NBA Live Betting Strategy

[HarryCaray]

This is fucking dumb.

The team that closed as a favorite and is now down double digits has a far lower chance to win than was assumed pre-game, which is reflected in the adjusted line.

This isn't a profitable angle at all.

Very few teams that I would even consider taking at even money down double digits, even in the shitshow that is the NBA.

 

[HarryCaray]

An actual good angle is to back a team that shot at least 10 percentage points below their average in the first half, and fade a team that shot at least 10 percentage points above their average in the first half. Regression to mean.

 

[RenoChazz]

I don't mess around with live betting here. All the places that have it in Nevada got the lines at -115. I can't bet a -115 line. Its like playing 6 to 5 black jack. I refuse.

 

[Willie99]

I have done that a few times. Waiting for a good team like the to become + money, sometimes by significant amount, then play a ML. Actually has been working pretty good

 

[CHOPTALK]

I have done that a few times. Waiting for a good team like the to become + money, sometimes by significant amount, then play a ML. Actually has been working pretty good

Did you get in on any of that 28-3 action in the super bowl last year

 

[JustinCruise]

What were the pats live at that point?

 

[CHOPTALK]

Hey JC wanna play a little poker at bovada ?