NBA 2008-09, Week 5 thread...

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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
Joined
Oct 16, 2004
Messages
2,726
Tokens
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Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
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Bets record:
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Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 20-18, +$65
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Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
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Sides: 116-130-5
#1 picks: 18-16

Totals: 135-112-3
#1 picks: 14-20
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Day 35:

I blinked and the Mia/GS total went up 2 points to 215...I am betting the 1Q now and will wait and see if I am going to bet the game total now after it jumped up...I still may bet it over...


Sides:

#1 Mia -2
#2 Bos -8.5
#3 Char -3.5

Totals:

#1 Mia ov 215
#2 Bos un 189.5
#3 Char un 184.5

BET:

Level 1 -- Miami/Golden State over 53.5, 1Q, laying $275 to win $250 -- After Miami 1Q's were almost all Under to start the season, 7 of their last 8 games have gone Over in the 1Q...GS 5-2 to the Over at Home in the 1Q this season...GS went Over their last 4 straight 1Q's overall (all on the Road)...Teams just get sucked into the GS pace and the 1Q's are usually very frenetic...Still debating a bet on the game total Over, but I worry about a close game, and then Nellie goes to a zone in the 4Q and the game slows down...

GL... <!-- / message -->

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Please note: [COLOR=#ff000]Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...[/COLOR]
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Database sample links:
TeamSample, SeasonSample
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Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
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