My March Madness begins

[SecondHalf]

crap .. my book's not offering ml on nd st. going to have to take the +3.5 1 unit

 

[SecondHalf]

Well it's obvious I can't pick a side lol .. should just stick with the system bets second half .. but love a little action.

Update down 2 units on posted plays with 2 units pending on east wash first half... let's hope we hit that one and end on a second half play..

if it doesn't go under .. done until tomorrow.

 

[SecondHalf]

got the first half under on east wash so one more system play ..

just checking the line

 

[SecondHalf]

east wash ov 83 .. 1 unit and seeing how its going over east wash -6 for 1 unit

 

[RMoney22]

Wow, line is down to 81.5......

 

[MUFDIVR]

If I understand your second half system... wouldn't we take the under
Total line was 155.5
First half was 72.5
Second half is 81.5
So 72.5 + 81.5 = 154 which is under the original total of 155.5, so wouldnt we take the UNDER?

thanks

 

[SecondHalf]

MUFDIVR you are absolutely right.. unfortunately the line opened at 82.5 jumped to 83 and then plummeted to 81.5 .. I put in the initial play when I saw the line jump up .. I was able to buy out of the when I saw the line drop but just didn't get it posted .. it can be difficult at times to post the right play because you really have to wait just before tip off to make sure you are seeing the right number... the system does work but you really have to be able to identify the play yourself since it can be a last minute decision. Sorry if I lead anybody astray last night on this one.

 

[MUFDIVR]

Thanks for the reply 2H. I thought that was the reason but wanted to make sure. I appreciate your work and your reply.

Best of luck today

 

[varkeyboy]

No problem.. lets take a look at the games so far..

Portland st game .. full line at close was 162 and the first half was 75.5

first half went under so there is a play .. if went over no play for me.

2nd half line was 84.5 + 75.5 (1st half line) = 159.5 so under the original close line of 162

so the play is under 75.5 2nd half


Morgan st game.. full line at close was 138.5 and the first half line was 65

the first half went under 65 so I would have a play on the second half .. if it went over no play for me.

so 2nd half line is 73 ... 73 + 65 ( first half line ) = 138 .. 138 is under 138.5 (closing line of full game ) so my play would be under 73 in the second half


Wake forest game full game was 150.5 and the first half line was 72.5

first half goes under so there is a play..

second half line is 78.5 + (72.5) = 151 is over 150.5 so over the original total

so the play was over 78.5


one side note I also look for the line movement on the 2nd half line ..2nd half for the wake game went from 78.5 to 79.5 at most books .. good sign its going over.. if it had of dropped to 77.5 i would have bet the under.

Hope that clears it up..


Thanks XSpower

This pretty much makes sense to me. I appreciate the examples buddy!

Another question........with your parameters for the 2H totals.........are these based on OPENING or CLOSING totals? We know how totals can fluctuate a lot in CBB....

thanks.

 

[varkeyboy]

this is way over your head and you know it.

Stop creating clutter with your bullshit. Stay under that bridge where you belong. Thanks in advance for your cooperation.

 

[SecondHalf]

Varkeyboy .. yes the second half line will move so yes wait as long as you can so you get the correct number near close. ( prime example was the east wash game last night.. I posted too early when I saw the line go up but then the line dropped. If it is a game that I can live bet I will even wait until it closes so I know the exact line number and then bet the live bet total.

Should be around tonight for a few plays.

 

[SecondHalf]

Break even day yesterday on posted plays .. so will ease up on my action plays and let the system make some money..


Pittsburgh un 61.5 first half .. 1 unit

 

[CrapShoot22]

Good call!

 

[CrapShoot22]

This Syracuse game would qualify for the second half under?

 

[SecondHalf]

Sorry guys conducting interviews this afternoon so couldn't get to the computer..

Crapshoot .. would have been an over play ... I had game line at 132.5 first half 61.5 + 71.5 2nd half = 133 over 132.5

and it cashed .. unfortunately I missed this one ( Real job comes First ).. was able to find some good prospects to fill a position we require so all is good. Will be around tonight to hit a few.

Putting in Stanford un 69 ..hoping Washington comes in a little rusty.

 

[SecondHalf]

so much for washington being rusty .. shot the lights out like they can.. not a system play since first half over but I'm willing to bet it slows down a bit with a 28 point lead

Washington un 80 2nd half 2 units

 

[SecondHalf]

system play alcorn st un 75 3 units

 

[SecondHalf]

Will just be posting system plays from now on as I'm burning money otherwise.

Illinois un 72.5 3 units

 

[SecondHalf]

I may be onto another angle that I'm watching ... if it holds true the Air Force game should go over 78 in the second half... it would be nice to find something that works for some of the games that go over in the first half.

 

[Enfuego]

I like this thread but I guess I'm not understanding. The way I read it, your system is for 2H plays only? What am I missing?