NBA - March

[MalikSealy]

59-41 (+14.44)


hit both totals last night but added okc, who i only now realize everyone and their mom was on last night



Bulls/Raptors OVER 197.5 * (-108)




10 out of last 12 on the road for the Bulls have gone over 200.
5 of the last 6 home games for Toronto (i.e. since Lowry went down) have gone over 200.
Chicago w 2 or more days rest has been a significantly better team offensively this year @108 pts
Raptors much stronger Over team at home this season


Not the strongest play as the last two times the Bulls went on the road w 2 days rest the total stayed in the 190's
Not crazy about the refs, not bad but not great.
Bulls generally an under team...


was leaning hard to the Heat but Booker is now playing so never mind that...
and still need to look at the last 3 games on the card.

 

[MalikSealy]

60-41 (+15.44u)




Bulls ML * (+103)



Have some more time today, so...

Ideally the Bulls would not have to be coming from Canada off a b2b OT loss and lose RoLo to suspension for the game. Definitely puts a damper on backing them tonight.

However...Detroit is also coming off a b2b and they are pretty damn bad off of those (3-10 ats). They also just seem to be generally in shambles and the sound bites and all coming from the team seem to show some definite issues. This is not to say the Bulls don't have their issues too.

This late in the season, I only go back to Dec and usually ignore November since it is so long ago. As for Detroit on b2b's with the 2nd game on the road, Since Dec 1, all have resulted in losses - 0-6. Most of those were big blowouts. Before December, I see them as 2-2...so they have won in this scenario. Someone can check me on this if they want. I could be missing one or two.

Detroit has not been great on the road this year, and last 5 they are 1-4 (su & ats)
As a small fave (below 3 pts) they are 2-6 this year.


Bulls played on the road last night, in games this year where they have gone from the road to home on a b2b, they have won 4 and lost 2 (both losses to the Bucks). They also won all 1st halves, but one, which makes me think about making a 1st half play on them too.

Bulls for the season are 8-7 on b2b's.

Refs for this game are great for a small home fav, really great.

I don't have the that much confidence in the Bulls, but I think they step up w a man down (and no Wade helps, he is awful defensively) and take advantage of a team that has shown to be horrible in this spot and just playing poorly in general right now.



Strongly, strongly lean to both the OKC Under and the Cavs Over...still to look at the last 3 games too

 

[indiana]

M/S...........nicely done YTD..........continued success...........indy

 

[MalikSealy]

thank you Indy, gl to you as well :toast:




Adding:



Cavaliers/Nuggets OVER 227 * (-118)




could have the Bulls ml for +115 now dammit...

 

[MalikSealy]

62-41 (+17.47u)




Suns/Nets UNDER 224.5




224.5 still available at BM.

It's well know the Suns are shutting down Bledsoe, Chandler, etc for the season. To tank and to play the young guys. They are now basically playing w 8 guys. Since the shut down they have been a dead under team. Completely under as in they are yet to get one over the total since the shutdown.

Also well known that the Suns are an over type team. However, most of that rep has been earned in Phoenix (23-13 o/u) and vs. teams above .500 (23-9 o/u). Neither of those things will be occurring tonight for the Suns since they are on the rd and against the lowly Nets. Suns are still 19-16 o/u on the road though, so still capable.

For the Suns last 10 on the road - 7 of the 10 have not reached the 220's. One of the 3 that did reach the 220's needed OT to get there. And remember, most of these were played with actual NBA starters, not the same lineup the Suns are trotting out now. The first two games on this road trip for the Suns have resulted in the Suns not even being able to reach 100.

The Nets are the opposite from the Suns in that they are more of an over team on the road than at home. Although they are better to the over against sub .500 teams (16-12 o/u).
The last 3 these two have played in Brooklyn did not reach the 210's, and one of this games even went to OT.


The Suns still have Booker out there, who is a terrific offensive player (although last game he was pretty bad) and are still, generally, an over team.
Maybe there is more of a reason the total has risen 4 pts and I'm not seeing it. I am attributing the rise more to Lin being ready to play tonight.
I just think you have two teams with below average talent with a huge number to overcome, but again, maybe there is another reason its so high and I'm not seeing it. I think it's more going off the reputation of the Suns more than going off what the Suns currently are. We will see....


Lean to the Mavs Over as well, but need to get more into it. Also think the Blazers 2H tonight may be a good play, Knicks starters played 30+ minutes last night and I would think the Knicks play their bench more tonight. But I kind of suck at 2h's...

 

[MalikSealy]

wtf...went to BM to finalize the play, it is now at 226! So I put more on it.

So for record keeping purposes I have 1u on at 224.5 and 1u on at 226

 

[MalikSealy]

63-41 (+19.47u)




Pelicans +8 * (-108)

 

[MalikSealy]

Adding:



Timberwolves/Lakers OVER 219 * (-108)

 

[MalikSealy]

64-42 (+19.39u)




Knicks/Spurs OVER 204

 

[MalikSealy]

Adding:



Mavs ML * (+103) -2u

 

[MalikSealy]

Adding:




Timberwolves/Blazers OVER 212

 

[MalikSealy]

64-43 (+17.39u)



both totals landed right on the number. hilarious. cannot get over that 20u hump...



Trailblazers/Lakers OVER 220 * (-102)

 

[MalikSealy]

64-44 (+16.37u)



got up to 19u and change, almost over that 20u hump, but have now hit a dry spell. Trying to pick the spots...



Heat -3 * (-105)

 

[MalikSealy]

Adding:



Suns/Hawks UNDER 219.5 * (-105)

 

[MalikSealy]

65-45 (+16.32u)




Sixers +2.5 * (-105)

 

[MalikSealy]

65-46 (+15.27u)



In a tailspin lately....




Rockets/Trailblazers UNDER 231 * (-108) - 2u

 

[MalikSealy]

66-46 (+17.27u)




Nuggets/Hornets OVER 220 * (-117)

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight

 

[MalikSealy]

thank you XS, appreciate it