I'm betting (for the series):
Phoenix (-280) = I'm a fan plus I believe Bridges and Crowder are strong enough defensively to take away the guards and let Dallas ride Luka. Usually, one superstar is not enough to win a series. Sprinkle on 4-1 series win in addition to the series bet.
Milwaukee (+175) = Don't want to wait as I think Milw steals game one. Boston will have to adjust to a defensively committed team and I think they will be chasing a game the whole series losing at home in seven after winning game six in Milw.
Like...no value so no bet: Golden State -230 and Miami -380. Probably would bet both if either fall in game one.
BEST BET: Taking Chris Paul at +900 to be the Finals MVP. You can follow the logic if the #1 seed makes the finals and then, if the Suns win, Paul will (most likely) be the MVP. Suns are +300 to win the Championship so I think this is better utilization of my $$.
Phoenix (-280) = I'm a fan plus I believe Bridges and Crowder are strong enough defensively to take away the guards and let Dallas ride Luka. Usually, one superstar is not enough to win a series. Sprinkle on 4-1 series win in addition to the series bet.
Milwaukee (+175) = Don't want to wait as I think Milw steals game one. Boston will have to adjust to a defensively committed team and I think they will be chasing a game the whole series losing at home in seven after winning game six in Milw.
Like...no value so no bet: Golden State -230 and Miami -380. Probably would bet both if either fall in game one.
BEST BET: Taking Chris Paul at +900 to be the Finals MVP. You can follow the logic if the #1 seed makes the finals and then, if the Suns win, Paul will (most likely) be the MVP. Suns are +300 to win the Championship so I think this is better utilization of my $$.
DK has Booker 6-1/CP +650
Actually think Booker is more likely to win if they win it all (Probably 65-35 Books way vs Heat/Celts) CP ceiling games largely come playing against teams that play conventional screen roll/D and he can get to the elbows. Heat/Celts not going to allow much of that. Just sets up a lot better for Booker in a competitive series vs those teams if the Suns were to win. CP would probably win if its close given sentimental stuff but just think Booker gets there a lot more of the time.
Ayton would be somewhat live too because those series would be lower total scoring rock fight style series that benefit a big. Undervalued at 45-1
Actually think Booker is more likely to win if they win it all (Probably 65-35 Books way vs Heat/Celts) CP ceiling games largely come playing against teams that play conventional screen roll/D and he can get to the elbows. Heat/Celts not going to allow much of that. Just sets up a lot better for Booker in a competitive series vs those teams if the Suns were to win. CP would probably win if its close given sentimental stuff but just think Booker gets there a lot more of the time.
Ayton would be somewhat live too because those series would be lower total scoring rock fight style series that benefit a big. Undervalued at 45-1
