My Underdogchance Projected NHL Lines 2015/2016

[Underdogchance]

MONDAY - 28/3/2016

Winnipeg +179 35.78% Ondrej Pavelec
Philadelphia -179 64.18% Steve Mason

Columbus +185 35.14% Sergei Bobrovsky
Washington -185 64.83% Braden Holtby

Buffalo +143 41.21% Chad Johnson
Detroit -143 58.77% Petr Mrazek

Toronto +157 38.87% Jonathan Bernier
Tampa Bay -157 61.10% Ben Bishop

Colorado +215 31.79% Semyon Varlamov
Nashville -215 68.13% Pekka Rinne

Anaheim -150 59.94% Frederik Andersen
Edmonton +150 40.03% Cam Talbot

Calgary +117 46.15% Jonas Hiller
Arizona -117 53.80% Mike Smith

Los Angeles +108 48.05% Jonathan Quick
San Jose -108 51.94% Martin Jones
------
Toronto Maple Leafs +218 (100 Units)

 

[Underdogchance]

TUESDAY - 29/3/2016

Boston -104 51.04% Tuukka Rask
New Jersey +104 48.95% AVG


Carolina +144 40.95% Cam Ward
NY Islanders -144 59.03% Thomas Greiss


Buffalo +248 28.75% Chad Johnson
Pittsburgh -248 71.18% Marc-Andre Fleury


Detroit -142 58.71% Petr Mrazek
Montreal +142 41.25% Mike Condon


Toronto +162 38.20% Jonathan Bernier
Florida -162 61.77% Roberto Luongo


Chicago +148 40.31% Scott Darling
Minnesota -148 59.66% Devan Dubnyk


Colorado +236 29.75% Semyon Varlamov
St Louis -236 70.19% Brian Elliott

Nashville +113 46.87% Pekka Rinne
Dallas -113 53.08% Antti Niemi


San Jose -178 63.97% Martin Jones
Vancouver +178 36.01% Ryan Miller
----
New Jersey Devils +139 (120 Units)
Toronto Maple Leafs +218 (100 Units)
Minnesota Wild -115 (130 Units)
Nashville Predators +135 (75 Units)

 

[vtech]

Thanks again man. Those good days are awesome

 

[VegasVic]

very impressive sir

 

[Underdogchance]

@vtech thanks man
@VegasVic :toast:

 

[Underdogchance]

WEDNESDAY - 30/3/2016

Ottawa +123 44.81% Andrew Hammond
Winnipeg -123 55.16% Ondrej Pavelec


Washington +128 43.82% Braden Holtby
Philadelphia -128 56.17% Steve Mason


Calgary +222 31.09% Jonas Hiller
Anaheim -222 68.79% John Gibson
-------------
Picks later....

 

[guil0000]

does your model take into consideration scheduling?

 

[Underdogchance]

does your model take into consideration scheduling?

Yes.

B2B factor, SoS, current form.

 

[Underdogchance]

THURSDAY - 31/3/2016

Toronto +111 47.40% Jonathan Bernier 5.18
Buffalo -111 52.59% Chad Johnson

Columbus +178 36.01% Sergei Bobrovsky 5.31
NY Islanders -178 63.95% Thomas Greiss

Nashville +171 36.93% Pekka Rinne 5.66
Pittsburgh -171 63.01% Marc-Andre Fleury

NY Rangers +111 47.31% Henrik Lundqvist 5.06
Carolina -111 52.67% Cam Ward

New Jersey +190 34.43% AVG 4.79
Florida -190 65.55% Roberto Luongo

Montreal +245 28.98% Mike Condon 5.64
Tampa Bay -245 70.92% Ben Bishop

Ottawa +175 36.32% Craig Anderson 5.50
Minnesota -175 63.63% Devan Dubnyk

Arizona +194 34.00% Mike Smith 5.79
Dallas -194 65.92% Kari Lehtonen

Calgary +192 34.28% Joni Ortio 5.37
Los Angeles -192 65.68% Jonathan Quick

Vancouver +287 25.82% Ryan Miller 4.94
San Jose -287 74.14% Martin Jones
--------
Pittsburgh Penguins -135 (130 Units)
Carolina Hurricanes +122 (140 Units)
Calgary Flames +235 (60 Units)
San Jose Sharks (-1.5) +125 (60 Units)

 

[Underdogchance]

adding:
Florida Panthers (-1.5) +165 (100 Units)

 

[Underdogchance]

FRIDAY - 1/4/2016

Minnesota +101 49.64% Devan Dubnyk (5.33)
Detroit -101 50.34% Jimmy Howard


Boston +182 35.42% Tuukka Rask (5.34)
St Louis -182 64.53% Brian Elliott


Chicago +105 48.88% Scott Darling (5.27)
Winnipeg -105 51.10% Ondrej Pavelec


Washington -139 58.13% Braden Holtby (5.06)
Colorado +139 41.85% Semyon Varlamov


Vancouver +375 21.04% Ryan Miller (5.37)
Anaheim -375 78.85% John Gibson
----------
St Louis Blues -162 (70 Units)
Winnipeg Jets +134 (140 Units)
Anaheim Ducks (-1.5) +102 (160 Units)

