NBA Playoff Trends / Betting Info ...

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Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home fav of 0.5 - 4.5

Heat are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 0.5 - 4.5
 

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According to a person with knowledge of Curry’s situation, the early fear is that Curry suffered a sprain in his medial collateral ligament during his second-quarter slip. The person spoke to USA TODAY Sports on the condition of anonymity because an official diagnosis has not yet been made.

The Warriors won’t know for sure until Monday, when Curry is scheduled to undergo an MRI. But if those fears are realized, it could be quite some time before he is playing again.

According to Jeff Stotts, a certified athletic trainer whose web site, InStreetClothes.com, is a popular resource for NBA injury information, the average absence for players who had low grade MCL sprains this season was 15 days (based on 11 cases in all). In other words, assuming the Warriors can finish the job against the Rockets in Game 5 at Oracle Arena on Wednesday, Golden State's best-case scenario may demand that they survive the second round without Curry.
 

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BIG changes ... NBA Favorites


Warriors +130 (was -150)
Spurs +200 (was +350)
Cavs +300 (was +400)
Thunder +1500 (was +2000)
 

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According to a person with knowledge of Curry’s situation, the early fear is that Curry suffered a sprain in his medial collateral ligament during his second-quarter slip. The person spoke to USA TODAY Sports on the condition of anonymity because an official diagnosis has not yet been made.

The Warriors won’t know for sure until Monday, when Curry is scheduled to undergo an MRI. But if those fears are realized, it could be quite some time before he is playing again.

According to Jeff Stotts, a certified athletic trainer whose web site, InStreetClothes.com, is a popular resource for NBA injury information, the average absence for players who had low grade MCL sprains this season was 15 days (based on 11 cases in all). In other words, assuming the Warriors can finish the job against the Rockets in Game 5 at Oracle Arena on Wednesday, Golden State's best-case scenario may demand that they survive the second round without Curry.



Stephen Curry will miss at least 2 weeks (sprained right MCL).

Warriors are 3-2 (including playoffs)

without Curry this season (73-8 with)
 

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Even with Curry sidelined, the Warriors (-9.5) are receiving 71% of early spread bets for Wednesday's game against the Rockets.
 

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Without Curry this season, Warriors average 10.2 fewer PPG & have been outscored by an average of 1.4 PPG




Cg6bUdyW4AAQFVK.jpg
 

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Updated NBA Title favorite ... from LV SuperBook


SA +150
GS +225
Cle 3/1
OKC 10/1
LAC 18/1
Tor 40/1
Mia 50/1
Atl 50/1
Bos 80/1
 

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Curry is 1 of 3 players to miss multiple postseason games as the leading scorer on a team with at least 60 wins




Cg6cdhPWsAER3DZ.jpg
 

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Most Lopsided Public Bet NBA Games Tonight


Clippers -3.5 (66%)
Thunder -14.5 (61%)
Heat +2 (55%)
 

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Charlotte has not won 2 straight playoff games since 2002 1st Round against the Magic (won 2 straight)
 

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Kevin Durant & Russell Westbrook each scored 30 in a playoff game for the 9th time in their careers




Cg797LzWIAAXrO1.jpg
 

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Thunder will face Spurs in Western Conference semifinals.

ESPN Basketball Power Index gives Spurs a 73% chance of winning series
 

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Only players to average 25 PPG, 10 APG, 5 RPG in a playoff series (last 20 years):

Nash '05 & Westbrook '16.
 

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Chris Paul suffered a third metacarpal fracture in his right hand.


Third metacarpal is bone of HAND (not finger). It's between middle finger and the wrist. Long, but usually stable bone if fx not displaced.


Clippers outscored opponents by 553 with Chris Paul on the floor and were outscored by 202 with Paul off the floor in regular season.


Including tonight, the Clippers were shooting 61.7% (46.2% from 3) off Chris Paul's passes this postseason.


In first 3 games of this series, Clippers are +37 with Chris Paul on the court and -4 without him.
 

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Over the past few seasons, 12 players have suffered an injury to one of the five metacarpal bones in their hand. Of those players, two have seen their seasons destroyed after reinjury, four didn't require surgery, and the others went on to return and play productive basketball.



daber.jpg




After fracturing a metacarpal, the average player waited 4.4 days before having surgery. Of course, everyone's case is different, but only Rondo and Turkoglu had surgery the following day after sustaining their injury.

Turkoglu's story is the worst-case scenario for Rondo. He was expected to be out for only four weeks, but he suffered a setback when one of the screws inserted to repair the bone became loose. Upon returning to the court, Turkoglu reinjured the hand and was out for an additional three weeks.
 

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