Hi Atx, Miami have yet to win, everything are pointing to a cleveland win here, so why are Cleve + points? Strange line and for that i took Miami -1. Tell me what you think cos i can still see +2 -2 everwhere. Also Cleveland arent that good defensively, there is a high chance for an up tempo game, it may go over the total. Good luck and great win last friday~
I think this is more of a historic line as exactly 2 points have decided many of the recent meetings. Miami hasnt come close to covering 2 pts yet this year. Cle has been a bad team, and I leaned to MIA at first, but I decided to make MIA prove it before I take them this year again. The fact that they played last night in HOU also factored into my decision. I understand the side that you are seeing, and it may be the correct one here, but I think that CLE loses by 2 or less at least 54% of the time tonight. Same with the under, I can see your reasoning as well, but I think this game has a decent probability of staying in the 80's. MIA has hit a total this high only once this year (at Dallas). Also one thing to note is that line moves of 1.5 pts or more on totals early in the year have done well historically. This one is moving back up a little as I type, but none of these wagers are very big, I also may middle a little, not sure.
thx for your input mate, you are right, none of them are particularly large bets, shouldnt look too deep especially in NBA. Slightly disagreeing on one thing though, i believe the 0 day rest back to back theory is overrated, the lines are already adjusted to give the no rest team a couple more points.
These are what i might take tonight..
ATL+ML, SEA+ML, UTA+ML, ORL, MIA, and maybe GS+ML.
These are what i might take tonight..
ATL+ML, SEA+ML, UTA+ML, ORL, MIA, and maybe GS+ML.
SA under 175 for .6%
I dont like ATL, the rest I am leaning to as well, not sure about GS. ATL shot almost 55% last game and there is a decent angle involved with that. I also think that this may have been incorporated into the spread or at least the multiple games in very few nights has been thrown into the line already (before the move). Seems like it should have been more like -7.5, but it's not a large wager, and I can middle it if I decide to. Probably wont as PHX has handled similar strength teams at home by the requirement, and recent meetings with ATL at home have given the wager value IMO.
I dont like ATL, the rest I am leaning to as well, not sure about GS. ATL shot almost 55% last game and there is a decent angle involved with that. I also think that this may have been incorporated into the spread or at least the multiple games in very few nights has been thrown into the line already (before the move). Seems like it should have been more like -7.5, but it's not a large wager, and I can middle it if I decide to. Probably wont as PHX has handled similar strength teams at home by the requirement, and recent meetings with ATL at home have given the wager value IMO.
