Obviously lines move on a spectrum, they can't just move 7pts when non-elite players are out. Unless it is a huge cluster situation, NBA playoffs basically within 7pts both ways, for someone to be worth multiple pts is a lot. But these situations can snowball obviously. We saw the swing in game 1-2 with Horford/Smart.
But yes, Williams healthy is worth more than a point in this series. Don't really feel like going into every reason why vs replacement as I know you don't really care. Theis vs Bam is pretty lame, got destroyed vs him in the bubble. And if he is out gm 4, I think you will see that reflected in the new line.
I said at 6pm it was an issue, so how is that some type of deflection? And I have Celts to win the East so crossing it up with Miami +6 kinda dumb.