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TIA is Thanks in adavance
Do you have a system for your nba picks?

No I have no "System". I utilize my data base and formulate my own lines for games. I compare my lines with the books lines and I wager based on line value.

My first 2 posted underdog plays won straight up and this one will also tonight but as far as the RX is concerned I post just ATS picks.
 

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No I have no "System". I utilize my data base and formulate my own lines for games. I compare my lines with the books lines and I wager based on line value.

My first 2 posted underdog plays won straight up and this one will also tonight but as far as the RX is concerned I post just ATS picks.
Thanks. And sounds cool!! Wish i knew how todo it
bol bc

I was leaning towards pacers. I was going with the line movement but what do i know lol
 

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Thanks. And sounds cool!! Wish i knew how todo it
bol bc

I was leaning towards pacers. I was going with the line movement but what do i know lol


My first 2 posted underdog plays won straight up and this one will also but I played the 2 points tonight because I stick to what my model shows. Play the ML if you wish.
 

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My first 2 posted underdog plays won straight up and this one will also but I played the 2 points tonight because I stick to what my model shows. Play the ML if you wish.
Thanks but i think ill pass. Cashed on GSW earlier. I'll wait till tomorrow
 

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Line value is the most important thing a bettor doesn't understand. For instance I liked New Orleans at 6 1/2 but once I blinked the line was 3 1/2 and the value in the line evaporated so I didn't play and post it. Rookie bettors don't understand the word "Sharp". Just because someone plops down 20k on a side or total and moves the line that does not make them a "Sharp". Someone who bets $100 on a value line is a sharp player. The line makes the bet and it doesn't always work, of course, but it definitely increases your win rate and your bankroll if you understand line value.
 

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Thanks but i think ill pass. Cashed on GSW earlier. I'll wait till tomorrow

It's obviously your bankroll and your choice. Never a bad thing to take your profits and move on to the next day if you don't feel comfortable with a play. I post the sides that I wager, not to convince others to do the same. GL
 

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Line value is the most important thing a bettor doesn't understand. For instance I liked New Orleans at 6 1/2 but once I blinked the line was 3 1/2 and the value in the line evaporated so I didn't play and post it. Rookie bettors don't understand the word "Sharp". Just because someone plops down 20k on a side or total and moves the line that does not make them a "Sharp". Someone who bets $100 on a value line is a sharp player. The line makes the bet and it doesn't always work, of course, but it definitely increases your win rate and your bankroll if you understand line value.
How do you know if you have value? Is that where your personal data base comes into play?
 

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Pelicans! I think they win this game or at least cover the 3.5 2nd half line.
 

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How do you know if you have value? Is that where your personal data base comes into play?

Yes. I formulate my own lines and compare that to the book's lines and if I am satisfied with the differential between the two I try to get the best value line possible, such as tonight's play. I could have wagered it this morning but instead I waited hoping to get a extra point or two and I did. Line value is very important.
 

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Pelicans! I think they win this game or at least cover the 3.5 2nd half line.

They may cover but I wasn't satisfied with the 3 1/2 before tip, I wanted closer to the opening number of 6 1/2 so I didn't play it.
 

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All i know is CP3 is out (i think) and Pacers been doing pretty good. As far as line Clips were favored but now they are getting 2.
 

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just curious...
im trying to figure out where the line value was.
Your line prediction model indicated possible value, then when actual line moved which gave +2 , this gave you an added incentive to make a play on them?
 

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