the day cant make money doing that r
 

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MONDAY 11-25
well it seems like its tourney time with college games starting at 1030 am on a Monday...lol as many games today as on a Saturday hopefully we can get more winners than losers as 5-5-1 and 7-8 do not cut it ...and it's 3am when hopefully we do the best handicapping lol


1st game I am going to go with Radford here -13.5 for a smaller play, just looking at this, Radford shoots the ball much better than Chicago st, but both teams do not defend well, but this Chicago st team has not been scoring much as they are avg just 59 pts a game, and Radford has been scoring well anyway avg 75 a game, but except for when they have played really good teams they have been scoring in the mid 80's, and Chicago st does give up 88 a game, and Chicago st only shoots the 3 at 26% , I mean Chicago st is only shooting the 2 at 38% , and Radford should get some extra shots by controlling the boards somewhat, and Chicago st does turn it over a bit more too, to be honest I think Radford should win this by close to 20, but with neither team defending well its a smaller play for me,

also in the Miami oh/Siena game I am going to go OVER 137 , Miami oh will want a up Tempo game here, as they avg 63 shots a game, and they are making almost 29 shots a game also, and 11 3's a game while taking 28, they are shooting the 3 at almost 39% #36 but Miami is only averaging 10 ft's a game, and Siena is avg 70 pts a game but their last 2 losses brought that avg down as they only scored 55 vs Xavier, and 60 vs Albany, before that they were avg about 78 a game , as far as the spread of 5 I would lean to Miami, but Siena is 4-1 ats as a dog so far, and Miami is 0-2 ats as a fav , just going with the over here , I do think Siena will get their share of pts here, I think this is a 144-147 game here 1 unit

Radford-13.5 half unit but do like them to cover

Over 137 Miami oh like it up to 140 1 unit

need sleep
 

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YTD 63-67 way off from past years ...hopefully we can get there

well I thought Radford should be - more and now they are I see 15.5 maybe should have just bet them for more , I said by 20
 

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Adding a play here in the Howard@ Maryland BC both teams lost to Boston in the last 2 days, both teams lost by 4-7 points, but I will give much more credit to Howaards loss, they played well, they shot better than Boston and Boston made 13 3 pointers in that game , and Howard only was 2/16 yet even with all those 3's Howard was winning with 3 mins left and it was tied with 2 mins left, they lost by 7 because of ft's of course late, ..Howard usually shoots the 3 at 37% if they had just went 5 for 16 I think they win the game, like I said they shot 45% to just 40% for Boston, now Maryland BC lost by 4 but they took 11 more ft's and made 12 more and still lost, Howard is the better shooting team, and better 3 pt shooting team, and yes this game is at UMBC but Howard is traveling just 35 miles to play this game, so there may be some Howard fans their today, UMBC is 1-4 ats this year and 1-3 ats at home, Howard is 2-1 ats away this year, Howard just dropped to -2 and -1.5 is -120 and ML is -140 I like them -2 would suggest going -1.5 but I am going to go ML and pay the vig but that's me

Howard ML 1 unit
 

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2 team Parlay going with Siena +5 and lowered Jacksonville to -3 paying +231 Jacksonville will maybe be a STR up play later unless I do not need it but I do like them will have write up

Siena+5/Jacksonville-3 +231 1 unit
 

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Jacksonville vs Mercer

Jacksonville is -4 and they are who I like today, for one thing, they come in off of 2 STR wins, where they beat S Car st at home and then they went on the road and beat Virg Tech as 14 pt dogs, they avg 68.5 pts a game and give up 71, while Mercer is avg 67.3 pts a game and are giving up almost 85 a game, Jacksonville is shooting 43% to 40% for Mercer, and they both shoot the 3 about the same, Jax shoots the 2 at 49.7% to 46.8% for Mercer, but Jacksonville is the better defensive team , they defend the 3 at 30% compared to 34% by Mercer, they defend at 44% compared to 48.6% for Mercer, , I am on Jacksonville here, they have played better teams, and have stayed close and even won, and won on the road, this is a Neutral site game played down in Ft Meyers, , I will buy down a little like to get it under 4 even though I think they win by 7-9 here, they are 3-1 ats this year, and Mercer is 1-2 ats , better shooting team and better defensive team

Jacksonville -4 or less

gl 151
 

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Drexel at IPFW interesting game here, you have Drexel who are only averaging 68 pts a game while IPFW is avg 85 pts a game, but on defense Drexel is better as they are giving up just 65 pts a game and IPFW is giving up 80.....both shoot it at about 44-45% IPFW is better at the 3 pt shot as they are shooting it at 38% to 34%, but defending it Drexel is much better as they are at 27% to 32% for IPFW both are not bad but there is a 5% diff, ..IPFW are averaging about 10 made 3's a game but Drexel is giving up just 6 a game, and one other big thing is on free throws , Drexel is making just 8 a game and only taking about 12 a game, while IPFW is making 17 a game while taking 21 , that's a 9 pt diff right there on avg , can Drexel keep IPFW under 80? total on this game is 144 if this game is in the 60's or even like very low 70"s Drexel covers or maybe wins, they do not want a game where someone scores 80 pts .....may not even bet this game but thought I would pass this along gl 151
 

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liking La tech today -5 another case where you have a team in La Tech who are shooting very well, they are averaging 84 pts a game and giving up 71, they are shooting 49.6% #34 and are shooting the 3 at 38.5% #35 and S .Ill is shooting 43.8% and the 3 at 33%, and La Tech is defending at 40% #82 and they defend the 3 at 26.7% #35, and S.Ill defends at 43.7% and the 3 at 35.8% for now I am betting this game for the 1st half -2.5 La Tech is avg 48 pts at half and are giving up 35 at half for a +13 and S Ill is avg 34.5 pts at half and they give up 38 pts for a -3.5 better defense for sure here, so I'll go with it , and still may play the game also , just think there should be good value here on a 1st half try
gl 151

Confirmation: 7041463​

Date Placed: 11/25/24 12:19:10
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 115.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
  1. 824 H1 Louisiana Tech -2½ (-115) risk 115.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men 1st H)
 

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Radford just went up 15 with 3 mins left nope up 17 with 2:28 left
 

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well hope ya bet Radford with me early in the AM they covered 13.5 or 14 winning by 15 I at least hope ya bought down to 15 or maybe ya bet against and took 15.5 and won maybe I should have middled...lol never not on just 2 numbers
 

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Got Radford at 14.5. Nice ending.
they key thing for the bet was that Chicago st cant score much, and today they get 48 thought Radford would score more but they were only up 2 at half 21-19 felt like they should have been up more but they finally did what they were suppose to...what I do not like is that 28 of Radfords 63 pts came at the foul line they only made 15 shots same as Chicago st, not good
 

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friggin Siena has been at 7 forever they just cant get closer I swear betting on games with no write up is stupid yes I lost the over but had no right taking Siena just stay away now I am betting Jacksonville

Jacksonville -3 -125
 

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