 

[Underdogchance]

SATURDAY - 2/4/2016

Columbus +130 43.53% Joonas Korpisalo
Carolina -130 56.45% Eddie Lack


Buffalo +117 46.17% Chad Johnson
NY Rangers -117 53.81% Henrik Lundqvist


Montreal +225 30.79% Mike Condon

Florida -225 69.12% Roberto Luongo


New Jersey +186 34.95% Cory Schneider
Tampa Bay -186 65.04% Ben Bishop


Detroit +112 47.13% Jimmy Howard
Toronto -112 52.84% Garret Sparks


San Jose +109 47.94% James Reimer
Nashville -109 52.05% Carter Hutton


Calgary +109 47.89% Joni Ortio
Edmonton -109 52.09% Cam Talbot


Washington -121 54.83% Philipp Grubauer
Arizona +121 45.16% Mike Smith
-----
Toronto Maple Leafs +126 (150 Units)
NY Rangers (-1.5) +140 (70 Units)
Florida Panthers (-1.5) +148 (70 Units)

 

[Underdogchance]

Major mistake with Rangers yesterday. My model suggested me to take Buffalo for 250 units, which would be the biggest play, but I went with intuition and I lost another bet. This was the second bet I went against my math model. The first one was also with Rangers, when model suggested to go with Pittsburgh and i took Rangers. So it is more than 500 units of difference with both plays. I have to be more disciplined and stay away from intuition games.

SUNDAY - 3/4/2016
Boston +119 45.59% Tuukka Rask 5.73
Chicago -119 54.37% Scott Darling

Philadelphia +189 34.59% Steve Mason 5.38
Pittsburgh -189 65.37% Matthew Murray

Minnesota -121 54.78% Devan Dubnyk 5.09
Winnipeg +121 45.20% Ondrej Pavelec


St Louis -146 59.34% Jake Allen 5.64
Colorado +146 40.61% Semyon Varlamov


Dallas +175 36.37% Kari Lehtonen 5.87
Anaheim -175 63.56% John Gibson
--------
Pittsburgh Penguins -141 (265 Units = 2.5%)
Anaheim Ducks -148 (160 Units = 1.5%)

 

[Underdogchance]

MONDAY - 4/4/2016

Tampa Bay -103 50.74% Ben Bishop 4.97
NY Islanders +103 49.25% Thomas Greiss


NY Rangers -101 50.34% Henrik Lundqvist 5.36
Columbus +101 49.64% Sergei Bobrovsky


Florida -108 51.87% Roberto Luongo 5.08
Toronto +108 48.12% Jonathan Bernier


Arizona +201 33.20% Mike Smith 5.39
St Louis -201 66.74% Brian Elliott


Los Angeles -186 65.00% Jonathan Quick 4.87
Vancouver +186 34.98% Ryan Miller
------
Picks maybe later. No odds yet on Pinnacle.

 

[Underdogchance]

TUESDAY - 5/4/2016


Carolina +136 42.43% Cam Ward 5.51
Boston -136 57.54% Tuukka Rask


Buffalo -107 51.73% Chad Johnson 4.53
New Jersey +107 48.27% Cory Schneider


NY Islanders +145 40.76% Thomas Greiss 4.85
Washington -145 59.23% Braden Holtby


Pittsburgh -198 66.39% Matt Murray 5.53
Ottawa +198 33.55% Craig Anderson


Florida -147 59.46% Roberto Luongo 5.51
Montreal +147 40.50% Mike Condon


Tampa Bay -109 52.03% Ben Bishop 5.23
NY Rangers +109 47.96% Henrik Lundqvist


Colorado +197 33.71% Semyon Varlamov 5.75
Nashville -197 66.21% Pekka Rinne


San Jose +105 48.77% James Reimer 4.95
Minnesota -105 51.21% Devan Dubnyk


Arizona +156 39.03% Mike Smith 5.49
Chicago -156 60.93% Scott Darling


Los Angeles -103 50.77% Jonathan Quick 5.17
Calgary +103 49.21% Joni Ortio


Winnipeg +215 31.74% Ondrej Pavelec 5.41
Anaheim -215 68.20% John Gibson
--------------

Carolina Hurricanes +178 (170 Units = 1.52%)
Buffalo Sabres +121 (200 Units = 1.79%)
NY Islanders +162 (70 Units = 0.63%)
Pittsburgh Penguins -159 (220 Units = 1.97%)

 

[Underdogchance]

WEDNESDAY - 6/4/2016

Columbus +128 43.79% Sergei Bobrovsky 5.43
Toronto -128 56.18% Garret Sparks


Philadelphia +100 49.94% Steve Mason 5.41
Detroit -100 50.03% Jimmy Howard


Vancouver +148 40.26% Ryan Miller 4.79
Edmonton -148 59.72% Cam Talbot
--------------
Toronto Maple Leafs -110 (135 Units = 1.19%)
Philadelphia Flyers +109 (70 Units = 0.62%)