Nate Silver's first general election prediction for 2016

[superbeets]

[h=2]US Presidential Election 2016 Outrights[/h]

Hillary Clinton
-250



Donald Trump
+275

 

[SheriffJoe]

you mean his license wasn't revoked? "in all 50 states"?

Once you understand everything he posts is satire, duuuuuhhhhfinch's posts make total sense.

 

[MantisToboggan]

US Presidential Election 2016 Outrights



Hillary Clinton
-250



Donald Trump
+275

This can't be correct. Books don't give away free money.

 

[JudgeWapner]

Pinny has -290/ +250

 

[PatsFan1283]

75/25 sounds about right

I'd like to see odds on Ohio and PA though. If they're just priced as a derivative of the GE odds then I think there might be some value on Trump there.

Also would bet under 9% on Johnson. <1% to 9% in 4 years would be a big jump. He is getting a little coverage now because it is slow season but once we get into the fall he probably will be hardly noticed.

 

[JudgeWapner]

Pinny moved to -300/+258

 

[superbeets]

William Hill -275/+225

 

[JudgeWapner]

No line up at Bookmaker. Just went back up. -390/ +300

 

[Coldweather]

I believe Trump will win this here election caz Mr. Trump loves all the people and will give them jobs and Clinton will try to give her base free stuff

for their votes but it won't work caz, she is crooked and a poo poo head. Rock it out!cheersgif

 

[JudgeWapner]

Well then there is $ to be made my friend.

 

[PatsFan1283]

We'll know how much of a chance he has around mid-late August I think.

By then his organization, fundraising, ground game, etc will be in full swing. If it is some pygmy operation like it appears to be now then he loses.

 

[The Guesser]

This can't be correct. Books don't give away free money.

5 dimes has actually been hanging lines like this. I suspect it's allowing for the slim, IMO pretty non existent chance, that Drumpf won't be the nominee. Here is their current:

US Presidential Election - Winner
Tue 11/8		101 Hillary Clinton wins Election		-290
8:00AM		102 Field wins Presidential Election		+245
Tue 11/8		103 Donald Trump wins Election		+315
8:00AM		104 Field wins Presidential Election		-380

 

[superbeets]

William Hill -275/+225 Clinton/Trump

 

[superbeets]

US Presidential Election 2016 - Winning Party Betting Odds

Most Popular Bets
Democrats (-275) 56.71% of bets
Republicans (275) 35.90% of bets
Independent (6600) 7.39% of bets

 

[Acebb]

538 launches first general election forecast 2016: Hillary 353 evs to 183 trump. 81% chance of win.

by floridageorge
wednesday jun 29, 2016 · 3:06 pm pdt

read it and weep, righty bitches!

aaaaaaaaaaannnnnnnnnndddddddddddd anotha winna!!!!

 

[Acebb]

538 launches first general election forecast 2016: Hillary 353 EVs to 183 Trump. 81% chance of win.



Read it and weep, Righty bitches!

Speaking of not aging well....

OOF

 

[NFLTrends]

Dafinch??

Hello?

Is this yet another abandoned thread?

 

[HamGlaze]

The “Russian Collusion” wasn’t factored in. I’m thinking that’s the excuse..

 

[RunMaker]

It is amazing to see what a lie the whole thing was. Even Nate Silver and all the fake pollsters.... it was all junk science and BS.

And we're not even factoring in voter fraud, the controlled media, etc... Trump was ahead from the very beginning and by big numbers. Hillary couldn't fill a small barn with 50 people in it and Trump was loading up thousands everywhere.

It is amazing to look back and see now that it was an incredible psyop..... print news, social media, MSM, fake polls..... everything, everywhere.

 

[NFLTrends]

Nobody is abandoning anything

Crickets from him in this thread....