Brother where ya getting the 4? Local?
GL tonite. Dont ya love the fawks that invade your thread because their a bunch of jealous scumbag cocksuckers without a life and penny to piss on. Anyway I'll behave now or else I'll never stop. Oh yea its been a while, but I contact you through your Mark W addy. We need to chit chat
GL tonite!!
GL tonite. Dont ya love the fawks that invade your thread because their a bunch of jealous scumbag cocksuckers without a life and penny to piss on. Anyway I'll behave now or else I'll never stop. Oh yea its been a while, but I contact you through your Mark W addy. We need to chit chat
GL tonite!!
Antonio,
there were some 4's out there all day
I got a little better fwiw living near Dallas
I think the main thing I'm dealing with at this moment in the NBA is I remember last year so well, the teams, the totals, the angles...
I am trying to clear all that out, each year is different, and hopefully I will get a much firmer grasp on these teams as the numbers come in. I can claim a small moral victory for wagering small, and I'm also trying to learn hockey. Last year home teams covered at a very high percentage right up until the all=star break in baskets, and looking back thus far that is why I am struggling, it's the way I'm leaning and it's not working out so far. One of the problems is that I switch my lean to away teams then the home faves will start covering. I hope more numbers will solve this dilemma and a clearer picture will develop. HEAD GAMES... One of the things that I've gotten better at is handicapping myself, getting a feel for when I'm not going to do well. After the MLB run and last week's NFL I instinctively cut wager size. Just venting, and I dont just throw games out there, I spend all day thinking and turning them over, so losing really pisses me off. But I think long term, and there are so many streaks involved in my large amount of wagers that there are many bad times to deal with. But the bottom line is that I have made a much greater return with high volume so far, and if that changes then I can always go back to picking spots and putting a little more on them. Two advantages one has over the oddsmaker is the ability to not only decide which games to wager on, but also HOW MUCH. In the back of my mind I know that if I lose over 5% of my BR with many small wagers, I can always try and get it back with just a couple of high +EV wagers. The difference between that and chasing is actually recognizing the large amount of value (several things lining up etc) and wagering accordingly. These wagers dont appear all the time, in other words after a bad day you dont double up or more on a next day's game just b/c it is there, sometimes you have to wait for a while or tread water. It's correlated to the oddsmakers booking action, the books dont win every week, but they get it in the end, b/c they have the ability to wait around until the public gets hammered on bad numbers. A lot of times those same games are the same ones that I am against the public on. Just some thoughts.
there were some 4's out there all day
I got a little better fwiw living near Dallas
I think the main thing I'm dealing with at this moment in the NBA is I remember last year so well, the teams, the totals, the angles...
I am trying to clear all that out, each year is different, and hopefully I will get a much firmer grasp on these teams as the numbers come in. I can claim a small moral victory for wagering small, and I'm also trying to learn hockey. Last year home teams covered at a very high percentage right up until the all=star break in baskets, and looking back thus far that is why I am struggling, it's the way I'm leaning and it's not working out so far. One of the problems is that I switch my lean to away teams then the home faves will start covering. I hope more numbers will solve this dilemma and a clearer picture will develop. HEAD GAMES... One of the things that I've gotten better at is handicapping myself, getting a feel for when I'm not going to do well. After the MLB run and last week's NFL I instinctively cut wager size. Just venting, and I dont just throw games out there, I spend all day thinking and turning them over, so losing really pisses me off. But I think long term, and there are so many streaks involved in my large amount of wagers that there are many bad times to deal with. But the bottom line is that I have made a much greater return with high volume so far, and if that changes then I can always go back to picking spots and putting a little more on them. Two advantages one has over the oddsmaker is the ability to not only decide which games to wager on, but also HOW MUCH. In the back of my mind I know that if I lose over 5% of my BR with many small wagers, I can always try and get it back with just a couple of high +EV wagers. The difference between that and chasing is actually recognizing the large amount of value (several things lining up etc) and wagering accordingly. These wagers dont appear all the time, in other words after a bad day you dont double up or more on a next day's game just b/c it is there, sometimes you have to wait for a while or tread water. It's correlated to the oddsmakers booking action, the books dont win every week, but they get it in the end, b/c they have the ability to wait around until the public gets hammered on bad numbers. A lot of times those same games are the same ones that I am against the public on. Just some thoughts.
great post man. it's a tough road sometimes but you have the money management to handle this. Things change very quickly in this game. Some teams don't show up on the road. Some don't show up at home. Some only turn up for the big games. Some teams are apsolute money against certain sides. Some teams have new offences and defenses. New coaches. Some teams gel quicker then others.
One thing is for sure it's been a crazy start to the NBA season. I looked at the public betting on sides in the past week it's hitting 30%! Bookies holding alot of cash right now. Home team dogs have been killer so far.
Your right it's better to wait till more numbers become available. I know my totals will improve when this happens. Don't try to double up next day this is no good, it's all about grinding it out nite after nite. people that have 10 unit specials or can't lose locks don't survive too long in the NBA. I know you know this already man. I have made some money just playing dogs straight up. I remember you told me the side that covers wins approx 80% of the time. I have to thank you for this info man. Most people can't have dogs to win in anything. The very best they can do is have them to cover. This isn't going to be enough sometimes.
One key thing i look at. Point guards are so under valued in the NBA betting process. They are the coaches on the court. They run the offense, organize the defence. Is the starting point guard shooting a good clip lately? Is he carrying an injury? Is the offence running smoothly? Is he turnover prone? Defensively tonite is he a liabilty? I look at all these things alot.
Things will get better as the year goes on man. It's a long way off to the playoffs. keep attacking ATX man
One thing is for sure it's been a crazy start to the NBA season. I looked at the public betting on sides in the past week it's hitting 30%! Bookies holding alot of cash right now. Home team dogs have been killer so far.
Your right it's better to wait till more numbers become available. I know my totals will improve when this happens. Don't try to double up next day this is no good, it's all about grinding it out nite after nite. people that have 10 unit specials or can't lose locks don't survive too long in the NBA. I know you know this already man. I have made some money just playing dogs straight up. I remember you told me the side that covers wins approx 80% of the time. I have to thank you for this info man. Most people can't have dogs to win in anything. The very best they can do is have them to cover. This isn't going to be enough sometimes.
One key thing i look at. Point guards are so under valued in the NBA betting process. They are the coaches on the court. They run the offense, organize the defence. Is the starting point guard shooting a good clip lately? Is he carrying an injury? Is the offence running smoothly? Is he turnover prone? Defensively tonite is he a liabilty? I look at all these things alot.
Things will get better as the year goes on man. It's a long way off to the playoffs. keep attacking ATX man
